Short-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$173

Unrealized P&L

+$120

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

170

Trades (24h)

457

97,646 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$190.3K

$35.7M lifetime

Avg / trade

$366

Open exposure

$7.18K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 310 days

Categories

Other

81% 100% +$50,076

Politics

8% 96% +$14,077

Crypto

6% 99% +$8,715

Sports

4% 99% -$6,985

Pop-Culture

0% 95% -$754

Tech

0% 83% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1061 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 2.5	Under	—	+2,936	$2,934	100¢	$2.9K	$0	11-06 16:09
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5	Under		+1,803	$1,801	98¢	$1.8K	-$37	11-06 15:57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+510	$200	100¢	$509	+$309	11-05 20:22
Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 4.5	Under	—	+497	$497	85¢	$423	-$74	11-06 16:05
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 1.5	Under		+387	$387	100¢	$387	$0	11-06 15:09
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under		+387	$386	99¢	$383	-$3	11-06 15:50
Will Al Ahli Doha SC win on 2026-11-06?	No		+233	$233	100¢	$233	$0	11-06 16:14
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 2.5	Under		+176	$176	100¢	$176	$0	11-06 15:12
Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 3.5	Under	—	+105	$105	83¢	$88	-$17	11-06 16:09
Will Sukhothai FC win on 2026-11-06?	No		+76	$76	98¢	$75	-$2	11-06 15:24
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 4.5	Under		+69	$69	99¢	$69	$0	11-06 15:54
Exact Score: Qarabag FK 0 - 3 Turan Tovuz?	No	—	+93	$93	55¢	$51	-$42	11-06 16:13
PFC Sogdiana vs. PFK Dinamo Samarqand: O/U 4.5	Under	—	+34	$34	100¢	$34	+$0	11-06 15:22
Exact Score: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 2 - 2 Maccabi Petah Tikva FC?	Yes		+26	$26	99¢	$26	$0	11-06 15:57
Exact Score: FC Goa 2 - 2 Bengaluru FC?	No	—	+21	$21	62¢	$13	-$8	11-06 16:00
Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-3.5)	Maccabi Petah Tikva FC		+14	$13	94¢	$13	-$1	11-06 13:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+0	$5	98¢	$0	-$5	05-07 22:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	132	$521.5K	341,656	182,325	+159,331	No	+$606	06-04 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	52	$383.9K	384,313	0	+384,313	Up	+$384	10-08 00:13
will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	3	$374.2K	378,000	0	+378,000	Yes	+$3,780	08-19 21:06
Hawks vs. Pelicans	28	$347.7K	348,000	0	+348,000	Pelicans	+$348	11-01 01:52
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	2	$304.7K	305,000	0	+305,000	Yes	+$305	09-13 14:54
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$297.7K	298,000	0	+298,000	No	+$298	07-06 21:05
spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	271	$256.5K	256,780	0	+256,780	Up	+$260	08-03 19:31
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$245.8K	248,260	248,260	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	-$2,483	03-21 21:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?	156	$233.1K	233,342	0	+233,342	Up	+$233	10-01 19:13
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	175	$229.3K	142,428	112,570	+29,858	No	+$479	01-08 03:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	216	$215.6K	181,264	52,500	+128,764	Yes	+$5,850	06-17 23:32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	118	$208.3K	208,818	0	+208,818	No	+$522	07-11 23:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	34	$204.5K	112,373	93,036	+19,337	No	+$761	06-01 21:23
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2,908	$190.8K	178,988	12,000	+166,988	No	+$199	08-01 18:58
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 0.5	10	$190.5K	192,004	0	+192,004	Under	+$1,533	09-01 05:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	9	$182.3K	91,349	91,336	+13	No	+$194	10-22 23:24
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	27	$179.8K	180,000	0	+180,000	No	+$180	06-29 23:16
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	82	$168.6K	104,329	65,000	+39,329	Yes	+$419	03-11 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	17	$161.8K	162,085	0	+162,085	Up	+$302	11-04 15:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$141.4K	96,000	46,000	+50,000	Yes	+$233	04-08 12:58
Will Leylah Fernandez be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$138.3K	138,846	0	+138,846	No	+$561	06-29 17:20
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	25	$137.5K	95,768	42,184	+53,584	No	+$217	05-01 00:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	10	$131.2K	129,413	2,000	+127,413	Yes	+$171	09-15 19:42
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	26	$128.4K	128,563	0	+128,563	Yes	+$129	11-02 23:50
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev	29	$128.2K	128,510	0	+128,510	Alexander Zverev	+$292	04-29 01:20
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	43	$125.8K	63,003	63,003	+0	No	+$32	04-06 16:53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	15	$122.5K	122,623	0	+122,623	Yes	+$123	05-30 18:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	168	$112.0K	72,326	72,326	+0	Yes	+$336	02-28 03:41
col1 foc adp 2026 03 24 total 2pt5	6	$111.0K	111,834	0	+111,834	Over	+$833	03-25 03:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	20	$109.9K	110,000	0	+110,000	No	+$110	07-19 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:14:43	Will Al Ahli Doha SC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xe343c9…
11-06 16:13:00	Exact Score: Qarabag FK 0 - 3 Turan Tovuz?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x83d943…
11-06 16:09:18	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6b38df…
11-06 16:09:15	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x54b329…
11-06 16:05:18	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	497	100¢	$497	0x08fc38…
11-06 16:00:43	Exact Score: FC Goa 2 - 2 Bengaluru FC?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa18069…
11-06 15:58:15	Exact Score: FC Goa 2 - 2 Bengaluru FC?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe071c9…
11-06 15:58:06	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x81944b…
11-06 15:57:48	Exact Score: FC Goa 2 - 5 Bengaluru FC?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xb20d37…
11-06 15:57:12	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0x3991a0…
11-06 15:57:12	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c7395…
11-06 15:57:10	Exact Score: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 2 - 2 Maccabi Petah Tikva FC?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xaaf7cc…
11-06 15:56:16	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe85c4b…
11-06 15:55:27	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2,679	100¢	$2,676	0x21c0e0…
11-06 15:54:51	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x5106af…
11-06 15:50:42	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x2afdd8…
11-06 15:27:43	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7053a6…
11-06 15:24:46	Will Sukhothai FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcac972…
11-06 15:24:31	Exact Score: Madura United 3 - 0 Arema FC?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda9ce4…
11-06 15:22:01	PFC Sogdiana vs. PFK Dinamo Samarqand: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac6aa1…
11-06 15:21:37	PFC Sogdiana vs. PFK Dinamo Samarqand: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5a2343…
11-06 15:21:31	PFC Sogdiana vs. PFK Dinamo Samarqand: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ea0f0…
11-06 15:21:16	Exact Score: PFC Sogdiana 1 - 3 PFK Dinamo Samarqand?	Yes	BUY	1,270	100¢	$1,269	0xb9ba1e…
11-06 15:21:13	PFC Sogdiana vs. PFK Dinamo Samarqand: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb92cb8…
11-06 15:12:13	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x3cf547…
11-06 15:10:43	Will Sukhothai FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x9701bf…
11-06 15:09:55	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa5727…
11-06 15:09:46	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xedd7b0…
11-06 15:06:57	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x3093ab…
11-06 15:06:52	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x173bac…
11-06 15:04:33	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x4c0bbe…
11-06 15:02:27	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x02656a…
11-06 15:01:27	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfba0d7…
11-06 15:01:18	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd737fd…
11-06 15:01:15	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,140	100¢	$1,139	0x58e374…
11-06 15:01:12	Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	427	100¢	$427	0xf88219…
11-06 14:36:15	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc156df…
11-06 14:32:42	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7561a0…
11-06 14:25:37	Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcffb90…
11-06 14:25:06	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda2f29…
11-06 14:24:18	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe40f0a…
11-06 14:23:13	Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x03af41…
11-06 14:17:46	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x945079…
11-06 14:09:46	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x26be12…
11-06 14:09:25	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x2ddf58…
11-06 14:09:10	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8da012…
11-06 14:06:09	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	1,263	100¢	$1,262	0xee9a1b…
11-06 14:01:24	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x82cb95…
11-06 14:00:25	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xe9f1a8…
11-06 13:57:54	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x0cb40b…
11-06 13:57:37	Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-3.5)	Maccabi Petah Tikva FC	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x4a3637…
11-06 13:56:46	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xccf613…
11-06 13:54:34	Exact Score: Madura United 3 - 0 Arema FC?	Yes	BUY	2,690	100¢	$2,687	0xa44505…
11-06 13:54:33	Spread: Madura United (-2.5)	Madura United	BUY	2,002	100¢	$1,996	0xc87c58…
11-06 12:22:58	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x9180cc…
11-06 12:14:49	Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2a2459…
11-06 12:14:30	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x2c35fb…
11-06 12:02:48	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x604c3a…
11-06 11:50:18	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9efc10…
11-06 11:43:51	Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	416	100¢	$415	0x91849c…
11-06 11:42:48	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbf1bbc…
11-06 11:23:55	Spread: Sydney FC (-3.5)	Central Coast Mariners FC	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc80f3f…
11-06 11:15:15	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6773a…
11-06 11:07:34	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcaa6b…
11-06 11:06:43	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x9e7e47…
11-06 11:01:16	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x9f2889…
11-06 10:58:43	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0x18949a…
11-06 10:58:15	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf432e3…
11-06 10:53:40	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98c954…
11-06 10:53:36	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	545	100¢	$545	0x68e52a…
11-06 10:52:49	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x6d0da6…
11-06 10:52:18	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x685977…
11-06 10:51:06	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93ddfd…
11-06 10:46:48	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x5a857b…
11-06 10:46:15	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x86cca8…
11-06 10:46:04	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9cb837…
11-06 10:43:51	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea7dcc…
11-06 10:43:12	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf85983…
11-06 10:42:13	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd38a8…
11-06 10:41:30	Spread: Psim Yogyakarta (-1.5)	Dewa United	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0xaa3de8…
11-06 10:41:10	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x98157b…
11-06 10:40:09	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x939b99…
11-06 10:39:46	Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x1e41fb…
11-06 10:39:31	Spread: Sydney FC (-3.5)	Central Coast Mariners FC	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7e6f94…
11-06 10:39:28	Spread: Sydney FC (-3.5)	Central Coast Mariners FC	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x107d7c…
11-06 10:39:25	Exact Score: Sydney FC 5 - 2 Central Coast Mariners FC?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x904a84…
11-06 10:39:25	Spread: Sydney FC (-3.5)	Central Coast Mariners FC	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33ca38…
11-06 10:36:51	Exact Score: Sydney FC 4 - 1 Central Coast Mariners FC?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0a30c8…
11-06 10:36:16	Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	10,661	100¢	$10,650	0xd4633f…
11-06 10:36:03	Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x05bc81…
11-06 10:34:00	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0xcbd843…
11-06 10:33:19	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x683772…
11-06 10:33:15	Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdacbbb…
11-06 10:32:15	Spread: Sydney FC (-3.5)	Central Coast Mariners FC	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3a847…
11-06 10:32:12	Spread: Sydney FC (-3.5)	Central Coast Mariners FC	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe634c0…
11-06 10:32:09	Spread: Sydney FC (-3.5)	Central Coast Mariners FC	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x085f5d…
11-06 10:32:07	Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe05861…
11-06 10:30:28	Spread: Dewa United (-2.5)	Psim Yogyakarta	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x53e75f…
11-06 10:29:52	Will Psim Yogyakarta win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1dbe6d…
11-06 07:40:42	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	2,403	100¢	$2,400	0xbb44b6…