Short-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$2.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

1,946

Trades (7d)

3,608

93,278 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.34M

$32.9M lifetime

Avg / trade

$353

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 302 days

Categories

Other

83% 100% +$43,801

Politics

7% 94% +$13,339

Crypto

6% 99% +$8,412

Sports

4% 99% -$7,398

Pop-Culture

0% 95% -$754

Tech

0% 83% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1043 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+0	$5	98¢	$0	-$5	05-07 22:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	132	$521.5K	341,656	182,325	+159,331	No	+$606	06-04 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	52	$383.9K	384,313	0	+384,313	Up	+$384	10-08 00:13
will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	3	$374.2K	378,000	0	+378,000	Yes	+$3,780	08-19 21:06
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	2	$304.7K	305,000	0	+305,000	Yes	+$305	09-13 14:54
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$297.7K	298,000	0	+298,000	No	+$298	07-06 21:05
spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	271	$256.5K	256,780	0	+256,780	Up	+$260	08-03 19:31
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$245.8K	248,260	248,260	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	-$2,483	03-21 21:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?	156	$233.1K	233,342	0	+233,342	Up	+$233	10-01 19:13
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	175	$229.3K	142,428	112,570	+29,858	No	+$479	01-08 03:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	216	$215.6K	181,264	52,500	+128,764	Yes	+$5,850	06-17 23:32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	118	$208.3K	208,818	0	+208,818	No	+$522	07-11 23:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	34	$204.5K	112,373	93,036	+19,337	No	+$761	06-01 21:23
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2,908	$190.8K	178,988	12,000	+166,988	No	+$199	08-01 18:58
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 0.5	10	$190.5K	192,004	0	+192,004	Under	+$1,533	09-01 05:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	9	$182.3K	91,349	91,336	+13	No	+$194	10-22 23:24
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	27	$179.8K	180,000	0	+180,000	No	+$180	06-29 23:16
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	82	$168.6K	104,329	65,000	+39,329	Yes	+$419	03-11 07:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$141.4K	96,000	46,000	+50,000	Yes	+$233	04-08 12:58
Will Leylah Fernandez be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$138.3K	138,846	0	+138,846	No	+$561	06-29 17:20
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	25	$137.5K	95,768	42,184	+53,584	No	+$217	05-01 00:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	10	$131.2K	129,413	2,000	+127,413	Yes	+$171	09-15 19:42
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev	29	$128.2K	128,510	0	+128,510	Alexander Zverev	+$292	04-29 01:20
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	43	$125.8K	63,003	63,003	+0	No	+$32	04-06 16:53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	15	$122.5K	122,623	0	+122,623	Yes	+$123	05-30 18:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	168	$112.0K	72,326	72,326	+0	Yes	+$336	02-28 03:41
col1 foc adp 2026 03 24 total 2pt5	6	$111.0K	111,834	0	+111,834	Over	+$833	03-25 03:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	20	$109.9K	110,000	0	+110,000	No	+$110	07-19 21:31
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	2	$108.7K	108,783	0	+108,783	No	+$116	05-26 12:58
atp holmgre oki 2026 03 29	4	$106.0K	106,107	0	+106,107	Yuto Oki	+$107	03-30 11:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	24	$101.9K	101,475	1,475	+100,000	Yes	+$261	07-07 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:56:40	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0x2b213d…
10-29 14:54:28	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe91c75…
10-29 14:50:28	Spread: BG Pathum United (-1.5)	BG Pathum United	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x5c3d44…
10-29 14:41:02	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdbfd48…
10-29 14:34:43	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6b5365…
10-29 14:32:40	Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 0 - 3 Machida Zelvia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ea657…
10-29 14:31:02	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7f2bdf…
10-29 14:29:43	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x529fbb…
10-29 14:29:20	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa58c85…
10-29 14:28:17	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xcfd162…
10-29 14:28:05	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x48c8bc…
10-29 14:27:44	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xaa493e…
10-29 14:27:43	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x372ba1…
10-29 14:26:43	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98a57d…
10-29 14:26:13	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcaaa8f…
10-29 14:25:07	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc737b8…
10-29 14:24:13	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x05f8bb…
10-29 14:20:29	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x368e39…
10-29 14:20:16	Exact Score: Tai Po FC 2 - 4 BG Pathum United?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc8584e…
10-29 14:19:47	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	4,414	100¢	$4,410	0x299c07…
10-29 14:18:53	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c8e9b…
10-29 14:17:40	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd7fda5…
10-29 14:16:04	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xb592d8…
10-29 14:16:02	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0567e0…
10-29 14:16:01	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x6c4899…
10-29 14:15:25	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xdd120b…
10-29 14:15:23	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7863c8…
10-29 14:14:56	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3882cc…
10-29 14:14:46	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	644	100¢	$643	0x08dc70…
10-29 14:14:38	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x689c1c…
10-29 14:13:46	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcf0718…
10-29 14:12:46	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc06c67…
10-29 14:11:28	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe2746e…
10-29 14:11:16	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xddce50…
10-29 14:11:16	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9fc1ae…
10-29 14:09:26	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa82729…
10-29 14:08:44	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x472221…
10-29 14:08:37	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x734a06…
10-29 14:08:17	Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0xe559d9…
10-29 14:06:08	Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1 - 3 Machida Zelvia?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x6f2525…
10-29 13:32:01	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x86e156…
10-29 10:59:10	Will Deportivo La Guaira win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd20712…
10-29 07:36:46	Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3,929	100¢	$3,925	0xe72f44…
10-29 05:57:40	CF América vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xdc9e54…
10-29 05:20:49	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd24209…
10-29 05:13:23	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x02ac29…
10-29 05:06:04	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6db5c6…
10-29 05:01:35	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xfbd404…
10-29 04:59:29	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x300c1c…
10-29 04:57:43	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x968234…
10-29 04:57:38	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x888e1b…
10-29 04:57:34	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x1b6c53…
10-29 04:52:59	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0c7d67…
10-29 04:39:50	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x64423f…
10-29 04:39:34	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x22662c…
10-29 04:39:22	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x41812e…
10-29 04:39:10	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x0e0302…
10-29 04:39:08	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9087e6…
10-29 04:39:07	Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x12e66d…
10-29 04:38:59	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f4f97…
10-29 04:38:58	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x51e6b3…
10-29 04:38:53	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xad0667…
10-29 04:37:07	2026 World Series Series Spread: Brewers (-2.5)	Brewers -2.5	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfca033…
10-29 04:36:58	Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Diego FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcefd02…
10-29 04:13:34	Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x134536…
10-29 04:11:20	Spread: Gimnasia (-6.5)	Gimnasia	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x22c975…
10-29 04:00:41	CSD Municipal vs. Comunicaciones FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,212	0x8ab181…
10-29 03:57:41	Will CSD Municipal vs. Comunicaciones FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee34d2…
10-29 03:57:41	Spread: CSD Municipal (-3.5)	Comunicaciones FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1e711…
10-29 03:57:41	Spread: CSD Municipal (-2.5)	Comunicaciones FC	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x41c691…
10-29 03:55:11	Spread: Aurora FC (-1.5)	Aurora FC	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x184612…
10-29 03:48:13	1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x984ddd…
10-29 03:47:55	nba lal lac 2026 10 28 1h spread away 18pt5	Clippers	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x830fdc…
10-29 03:47:17	Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)	Atletico Tucuman	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2e2b44…
10-29 03:41:10	Boca Juniors vs. Regatas: O/U 162.5	Over	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0xa28336…
10-29 03:41:02	Spread: Boca Juniors (-7.5)	Boca Juniors	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0xee2c3e…
10-29 03:14:41	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 15+ innings?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x748521…
10-29 03:14:37	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 16+ innings?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x08744e…
10-29 03:14:34	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 17+ innings?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x884f04…
10-29 03:12:53	Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x234c33…
10-29 03:02:53	EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x87dde7…
10-29 03:02:11	EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4959fe…
10-29 03:00:58	Deportes Quindio vs. Real Cundinamarca: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8f2786…
10-29 03:00:08	Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c19e9…
10-29 02:59:38	Spread: Deportes Quindio (-1.5)	Deportes Quindio	BUY	679	100¢	$678	0xb8decf…
10-29 02:59:20	Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd060e3…
10-29 02:59:19	Exact Score: FC Dallas 0 - 1 Columbus Crew?	No	BUY	1,905	100¢	$1,903	0x62e85f…
10-29 02:59:11	col2 qui rea 2026 10 28 spread away 1pt5	Deportes Quindio	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68e85f…
10-29 02:59:10	Deportes Quindio vs. Real Cundinamarca: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb0b38…
10-29 02:59:10	Will Deportes Quindio vs. Real Cundinamarca end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc84b05…
10-29 02:59:10	Spread: Deportes Quindio (-2.5)	Real Cundinamarca	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87fb6a…
10-29 02:59:10	Spread: Deportes Quindio (-1.5)	Deportes Quindio	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2436c5…
10-29 02:57:22	EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x350e03…
10-29 02:46:47	EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc34b56…
10-29 02:40:14	St. Louis City SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x4d32d8…
10-29 02:39:20	St. Louis City SC vs. Portland Timbers: St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	748	100¢	$747	0x0c9329…
10-29 02:39:19	St. Louis City SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x37902f…
10-29 02:38:29	Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1216c0…
10-29 02:37:59	Exact Score: Clube do Remo 1 - 1 Botafogo FR?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbec6ae…
10-29 02:37:23	Exact Score: Minnesota United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc7b4a9…