Short-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

320

Trades (24h)

617

97,151 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$401.6K

$35.5M lifetime

Avg / trade

$366

Open exposure

$5.45K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 309 days

Categories

Other

81% 100% +$49,854

Politics

8% 96% +$14,076

Crypto

6% 99% +$8,715

Sports

4% 99% -$6,985

Pop-Culture

0% 95% -$754

Tech

0% 83% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1061 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	Yes	+4,135	$4,131	100¢	$4.1K	+$0	11-05 02:47
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?	No	+1,317	$1,316	100¢	$1.3K	+$0	11-05 01:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	$5	98¢	$0	-$5	05-07 22:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	132	$521.5K	341,656	182,325	+159,331	No	+$606	06-04 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	52	$383.9K	384,313	0	+384,313	Up	+$384	10-08 00:13
will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	3	$374.2K	378,000	0	+378,000	Yes	+$3,780	08-19 21:06
Hawks vs. Pelicans	28	$347.7K	348,000	0	+348,000	Pelicans	+$348	11-01 01:52
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	2	$304.7K	305,000	0	+305,000	Yes	+$305	09-13 14:54
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$297.7K	298,000	0	+298,000	No	+$298	07-06 21:05
spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	271	$256.5K	256,780	0	+256,780	Up	+$260	08-03 19:31
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$245.8K	248,260	248,260	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	-$2,483	03-21 21:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?	156	$233.1K	233,342	0	+233,342	Up	+$233	10-01 19:13
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	175	$229.3K	142,428	112,570	+29,858	No	+$479	01-08 03:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	216	$215.6K	181,264	52,500	+128,764	Yes	+$5,850	06-17 23:32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	118	$208.3K	208,818	0	+208,818	No	+$522	07-11 23:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	34	$204.5K	112,373	93,036	+19,337	No	+$761	06-01 21:23
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2,908	$190.8K	178,988	12,000	+166,988	No	+$199	08-01 18:58
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 0.5	10	$190.5K	192,004	0	+192,004	Under	+$1,533	09-01 05:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	9	$182.3K	91,349	91,336	+13	No	+$194	10-22 23:24
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	27	$179.8K	180,000	0	+180,000	No	+$180	06-29 23:16
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	82	$168.6K	104,329	65,000	+39,329	Yes	+$419	03-11 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	17	$161.8K	162,085	0	+162,085	Up	+$302	11-04 15:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$141.4K	96,000	46,000	+50,000	Yes	+$233	04-08 12:58
Will Leylah Fernandez be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$138.3K	138,846	0	+138,846	No	+$561	06-29 17:20
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	25	$137.5K	95,768	42,184	+53,584	No	+$217	05-01 00:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	10	$131.2K	129,413	2,000	+127,413	Yes	+$171	09-15 19:42
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	26	$128.4K	128,563	0	+128,563	Yes	+$129	11-02 23:50
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev	29	$128.2K	128,510	0	+128,510	Alexander Zverev	+$292	04-29 01:20
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	43	$125.8K	63,003	63,003	+0	No	+$32	04-06 16:53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	15	$122.5K	122,623	0	+122,623	Yes	+$123	05-30 18:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	168	$112.0K	72,326	72,326	+0	Yes	+$336	02-28 03:41
col1 foc adp 2026 03 24 total 2pt5	6	$111.0K	111,834	0	+111,834	Over	+$833	03-25 03:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	20	$109.9K	110,000	0	+110,000	No	+$110	07-19 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 04:53:55	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x745141…
11-05 04:46:55	Will Escorpiones de Belén win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	2,443	100¢	$2,441	0xe8c1ba…
11-05 04:26:01	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xde44de…
11-05 04:26:01	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8724af…
11-05 04:19:13	Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x1bc033…
11-05 04:18:57	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x093add…
11-05 04:18:19	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x140f3c…
11-05 04:13:55	Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x336f41…
11-05 04:13:43	Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0fdfe5…
11-05 04:11:34	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x5896e9…
11-05 04:11:00	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x028432…
11-05 04:06:09	Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0adc3c…
11-05 04:05:09	Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0xd804b0…
11-05 04:05:04	Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9cb53…
11-05 04:04:58	Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x5026b8…
11-05 04:04:34	Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x22f1c3…
11-05 03:56:18	Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x78bebd…
11-05 03:54:30	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xa1724d…
11-05 03:52:54	Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x14e9df…
11-05 03:48:31	Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcd1ce5…
11-05 03:47:34	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x656e96…
11-05 03:47:25	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xd4567a…
11-05 03:37:36	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xd65d2b…
11-05 03:34:54	Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)	América de Cali	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x86d7e5…
11-05 03:34:24	Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fd92c…
11-05 03:33:51	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1b4666…
11-05 03:33:03	Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x9d989f…
11-05 03:32:33	Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11f49e…
11-05 03:31:45	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x0ba1dc…
11-05 03:31:18	Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2f7c64…
11-05 03:31:04	Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x35b41f…
11-05 03:31:03	Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xfd95d4…
11-05 03:30:57	Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x1bd73a…
11-05 03:30:48	Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb02570…
11-05 03:30:24	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2e63a4…
11-05 03:29:07	Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd1825…
11-05 03:28:33	Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x906c34…
11-05 03:28:22	Exact Score: Millonarios FC 0 - 1 América de Cali?	No	BUY	1,012	100¢	$1,011	0xd46d05…
11-05 03:27:45	Exact Score: Millonarios FC 2 - 1 América de Cali?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0x543ad4…
11-05 03:27:43	Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2,566	100¢	$2,563	0x5f6714…
11-05 03:25:43	Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80ebd0…
11-05 03:25:15	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e9e13…
11-05 03:21:24	1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,091	100¢	$1,090	0x2a5229…
11-05 03:15:18	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	503	100¢	$503	0x333765…
11-05 03:15:00	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8c016b…
11-05 03:10:31	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 1 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x05dc92…
11-05 03:04:01	Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x16207f…
11-05 03:03:31	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0x93e962…
11-05 03:01:58	Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	481	100¢	$481	0xbb239c…
11-05 03:00:27	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x41aabe…
11-05 02:58:30	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1,804	100¢	$1,802	0x42e9bd…
11-05 02:58:12	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1690a0…
11-05 02:56:51	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0xb457e9…
11-05 02:47:33	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e73d3…
11-05 02:44:24	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x992bb9…
11-05 02:40:19	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x514cdc…
11-05 02:37:58	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc64c41…
11-05 02:36:16	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3b0c7…
11-05 02:35:30	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26bdc1…
11-05 02:33:01	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa656f7…
11-05 02:32:39	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x06f2d6…
11-05 02:32:22	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe39818…
11-05 02:32:18	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 2 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x8d1c47…
11-05 02:32:13	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8fa17f…
11-05 02:31:55	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x477fcb…
11-05 02:31:52	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc192b7…
11-05 02:31:51	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0d5365…
11-05 02:31:43	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 4 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x2d0a05…
11-05 02:31:24	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x128c74…
11-05 02:30:58	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xd51d12…
11-05 02:30:39	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1,514	100¢	$1,513	0xe24fea…
11-05 02:30:30	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	637	100¢	$636	0x863a9b…
11-05 02:29:57	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	465	100¢	$465	0xdf5da9…
11-05 02:29:52	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x1e5d76…
11-05 02:29:43	Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x57458c…
11-05 02:23:57	Exact Score: Botafogo FR 2 - 1 CA Mineiro?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x117c6d…
11-05 02:23:12	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8f3e24…
11-05 02:23:12	Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6,004	100¢	$5,998	0x319412…
11-05 02:18:54	Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 102.5	Over	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x853aad…
11-05 02:18:04	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x075613…
11-05 02:15:58	Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	527	100¢	$526	0x8344d6…
11-05 02:14:49	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1,207	100¢	$1,205	0x968e8b…
11-05 02:12:16	Exact Score: Puntarenas FC 1 - 2 AD San Carlos?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbf7e22…
11-05 02:02:45	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1,159	100¢	$1,158	0xa0f14d…
11-05 01:56:57	Hornets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5	Under	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0xe4fc11…
11-05 01:50:28	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe4d37f…
11-05 01:47:48	Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc2e8d8…
11-05 01:46:19	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xb4247e…
11-05 01:40:42	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x3e62c2…
11-05 01:38:10	W35 Orlando, FL: Ema Burgic vs Luciana Perry	Luciana Perry	BUY	81,389	100¢	$81,308	0x445973…
11-05 01:36:45	Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	342	100¢	$341	0xccba60…
11-05 01:25:43	Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6c599e…
11-05 01:25:01	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbe95b8…
11-05 01:18:42	CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x167417…
11-05 01:16:45	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x088256…
11-05 01:10:58	Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xe57ead…
11-05 01:01:48	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9ff882…
11-05 00:59:06	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 4 CR Vasco da Gama?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc65683…
11-05 00:54:13	CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	483	100¢	$483	0xb28445…
11-05 00:50:18	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a1c00…