Trusty-Pounding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.86K

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

1,366

Trades

23,615

lifetime

Volume

$75.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-06 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 243 days

Categories

Other

79% 45% +$5,348

Politics

16% 35% +$1,629

Crypto

4% 39% -$103

Sports

0% 11% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	+60	$13	36¢	$22	+$9	11-05 22:33
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+100	$1	8¢	$8	+$7	11-05 01:14
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+110	$1	3¢	$3	+$2	11-05 19:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+72	-$10	3¢	$2	+$12	11-06 02:33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	+34	-$1	6¢	$2	+$3	11-06 02:18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+40	$0	1¢	$1	+$0	11-06 02:24
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+57	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	11-06 01:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	44	$2.2K	5,084	2,605	+2,479	No	+$34	03-10 14:57
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 200plus	41	$1.5K	1,753	1,753	+0	Yes	+$586	03-06 15:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	58	$1.1K	5,914	6,024	-110	No	+$121	04-20 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	59	$847	5,160	5,160	+0	No	+$124	07-30 22:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	28	$836	6,398	6,398	+0	Yes	+$523	07-09 23:43
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 180 199	15	$509	1,039	999	+40	No	+$226	03-06 05:57
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	18	$493	909	909	+0	No	+$14	06-30 01:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	19	$490	1,134	1,134	+0	No	+$31	07-31 00:22
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	47	$489	16,445	16,445	+0	No	+$346	07-07 01:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	16	$466	1,520	1,520	+0	Yes	+$148	03-11 03:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	25	$437	7,300	8,800	-1,500	No	-$75	04-22 13:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	41	$386	9,826	9,826	+0	No	-$41	04-21 20:42
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	100	$379	22,440	12,521	+9,919	No	+$101	04-02 22:45
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	17	$375	1,174	1,174	+0	No	+$47	07-03 14:15
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	27	$363	1,764	1,764	+0	Yes	+$203	02-27 18:16
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 8pm et	69	$351	3,294	1,057	+2,237	Down	+$3	08-22 00:58
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 100 129	21	$346	1,230	1,230	+0	No	-$113	03-03 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	91	$341	15,356	6,557	+8,800	No	+$4	07-13 18:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	104	$338	13,800	13,800	+0	No	+$71	07-24 08:28
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 200plus	28	$337	1,142	462	+680	No	-$4	04-21 12:58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	18	$336	3,151	3,151	+0	No	-$2	08-23 18:24
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 200plus	12	$333	1,529	621	+908	No	-$21	03-11 15:36
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	21	$317	737	737	+0	Yes	+$50	07-03 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	30	$313	16,032	16,032	+0	No	+$278	08-21 22:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	17	$289	1,227	1,227	+0	No	+$56	07-23 22:11
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	51	$279	4,637	2,813	+1,825	No	+$57	03-31 08:17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	9	$278	1,359	1,359	+0	Yes	-$8	07-29 05:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	30	$275	9,560	9,560	+0	No	+$36	07-07 14:28
bitcoin up or down august 22 2026 5pm et	75	$275	2,338	538	+1,800	Down	-$48	08-22 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	33	$273	5,550	3,500	+2,050	No	+$44	08-14 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x25c46b…
11-06 02:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xaeb2d1…
11-06 02:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x1bcfa4…
11-06 02:18:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	6¢	$6	0x7827c4…
11-06 02:07:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xfb137c…
11-06 01:53:25	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x9cc82c…
11-06 00:49:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb04dcf…
11-06 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	5¢	$5	0xb2ceb4…
11-06 00:40:52	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x5ccd24…
11-06 00:39:37	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0xdddd98…
11-06 00:38:34	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x75b2ba…
11-06 00:38:01	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x2e7be9…
11-06 00:35:51	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x27309b…
11-06 00:34:21	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xe3a5d7…
11-06 00:32:54	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xcfb98f…
11-06 00:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc20bfc…
11-06 00:00:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	4¢	$4	0x2a24b3…
11-05 22:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x1ed5db…
11-05 22:32:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	4¢	$6	0x780903…
11-05 22:28:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7b4289…
11-05 21:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	323	1¢	$4	0xf709f7…
11-05 21:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$4	0x5ddab5…
11-05 21:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	5¢	$4	0x58aa6e…
11-05 20:39:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x89b699…
11-05 20:17:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,856	0¢	$3	0xf69937…
11-05 20:13:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xb5ca73…
11-05 20:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$4	0x64848a…
11-05 20:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xe7674f…
11-05 20:03:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xc0a52e…
11-05 20:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x99f2e3…
11-05 19:29:36	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x284251…
11-05 19:27:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	7¢	$7	0xe73d15…
11-05 18:38:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0xf46fbb…
11-05 18:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	4¢	$4	0x33b6fd…
11-05 16:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	0¢	$1	0xccf9ec…
11-05 16:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9f37dd…
11-05 16:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x76e3e9…
11-05 16:23:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xd08660…
11-05 16:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0x373aeb…
11-05 16:18:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb93dd5…
11-05 15:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x2ee2cf…
11-05 15:30:27	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x1d3812…
11-05 15:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x843781…
11-05 15:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x092828…
11-05 15:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xf598ec…
11-05 14:47:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	0¢	$0	0x0cee42…
11-05 14:32:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xc3924a…
11-05 14:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,096	0¢	$1	0x811905…
11-05 14:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xca3d69…
11-05 14:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x6fe82b…
11-05 13:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xddae97…
11-05 13:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x8dfaed…
11-05 13:08:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x7be403…
11-05 12:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xa821dc…
11-05 12:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xb8ebf9…
11-05 12:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x5abef1…
11-05 11:51:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	2¢	$5	0x3ea322…
11-05 11:49:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x07d0fd…
11-05 11:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	318	1¢	$4	0x3f577d…
11-05 11:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x207f13…
11-05 10:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x679de7…
11-05 07:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6f51b3…
11-05 04:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xe9b500…
11-05 04:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xdd4f35…
11-05 04:39:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	1¢	$3	0xa72fce…
11-05 03:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xfb5949…
11-05 03:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x3ac6b1…
11-05 03:12:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x57630b…
11-05 03:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0x00e8ce…
11-05 02:54:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	383	1¢	$4	0x1df854…
11-05 02:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe2c146…
11-05 02:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xc8ac2d…
11-05 02:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	425	1¢	$3	0x646960…
11-05 02:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xac2aad…
11-05 01:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x033a15…
11-05 01:14:10	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x6a26b1…
11-05 01:14:09	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x3d162b…
11-05 00:53:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x4519e1…
11-05 00:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$4	0xb7b405…
11-05 00:07:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x8532f3…
11-04 23:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x50362f…
11-04 22:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x8f96e5…
11-04 21:49:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x72e9ca…
11-04 20:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x305a75…
11-04 20:50:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$4	0xbc77cc…
11-04 20:28:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdfc8b6…
11-04 20:27:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xd942b9…
11-04 20:27:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x7b3136…
11-04 20:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x5219ea…
11-04 20:19:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	1¢	$2	0xd4b150…
11-04 20:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf12ec4…
11-04 16:23:04	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,184	0¢	$1	0x315779…
11-04 14:58:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x97f400…
11-04 14:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xee3331…
11-04 14:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x6762a9…
11-04 14:48:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x535a4b…
11-04 14:46:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xc1e368…
11-04 14:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x598e0c…
11-04 14:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x2cdf29…
11-04 14:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x1b67a1…