Impassioned-Alias — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

451

Trades

2,232

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-20 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

61% 20% -$798

Politics

20% 24% -$86

Crypto

17% 16% -$93

Tech

1% 25% -$69

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?	5	$943	700	800	-100	Yes	+$397	01-07 10:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$907	1,253	1,253	+0	Yes	+$111	04-07 22:55
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in May?	12	$822	426	426	+0	No	+$18	05-29 18:58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	7	$817	1,299	1,299	+0	Yes	-$14	05-15 21:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?	2	$666	345	345	+0	Yes	+$23	05-11 20:51
will qatar strike iran by march 31	7	$488	520	520	+0	No	+$74	03-04 00:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?	13	$419	249	246	+4	Yes	+$29	05-15 18:57
highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 80 81f	15	$411	2,101	186	+1,914	No	-$38	04-03 21:45
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	15	$356	230	230	+0	No	+$16	05-05 16:39
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	5	$310	300	300	+0	Yes	-$2	04-07 20:36
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$302	351	351	+0	Yes	+$225	05-14 11:44
highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	13	$292	155	165	-10	Yes	-$7	04-03 21:43
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	6	$282	471	200	+271	No	+$110	05-16 22:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$265	249	249	+0	No	-$36	04-17 13:37
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	11	$264	690	0	+690	Joao Fonseca	-$264	05-29 18:52
Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?	15	$257	1,400	1,409	-9	No	-$99	01-07 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on May 26?	3	$256	141	141	+0	No	+$16	05-26 16:59
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$240	157	157	+0	Yes	+$25	05-15 22:17
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	3	$222	166	166	+0	Yes	-$72	05-14 12:02
will iran strike uae again in march	53	$222	8,293	1,171	+7,122	Yes	-$144	04-06 01:04
wta ruse yastrem 2026 04 08	9	$212	300	300	+0	Gabriela Ruse	-$106	04-08 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$205	140	140	+0	Down	+$69	05-29 21:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?	5	$200	106	106	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 19:01
cs2 saw2 waz 2026 04 11	5	$182	883	126	+757	WAZABI	+$69	04-11 10:59
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	5	$182	200	200	+0	No	+$82	04-22 23:09
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$178	1,860	430	+1,430	Yes	-$66	05-11 12:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$174	700	700	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$62	05-15 19:05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	3	$160	300	300	+0	Yes	-$20	05-24 15:03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	2	$152	200	200	+0	Yes	-$56	05-15 18:10
highest temperature in munich on april 1 2026 8c	3	$149	80	80	+0	Yes	+$11	04-01 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 11:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x888e57…
10-20 11:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	258	1¢	$3	0xc63c4a…
10-20 11:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6a04a3…
10-20 11:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x34fe89…
10-20 11:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2c0df5…
10-20 11:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x98363b…
10-20 11:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0fa7b2…
10-20 11:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xd671ab…
10-20 11:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x29199b…
10-20 11:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x1d4cb0…
10-20 11:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x11c897…
10-20 11:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5f294a…
10-20 11:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfbd691…
10-20 11:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xab0a7a…
10-20 11:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x357715…
10-20 11:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x58d856…
10-20 11:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfa04a2…
10-20 11:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	185	1¢	$2	0xb6718f…
10-20 11:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf32398…
10-20 11:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xddb8b0…
10-20 11:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x5503e4…
10-20 11:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xf6c781…
10-20 11:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x140b31…
10-20 11:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x13abde…
10-20 11:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbddba8…
10-20 11:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	104	11¢	$11	0xdf635c…
10-20 11:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x3cd93e…
10-20 11:07:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe13d8c…
10-20 11:04:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe054bf…
10-20 11:04:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc6933a…
10-20 11:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xeed727…
10-20 11:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8c68c3…
10-20 11:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x63eebc…
10-20 10:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd6eaf2…
10-20 10:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0xa358a1…
10-20 10:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x96923e…
10-20 10:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x90a0bb…
10-20 10:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0x9f4480…
10-20 10:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x777cd0…
10-20 10:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x150f8e…
10-20 10:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x60eafa…
10-20 10:54:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x016733…
10-20 10:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xef4833…
10-20 10:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x41858d…
10-20 10:54:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x156f9f…
10-20 09:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xcb43b8…
10-20 09:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x18878a…
10-20 09:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xfd4307…
10-20 09:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x94693e…
10-20 09:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x9325af…
10-20 09:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x449733…
10-20 09:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbd0202…
10-20 09:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x42c28a…
10-20 09:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x36e47f…
10-20 09:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf45a6e…
10-20 09:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xa405f1…
10-20 09:48:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x289a05…
10-20 09:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xdc9eae…
10-20 09:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ac317…
10-20 09:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x41cbd5…
10-20 09:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xafc403…
10-20 09:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa5bbda…
10-20 09:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3c1ec8…
10-20 09:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x93ee5e…
10-20 09:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xb8ebe8…
10-20 09:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x04f4a8…
10-20 09:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x09f532…
10-20 09:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x26122d…
10-20 09:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1a80bb…
10-04 11:44:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdfd585…
10-04 11:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x4a7364…
10-04 11:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0f612f…
10-04 10:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8a7bf…
10-03 20:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xdba0fd…
10-03 20:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xacef8e…
10-03 20:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x15565f…
10-03 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdb0959…
10-03 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5fffbf…
10-03 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5757b0…
10-03 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x502b28…
10-03 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x25b97e…
10-03 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbd4dee…
10-03 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb723e4…
10-03 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x01f415…
10-03 20:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xfd4262…
10-03 20:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe1a9a2…
10-03 20:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x818c6f…
10-03 20:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x70a84e…
10-03 20:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x63f5c0…
10-03 20:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x608c4b…
10-03 20:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x52620d…
10-03 20:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5356b8…
10-03 19:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x5ac062…
10-03 19:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x450523…
10-03 19:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0a523a…
10-03 19:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9e8a21…
10-03 18:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf42546…
10-03 18:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe7687a…
10-03 18:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd791d0…
10-03 18:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x9715ca…