Realized P&L (7d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
31.3%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
0
11,869 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$45.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$88
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 08-16 03:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 79% +$326
Other
23% 65% -$437
Politics
6% 26% -$237
Tech
1% 29% -$24
Sports
1% 47% -$25
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$15 91¢ $-23 -$8 05-25 00:56
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No -25 -$1 87¢ $-22 -$20 05-25 04:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -18 -$10 92¢ $-17 -$6 05-26 07:37
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? No -20 -$11 77¢ $-15 -$5 05-24 18:38
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes -20 -$9 23¢ $-5 +$4 05-24 19:07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes -25 -$23 13¢ $-3 +$19 05-24 17:14
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -25 -$6 9¢ $-2 +$4 05-25 04:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -18 -$8 8¢ $-1 +$6 05-26 15:25
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 05-21 20:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 05-21 20:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +0 $0 46¢ $0 $0 05-22 00:25