Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

131

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$216

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 11-03 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

85% 55% +$7

Politics

13% 50% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$4	11	+11	No	-$1	09-18 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-11 12:15
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 17:09
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-20 23:11
will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-22 08:13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-13 13:04
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-23 00:14
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-30 21:28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-17 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-16 22:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-18 20:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-16 12:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-09 19:14
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-12 04:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-19 23:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 19:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-22 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 16:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$2	6	+6	Down	-$2	09-08 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-16 04:11
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-13 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-20 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-20 15:07
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:04
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-29 18:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-01 20:47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 02:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 03:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:03:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6c5f6b…
11-01 16:06:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9e38b3…
11-01 07:06:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcf4e49…
10-31 20:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xafaa52…
10-30 21:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x256343…
10-30 21:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5d0fb7…
10-27 23:20:53	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa059b1…
10-23 02:34:30	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5a4c32…
10-22 18:32:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2008e0…
10-22 10:27:24	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xccbf21…
10-21 01:58:45	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9959f5…
10-17 17:51:44	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1db1af…
10-17 09:49:06	Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5592e9…
10-17 01:21:15	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x49de51…
10-16 12:58:43	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x051451…
10-16 04:01:58	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe7475d…
10-15 19:53:37	Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x06fb35…
10-15 11:30:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xaa45f5…
10-15 03:11:29	meta headcount above in q3 68000	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfd96b1…
10-14 07:10:34	spy closes above 775 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x014062…
10-13 23:09:54	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2a653…
10-12 22:56:27	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6c1f91…
10-11 02:52:15	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf538fd…
10-10 05:03:45	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x612254…
10-09 19:09:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16a3aa…
10-09 19:08:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x05c9b8…
10-09 11:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1f41d1…
10-09 03:06:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x74dc33…
10-08 19:05:39	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0b5008…
10-08 08:28:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x142914…
10-08 00:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x66b494…
10-07 16:26:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x357b48…
10-07 08:22:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8af499…
10-07 00:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0acb4c…
10-06 16:22:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcf6fca…
10-06 08:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x847748…
10-06 00:20:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x069378…
10-05 23:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x722514…
10-05 15:21:56	will mu dip to 1020 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd86e77…
10-05 10:01:23	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd14bc2…
10-05 00:35:49	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0df035…
10-04 15:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8c6f6f…
10-04 06:36:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcb010e…
10-04 06:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1b3d16…
10-03 19:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6b77a7…
10-03 06:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x03ccba…
10-02 21:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x40ad49…
10-02 13:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0ed233…
10-02 05:45:44	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0a0242…
10-01 15:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc23090…
10-01 07:51:36	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x53f16a…
09-30 23:38:53	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbffff6…
09-30 15:35:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8ca5bd…
09-30 05:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x605c6e…
09-29 21:56:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xee4371…
09-28 13:54:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x881c98…
09-28 05:45:12	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x88a649…
09-27 21:45:00	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeab3fa…
09-27 13:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0c5202…
09-27 05:42:35	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfc53fe…
09-26 21:34:32	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7e25fb…
09-26 12:21:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcc027c…
09-26 04:06:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x085866…
09-23 16:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xda2cd6…
09-23 16:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc90155…
09-23 08:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb0d7c9…
09-23 00:14:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x63905b…
09-22 16:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe3b625…
09-22 08:13:04	will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x00188a…
09-19 23:00:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xecb6e9…
09-19 14:07:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xeb146f…
09-19 06:04:13	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc6c6d7…
09-18 20:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x834ca8…
09-18 11:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7daf24…
09-18 08:58:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x776e3a…
09-17 06:53:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x08d3f2…
09-16 22:52:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3100fc…
09-16 22:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7b279a…
09-13 13:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc39ee4…
09-10 03:17:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x775dfc…
09-09 19:14:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd75ac4…
09-09 11:13:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x926c25…
09-09 02:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5ed9ff…
09-08 17:09:58	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3b9a3f…
09-08 07:05:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe22aff…
09-07 20:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa2296e…
09-07 12:30:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf015c2…
09-04 01:39:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x64988f…
08-29 18:44:45	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8aeed2…
08-29 03:06:48	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4adadd…
08-26 18:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbec00a…
08-24 20:32:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd7abd0…
08-24 00:20:27	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xdd037f…
08-23 06:08:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xedfd2d…
08-22 21:51:03	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1c9c57…
08-22 09:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x29ba3f…
08-22 00:38:45	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xdf0119…
08-21 15:20:28	Will Meta (META) close at $550-$560 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x60ff15…
08-21 07:15:40	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x02f874…
08-20 23:11:07	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb7486c…