Trusty-Pounding — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$350

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved (30d)

148

Trades (30d)

2,239

23,715 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$4.35K

$75.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-07 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 244 days

Categories

Other

79% 45% +$5,373

Politics

16% 35% +$1,629

Crypto

4% 39% -$103

Sports

0% 11% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+100	$10	13¢	$13	+$3	11-06 15:40
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+100	-$2	11¢	$11	+$13	11-06 22:52
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+110	$1	5¢	$5	+$4	11-05 19:29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+300	$4	1¢	$4	+$0	11-07 07:58
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+250	$3	1¢	$4	+$1	11-06 21:43
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+110	$3	2¢	$2	-$1	11-07 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+800	-$8	0¢	$1	+$9	11-06 17:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+120	-$8	0¢	$0	+$8	11-06 23:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	44	$2.2K	5,084	2,605	+2,479	No	+$34	03-10 14:57
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 200plus	41	$1.5K	1,753	1,753	+0	Yes	+$586	03-06 15:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	58	$1.1K	5,914	6,024	-110	No	+$121	04-20 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	59	$847	5,160	5,160	+0	No	+$124	07-30 22:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	28	$836	6,398	6,398	+0	Yes	+$523	07-09 23:43
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 180 199	15	$509	1,039	999	+40	No	+$226	03-06 05:57
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	18	$493	909	909	+0	No	+$14	06-30 01:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	19	$490	1,134	1,134	+0	No	+$31	07-31 00:22
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	47	$489	16,445	16,445	+0	No	+$346	07-07 01:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	16	$466	1,520	1,520	+0	Yes	+$148	03-11 03:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	25	$437	7,300	8,800	-1,500	No	-$75	04-22 13:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	41	$386	9,826	9,826	+0	No	-$41	04-21 20:42
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	100	$379	22,440	12,521	+9,919	No	+$101	04-02 22:45
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	17	$375	1,174	1,174	+0	No	+$47	07-03 14:15
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	27	$363	1,764	1,764	+0	Yes	+$203	02-27 18:16
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 8pm et	69	$351	3,294	1,057	+2,237	Down	+$3	08-22 00:58
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 100 129	21	$346	1,230	1,230	+0	No	-$113	03-03 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	91	$341	15,356	6,557	+8,800	No	+$4	07-13 18:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	104	$338	13,800	13,800	+0	No	+$71	07-24 08:28
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 200plus	28	$337	1,142	462	+680	No	-$4	04-21 12:58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	18	$336	3,151	3,151	+0	No	-$2	08-23 18:24
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 200plus	12	$333	1,529	621	+908	No	-$21	03-11 15:36
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	21	$317	737	737	+0	Yes	+$50	07-03 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	30	$313	16,032	16,032	+0	No	+$278	08-21 22:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	17	$289	1,227	1,227	+0	No	+$56	07-23 22:11
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	51	$279	4,637	2,813	+1,825	No	+$57	03-31 08:17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	9	$278	1,359	1,359	+0	Yes	-$8	07-29 05:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	30	$275	9,560	9,560	+0	No	+$36	07-07 14:28
bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 5pm et	75	$275	2,338	538	+1,800	Down	-$48	08-22 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	33	$273	5,550	3,500	+2,050	No	+$44	08-14 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:58:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xc84deb…
11-07 07:57:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0x003778…
11-07 02:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x49bbd4…
11-07 02:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	3¢	$3	0x7e4782…
11-07 02:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	481	3¢	$13	0xe61f6d…
11-07 02:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0dbce5…
11-07 01:59:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$3	0x813fb0…
11-07 01:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x513220…
11-07 01:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9a460…
11-07 01:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc2a736…
11-07 01:44:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xcd83d0…
11-07 01:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xab13df…
11-07 01:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	492	2¢	$10	0x061630…
11-07 01:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x876bce…
11-07 01:41:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x840b1b…
11-07 00:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xc3f964…
11-06 23:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x7de8b7…
11-06 23:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x46b6d9…
11-06 23:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0xd4f991…
11-06 23:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$1	0x9bbb8c…
11-06 23:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	2¢	$3	0xa5d391…
11-06 22:52:54	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9d88b7…
11-06 22:36:58	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x79f524…
11-06 22:06:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xc499c9…
11-06 21:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x7e20e2…
11-06 21:46:00	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x4cbe3e…
11-06 21:43:21	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x86d5df…
11-06 21:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xcffb02…
11-06 21:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$3	0x736a04…
11-06 21:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$2	0x24c919…
11-06 21:01:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	477	0¢	$1	0x6dd915…
11-06 21:00:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x0c2649…
11-06 21:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x06cf9b…
11-06 20:47:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xce8dde…
11-06 20:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x50e6fc…
11-06 20:01:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0xcbea35…
11-06 19:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xc2265b…
11-06 19:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xf05aa6…
11-06 19:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x563f5a…
11-06 19:42:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc720ff…
11-06 19:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x21d940…
11-06 19:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0b236c…
11-06 19:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5d3ee1…
11-06 18:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	3¢	$6	0x969e8c…
11-06 18:36:42	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x98e6e9…
11-06 18:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	3¢	$3	0xbde2f2…
11-06 18:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xdcc870…
11-06 18:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	2¢	$2	0x8cc91c…
11-06 17:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$2	0x77fedc…
11-06 17:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	0¢	$0	0x03de86…
11-06 17:49:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf020f0…
11-06 17:48:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	584	0¢	$1	0xb29594…
11-06 17:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	3¢	$5	0x05fd38…
11-06 17:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x8a1423…
11-06 17:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	1¢	$3	0xab1a40…
11-06 17:34:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x34be3f…
11-06 17:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$1	0x2eda89…
11-06 17:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xffef22…
11-06 17:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x921009…
11-06 17:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xdd64a0…
11-06 17:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x59fbd9…
11-06 17:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1f5b09…
11-06 17:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$3	0xf4df51…
11-06 17:26:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xb4522a…
11-06 17:21:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x542665…
11-06 17:21:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0xe43e0d…
11-06 17:20:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdeb712…
11-06 17:20:28	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	1¢	$3	0x2a1aae…
11-06 17:16:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	2¢	$4	0x709d46…
11-06 16:52:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xb4e0dc…
11-06 16:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x094568…
11-06 16:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xde40a1…
11-06 16:17:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x08acc1…
11-06 16:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x88bd4d…
11-06 16:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x23c9f7…
11-06 16:15:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x633fa1…
11-06 16:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$2	0x419945…
11-06 16:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xad1579…
11-06 16:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0x6e021a…
11-06 15:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xe7eff1…
11-06 15:53:46	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x53d951…
11-06 15:52:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x259a42…
11-06 15:44:30	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xb967c7…
11-06 15:40:12	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x219e29…
11-06 13:29:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$2	0xff1ffb…
11-06 13:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xc1aebb…
11-06 11:53:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xcac4cc…
11-06 10:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xf6033e…
11-06 07:50:03	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x02c556…
11-06 04:02:40	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xc17a08…
11-06 04:00:52	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0xca1005…
11-06 03:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x1dd692…
11-06 02:49:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x0247ba…
11-06 02:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x25c46b…
11-06 02:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xaeb2d1…
11-06 02:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x1bcfa4…
11-06 02:18:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	6¢	$6	0x7827c4…
11-06 02:07:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xfb137c…
11-06 01:53:25	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x9cc82c…
11-06 00:49:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb04dcf…