Spectacular-Arcade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

4,875

Trades

9,285

lifetime

Volume

$85.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$223

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 22:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 270 days

Categories

Other

42% 54% -$1,210

Crypto

31% 60% -$608

Sports

18% 62% -$925

Politics

7% 19% -$162

Tech

1% 33% +$15

Pop-Culture

0% 17% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-220	-$178	81¢	$-178	+$0	05-22 02:40
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-220	-$41	19¢	$-42	-$1	05-22 02:40
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato	Marco Cecchinato	+3	$2	94¢	$3	+$1	11-05 22:59
McNeese State Cowboys vs. North Texas Mean Green	McNeese State Cowboys	+1	$1	16¢	$0	-$1	11-05 22:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	25	$2.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	-$6	03-29 23:49
nba mem lal 2026 01 02	4	$1.4K	966	966	+0	Lakers	+$11	01-03 04:08
wta sherif pedone 2026 06 03	16	$1.2K	1,159	922	+237	Giorgia Pedone	-$57	06-04 18:12
cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20	2	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	Kentucky Wildcats	+$0	03-20 03:46
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano	15	$790	511	511	+0	Filippo Romano	-$30	06-02 18:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$777	1,290	600	+690	Yes	-$121	04-04 23:17
atp searle poling 2026 06 05	8	$764	598	598	+0	Karl Poling	-$84	06-05 18:40
nba uta gsw 2026 01 03	1	$685	1,427	0	+1,427	Warriors	-$685	01-04 04:08
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20	2	$680	2,000	2,000	+0	St. John's Red Storm	+$0	03-20 22:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$595	400	400	+0	Yes	-$7	03-30 14:22
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	5	$573	316	316	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$39	06-01 17:06
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$563	317	317	+0	Knicks	+$64	06-06 03:26
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	13	$560	575	575	+0	Up	-$2	03-22 19:19
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	19	$559	363	325	+38	Matteo Arnaldi	+$20	06-01 23:07
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	1	$550	1,000	0	+1,000	Iowa Hawkeyes	-$550	03-27 01:18
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	15	$501	442	434	+8	Joao Fonseca	-$51	05-29 18:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$481	350	350	+0	No	-$1	03-30 06:02
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	8	$412	400	400	+0	Down	-$12	03-19 02:16
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	7	$411	346	329	+17	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$1	03-23 01:21
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	17	$409	252	252	+0	Tommy Paul	-$35	05-22 18:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$402	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	04-01 13:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$385	200	200	+0	No	+$2	03-18 20:35
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	18	$384	325	325	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$26	05-10 03:30
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	2	$376	1,000	1,000	+0	Arizona Wildcats	-$64	03-27 02:16
Thunder vs. Spurs	12	$374	244	244	+0	Thunder	-$6	05-23 03:31
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	3	$326	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	05-22 13:15
spx up or down on march 31 2026	6	$322	224	224	+0	Up	+$10	03-31 14:00
will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	13	$313	300	450	-150	Yes	+$1	03-22 23:04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$302	200	200	+0	No	-$10	06-08 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$297	0	300	-300	Down	-$3	06-03 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:59:43	Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato	Marco Cecchinato	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9b87e7…
11-05 22:56:43	Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato	Marco Cecchinato	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa5c12f…
11-05 22:27:45	McNeese State Cowboys vs. North Texas Mean Green	McNeese State Cowboys	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x56efca…
11-05 22:20:15	Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato	Marco Cecchinato	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf3d90f…
11-05 22:14:37	Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato	Marco Cecchinato	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x068632…
11-05 22:14:16	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa67d05…
11-05 21:16:22	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3e72f8…
11-05 21:13:27	Counter-Strike: Monkeys vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - MČR Group A	UNiTY esports	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf980de…
11-05 20:28:18	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe9b60c…
11-05 17:46:33	Counter-Strike: Monkeys vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - MČR Group A	UNiTY esports	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb37031…
11-05 16:23:49	Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd738e4…
11-05 16:12:09	Chennai Open (Doubles): Kobori/Plipuech vs Karamoko/Waltert	Karamoko/Waltert	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdd4e6d…
11-05 15:18:58	Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9d5eaf…
11-05 15:09:55	Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc277fb…
11-05 13:30:22	Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0944b0…
11-05 13:23:10	Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier	Hugo Grenier	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x30eb17…
11-05 13:07:34	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb0cb37…
11-05 13:07:22	Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8e4744…
11-05 04:07:58	Queens (NC) Royals vs. Loyola Marymount Lions	Loyola Marymount Lions	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdaf453…
11-05 03:51:51	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3b4727…
11-05 03:47:51	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbd73ed…
11-05 03:40:00	Flames vs. Kraken	Flames	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x649f7d…
11-05 03:33:25	Lakers vs. Kings	Lakers	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9c514b…
11-05 03:01:55	Senators vs. Sabres	Senators	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc74bbd…
11-05 02:10:30	Bucks vs. Celtics	Bucks	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xfac646…
11-05 01:37:22	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb9c577…
11-05 01:31:43	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2b46a2…
11-05 01:03:00	76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x916b81…
11-05 00:49:46	Hawks vs. Wizards	Hawks	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4d860b…
11-05 00:45:25	Bucks vs. Celtics	Bucks	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb436d4…
11-04 21:43:07	Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x79b532…
11-04 21:42:54	Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x165e24…
11-04 20:41:43	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb0fa71…
11-04 20:41:27	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x07328e…
11-04 20:17:09	Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra	Leyre Romero Gormaz	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3bdf0a…
11-04 18:31:21	Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x71cc64…
11-04 18:27:10	Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3db1e4…
11-04 18:26:48	Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd991dd…
11-04 18:05:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x254071…
11-04 17:42:24	Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8c0a7…
11-04 17:37:31	Rigas Zelli vs. Le Mans Sarthe Basket	Rigas Zelli	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7f9fcd…
11-04 17:28:37	Dota 2: rostikfacekid TEAM vs iLTW TEAM (BO3) - Media Eleague Group Stage	iLTW TEAM	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8a478d…
11-04 17:09:12	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8c9a33…
11-04 17:05:12	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1c6f1e…
11-04 16:54:30	Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x3049bf…
11-04 16:35:40	Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfb6dd3…
11-04 15:44:01	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe72fb9…
11-04 15:43:43	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0d405a…
11-04 15:33:31	Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci	Michal Krajci	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0028a…
11-04 15:33:13	Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon	Franco Agamenone	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x8a9f44…
11-04 15:21:58	Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon	Franco Agamenone	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3ff6a7…
11-04 15:11:54	Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon	Franco Agamenone	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb5bb16…
11-04 15:11:39	Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1df757…
11-04 15:06:45	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x162d2e…
11-04 15:06:40	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x1fb20f…
11-04 15:06:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x08daa2…
11-04 14:40:27	Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x303ee9…
11-04 13:22:34	Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x71e2e5…
11-04 13:22:24	Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti	Alexander Zverev	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xddd499…
11-04 13:08:06	Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti	Alexander Zverev	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa0fe0a…
11-04 13:04:40	Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel	Isabella Shinikova	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x903e70…
11-04 13:04:28	Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka	Franziska Sziedat	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0943ff…
11-04 13:03:22	Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti	Alexander Zverev	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8b0131…
11-04 04:18:10	Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x65dfdd…
11-04 04:15:04	Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller	Alexandre Muller	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1296da…
11-04 03:58:12	Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x521b6b…
11-04 03:51:33	Panteras de Aguascalientes vs. Soles de Mexicali	Soles de Mexicali	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf3020f…
11-04 03:46:33	Ducks vs. Canucks	Ducks	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x37714d…
11-04 03:22:22	Ducks vs. Canucks	Ducks	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xea4530…
11-04 03:21:07	Hurricanes vs. Predators	Predators	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x120abe…
11-04 03:16:15	Oilers vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x51c929…
11-04 03:12:16	Hurricanes vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x37c3b9…
11-04 03:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9f0890…
11-04 03:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x928a75…
11-04 02:55:28	Ohio vs. Akron	Ohio	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x369958…
11-04 02:49:04	Ohio vs. Akron	Ohio	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x2d8cf9…
11-04 02:22:45	Hurricanes vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xfcd838…
11-04 01:41:25	Hurricanes vs. Predators	Hurricanes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xc08f25…
11-04 01:36:13	Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x360fcf…
11-04 01:21:33	Oilers vs. Devils	Oilers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xae0f7e…
11-04 01:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xb308fa…
11-04 01:16:15	Hurricanes vs. Predators	Hurricanes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x64cac2…
11-04 01:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8483aa…
11-04 01:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x32a8ac…
11-04 01:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x40c10b…
11-04 01:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcf676d…
11-04 00:56:42	Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp	Federico Coria	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd44742…
11-04 00:54:12	Ohio vs. Akron	Ohio	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x34a2a6…
11-04 00:51:03	Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2f237f…
11-04 00:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeae633…
11-04 00:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe894bc…
11-04 00:30:52	Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp	Federico Coria	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x01658c…
11-04 00:29:30	Red Wings vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xebf348…
11-04 00:29:16	Ohio vs. Akron	Ohio	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x36064a…
11-04 00:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x2830e9…
11-04 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4a0a64…
11-04 00:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x52cb92…
11-04 00:22:51	Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x077bad…
11-03 22:59:04	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb1de5c…
11-03 22:58:16	Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	Facundo Acosta	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1b7f50…