Blind-Grasp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.65K

Unrealized P&L

+$414

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

178

Trades

3,023

lifetime

Volume

$664.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$220

Open exposure

$5.78K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-02 23:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Politics

61% 58% +$22,347

Other

24% 42% -$10,457

Sports

13% 57% -$288

Tech

1% 25% +$449

Crypto

1% 50% -$2,397

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,374	$2,500	74¢	$2.5K	+$14	11-02 23:38
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-2,273	-$2,567	100¢	$-2269	+$298	11-02 18:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-1,500	-$1,100	66¢	$-997	+$102	09-27 12:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$29.0K	22,222	7,222	+15,000	Yes	+$218	02-03 02:39
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$26.1K	26,637	0	+26,637	No	+$496	07-06 02:36
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$19.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$760	07-07 16:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	86	$17.2K	14,971	14,089	+882	No	-$645	05-26 13:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	27	$16.8K	23,461	13,961	+9,500	No	-$1,067	05-28 17:27
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$16.5K	17,041	0	+17,041	No	+$547	07-09 21:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$14.5K	7,500	7,500	+0	No	+$413	03-25 02:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	87	$14.1K	16,925	11,425	+5,500	Yes	+$865	01-31 07:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$13.8K	12,500	2,500	+10,000	No	+$1,090	05-25 21:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	95	$13.6K	16,086	16,086	+0	Yes	-$1,137	06-14 12:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	40	$13.5K	13,000	5,000	+8,000	No	+$1,310	05-08 14:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	16	$13.2K	14,500	12,000	+2,500	No	+$39	04-14 00:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	40	$12.7K	17,000	8,000	+9,000	No	+$64	04-30 20:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	39	$12.4K	14,250	5,500	+8,750	No	-$1,057	05-29 21:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	41	$12.0K	26,000	26,000	+0	Yes	-$1,205	04-06 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	54	$11.2K	7,750	7,750	+0	No	-$99	05-04 17:04
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	36	$11.2K	16,357	0	+16,357	No	+$5,166	01-25 10:55
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	25	$11.1K	9,666	4,666	+5,000	No	+$950	01-29 19:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	18	$10.7K	14,000	10,000	+4,000	Yes	+$3,250	06-14 21:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	45	$10.3K	8,129	5,816	+2,313	No	+$440	05-05 17:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	37	$10.1K	15,083	5,000	+10,083	Yes	+$1,568	06-15 22:27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	13	$10.0K	9,000	3,948	+5,052	Yes	-$4,164	02-19 17:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	23	$9.5K	7,600	6,125	+1,475	No	+$178	01-31 14:59
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	36	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$542	07-04 03:29
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	43	$9.2K	18,445	17,930	+515	No	-$4,442	02-03 17:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	52	$9.1K	10,919	0	+10,919	No	+$1,080	04-30 03:56
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	10	$8.9K	7,000	6,500	+500	Yes	+$835	08-28 08:53
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	61	$8.6K	5,200	8,056	-2,856	Yes	-$696	01-31 18:12
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$8.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$58	07-10 12:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	48	$8.4K	5,880	5,880	+0	Yes	+$251	02-02 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:38:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,041	74¢	$2,250	0x42ba60…
11-02 21:55:00	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	75¢	$250	0x2e3265…
11-02 18:23:00	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2,523	100¢	$2,518	0xd55232…
09-27 12:30:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	276	71¢	$196	0xdb7300…
09-27 11:53:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	251	71¢	$178	0x83a323…
09-27 11:50:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xec2c97…
09-27 11:15:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3,100	71¢	$2,201	0x8e59f5…
09-27 11:11:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	368	71¢	$262	0x5a267a…
09-26 11:11:59	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,645	5¢	$81	0xcc8756…
09-26 11:03:56	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	180	5¢	$9	0x5c5124…
09-26 10:56:51	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	723	5¢	$35	0x832a0d…
09-26 03:03:45	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	1,991	69¢	$1,374	0x7142da…
09-25 22:32:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	24	69¢	$17	0x606146…
09-12 07:50:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,080	89¢	$4,521	0xb491b2…
09-12 07:22:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,455	19¢	$656	0x43de15…
09-03 15:07:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5abcaf…
09-03 14:47:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	66¢	$38	0xc444b2…
09-03 14:35:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xb24be9…
09-03 12:30:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,469	50¢	$735	0x3c356f…
09-03 12:30:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x78d67a…
09-03 12:30:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x32110b…
09-03 12:30:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,022	50¢	$511	0xee4217…
09-03 09:59:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,500	51¢	$1,275	0xe83815…
09-02 16:55:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	955	27¢	$258	0x5d05f8…
08-30 19:51:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	521	65¢	$339	0xc6c266…
08-30 19:16:31	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	987	83¢	$819	0xb5e194…
08-30 19:16:16	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x453e92…
08-30 17:11:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	65¢	$182	0x59573f…
08-30 16:34:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xbae59d…
08-30 15:41:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x98d3ad…
08-30 12:01:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	65¢	$97	0x041875…
08-30 09:11:24	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	224	90¢	$201	0x9d9451…
08-30 09:05:52	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xb0b0db…
08-30 09:00:37	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	1,602	90¢	$1,442	0xe84b81…
08-28 08:53:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	584	76¢	$443	0x1b574b…
08-28 08:53:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	874	76¢	$664	0xadd937…
08-28 08:53:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,416	76¢	$1,077	0x32efa9…
08-28 08:52:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,600	76¢	$1,216	0x774403…
08-28 08:49:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0xbee71d…
08-26 08:53:22	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x2fb851…
08-22 17:17:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	181	70¢	$127	0x69b517…
08-22 17:10:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	223	70¢	$156	0x31065c…
08-22 12:16:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x0ba8d5…
08-22 12:15:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdc92c9…
08-22 12:15:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	875	70¢	$613	0xbc946e…
08-22 06:49:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	55¢	$43	0x3bc477…
08-22 06:48:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	921	55¢	$507	0x74a9e6…
08-21 19:47:54	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0x08f8f2…
08-21 06:41:37	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	334	21¢	$70	0x018fbf…
08-21 06:17:07	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xec94ef…
08-21 06:03:46	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xecaf3c…
08-21 05:59:22	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	159	21¢	$33	0xdc0f4d…
08-20 22:12:10	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x48b6cd…
08-20 21:00:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xaf8ceb…
08-20 20:48:27	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	109	73¢	$80	0x42467f…
08-20 17:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	330	32¢	$105	0xbea4df…
08-20 16:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	170	32¢	$55	0xd30880…
08-20 15:43:46	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1f6d6e…
08-20 14:28:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0x677448…
08-20 13:49:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	344	73¢	$251	0xb55a42…
08-20 13:47:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,020	73¢	$745	0x84b621…
08-20 13:46:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,636	73¢	$1,194	0xac58e9…
08-20 12:29:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0x9295c8…
08-20 12:28:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	2,500	97¢	$2,422	0xeaf137…
08-20 11:03:54	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x4c7240…
08-20 10:36:10	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x42b968…
08-19 15:38:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	48¢	$135	0xd7d7fb…
08-19 15:36:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,719	48¢	$825	0xb07d06…
08-19 13:06:04	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x886786…
08-19 11:26:43	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	474	10¢	$47	0xe18f06…
08-19 10:57:54	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xd14e15…
08-19 01:43:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,500	35¢	$875	0xf034ba…
08-18 20:57:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	228	36¢	$82	0x9b32dd…
08-18 20:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	272	36¢	$98	0x4d9f47…
08-15 03:50:00	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x3a43a1…
07-23 00:47:43	mlb cws tex 2026 07 22	Chicago White Sox	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xba832f…
07-18 03:19:39	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xda7d38…
07-18 02:37:37	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xdf8e55…
07-18 02:37:37	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd0f1f6…
07-18 02:37:37	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	145	55¢	$80	0xcd784c…
07-18 02:37:37	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xbc5097…
07-18 02:37:37	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	88	55¢	$48	0x16c530…
07-18 02:36:31	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	58	53¢	$31	0x665c2b…
07-18 02:35:22	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	116	53¢	$62	0xe8af08…
07-18 02:35:21	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	87	53¢	$46	0x263d11…
07-18 02:35:16	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0xa7d8a2…
07-18 02:35:13	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x6ed8a3…
07-18 02:35:12	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xe113cc…
07-18 02:35:12	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	183	53¢	$97	0xc071ef…
07-18 02:18:31	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xfc1059…
07-18 02:18:31	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	996	43¢	$428	0x953f11…
07-18 02:18:30	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xfa9a8f…
07-18 02:16:24	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4f53e1…
07-18 02:16:24	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x39741e…
07-18 02:16:22	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xed34b6…
07-18 02:12:46	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x900f33…
07-10 12:05:13	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	4,947	84¢	$4,161	0x36f11f…
07-10 12:04:23	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	47	84¢	$39	0x4dd60b…
07-10 11:59:58	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x2b9bb2…
07-09 21:20:43	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,041	96¢	$1,960	0x182073…