Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
73
lifetime
Volume
$4.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$182
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 06-17 16:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
32%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -91 $-81 90¢ $-82 $-1 06-17 19:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +88 $82 93¢ $82 $-0 06-13 18:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +17 $16 99¢ $17 +$0 06-01 04:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 48¢ $0 +$0 06-07 07:44