Quiet-Director — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

404

lifetime

Volume

$2.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-06 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% — —

Other

26% 100% +$1

Politics

14% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes		+45	$1	2¢	$1	$-0	06-06 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770284700	9	$78	49	49	+0	open	—	02-05 09:54
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	2	$67	39	39	+0	open	—	01-10 07:31
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$66	65	65	+0	open	—	03-18 19:12
btc updown 15m 1770892200	7	$55	39	39	+0	open	—	02-12 10:36
btc updown 15m 1770285600	5	$51	32	31	+0	open	—	02-05 10:07
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$44	31	31	+0	open	—	02-24 19:46
btc updown 15m 1770752700	8	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	02-10 19:58
btc updown 15m 1770504300	6	$41	45	17	+28	open	—	02-07 22:59
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	5	$41	59	59	+0	open	—	01-05 22:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	02-28 20:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$35	35	35	+0	open	—	03-03 23:20
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 20:01
btc updown 15m 1770417000	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-06 22:42
cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-11 20:36
btc updown 15m 1770891300	3	$26	22	7	+15	open	—	02-12 10:24
cs2 big5 bca 2026 04 04	3	$26	22	10	+12	open	—	04-04 20:33
btc updown 15m 1770931800	5	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	02-12 21:40
btc updown 15m 1770214500	8	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	02-04 14:26
btc updown 15m 1770890400	6	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	02-12 10:13
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$23	32	32	+0	open	—	02-17 21:40
btc updown 15m 1770417900	5	$22	21	20	+0	open	—	02-06 22:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-12 04:37
btc updown 15m 1770389100	4	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	02-06 14:59
btc updown 15m 1770932700	4	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	02-12 21:53
btc updown 15m 1770388200	6	$22	15	14	+0	open	—	02-06 14:35
btc updown 15m 1770327900	6	$21	20	19	+0	open	—	02-05 21:52
cs2 fut mglz 2026 04 10	3	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-10 19:30
btc updown 15m 1770387300	5	$21	29	24	+6	open	—	02-06 14:28
btc updown 15m 1770759900	7	$21	29	28	+0	open	—	02-10 21:49
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-05 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 20:55:37	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xa7da59…
06-02 20:00:47	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1f0797…
05-15 22:42:56	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1bdf56…
05-15 22:35:02	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x86eeb9…
05-14 21:10:49	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0xb8ee23…
05-14 20:51:55	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x6ef34c…
05-12 23:07:51	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x383585…
05-12 04:37:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9dfd52…
05-07 18:32:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd77405…
05-07 18:32:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x65b2e7…
04-29 05:56:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xe4cb1f…
04-28 08:43:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x318c13…
04-27 09:42:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x594a50…
04-25 09:34:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4a0751…
04-25 09:18:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xcd217b…
04-23 12:16:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xebf13a…
04-22 18:50:16	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8bd249…
04-22 11:54:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9ad1f8…
04-22 08:51:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x8c155c…
04-22 08:47:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x70a691…
04-21 10:04:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x12bb71…
04-19 19:13:52	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Vitality	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x4a851f…
04-14 13:59:05	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 04 14 map handicap home 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xecd5ce…
04-14 08:57:13	cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	Vitality	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x0427f2…
04-13 19:59:15	cs2 furia pssnua 2026 04 13	FURIA	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x985c98…
04-11 20:36:07	cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11	FUT Esports	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xadac78…
04-10 20:17:05	cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11	FUT Esports	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd2bdd0…
04-10 19:30:59	cs2 fut mglz 2026 04 10	FUT Esports	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7628ad…
04-10 04:32:59	cs2 fut mglz 2026 04 10	FUT Esports	BUY	8	53¢	$5	0x4420af…
04-09 20:18:47	cs2 fut mglz 2026 04 10	FUT Esports	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1e6288…
04-09 06:45:55	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa2d894…
04-08 20:48:29	highest temperature in los angeles on april 8 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x31f2ad…
04-08 20:47:39	highest temperature in los angeles on april 8 2026 68 69f	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x9fd4d4…
04-08 20:17:17	highest temperature in los angeles on april 8 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x43ee7d…
04-08 20:15:17	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xfd0208…
04-06 12:18:49	cs2 b8 3dmax 2026 04 06	B8	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xd74f33…
04-06 10:12:21	highest temperature in lucknow on april 6 2026 33corbelow	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x4c3d20…
04-06 10:05:51	cs2 b8 3dmax 2026 04 06	B8	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7f0720…
04-06 09:38:17	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9b0b55…
04-05 19:38:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xda43d2…
04-05 19:37:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6d60d3…
04-05 19:37:07	cs2 faze big5 2026 04 05 game2	FaZe	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x89639b…
04-05 19:17:53	cs2 faze big5 2026 04 05 game2	FaZe	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4e03e5…
04-05 18:58:55	cs2 sng2 pssnua 2026 04 05	Passion UA	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x40f468…
04-05 17:59:57	cs2 sng2 pssnua 2026 04 05	Passion UA	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa02590…
04-05 17:55:53	cs2 sng2 pssnua 2026 04 05	Passion UA	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xdd8358…
04-04 20:33:17	cs2 big5 bca 2026 04 04	BIG	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xc4657f…
04-04 20:22:01	cs2 big5 bca 2026 04 04	BIG	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x91a7a4…
04-04 20:21:53	cs2 prv fokus 2026 04 05	PARIVISION	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x341fd5…
04-04 20:19:33	cs2 big5 bca 2026 04 04	BIG	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x495788…
04-03 23:19:53	btc updown 5m 1775258100	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x986374…
04-03 22:54:23	btc updown 5m 1775256600	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x967bff…
04-03 22:53:15	btc updown 5m 1775256600	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x601d9b…
04-03 22:51:03	btc updown 5m 1775256600	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x80a2de…
04-03 22:50:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x0241a6…
04-03 22:48:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x33ad0e…
04-03 22:30:05	btc updown 5m 1775255100	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x42f62d…
04-03 22:25:01	btc updown 5m 1775254800	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xea7c96…
04-03 22:06:01	nhl phi nyi 2026 04 03	Islanders	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x54267c…
03-27 17:00:47	cs2 fal2 prv 2026 03 27	PARIVISION	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1c5eae…
03-26 16:42:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0xa6b294…
03-24 22:14:49	btc updown 5m 1774390200	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa5c481…
03-24 21:30:29	btc updown 5m 1774387800	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xddf3b3…
03-23 21:38:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xe75169…
03-23 21:35:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x475f70…
03-18 19:12:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x19b290…
03-15 21:17:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x63f13d…
03-11 21:37:19	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf05f61…
03-09 21:31:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x402264…
03-09 20:22:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	48	58¢	$28	0x90157b…
03-03 23:24:57	btc updown 5m 1772580000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f84a4…
03-03 23:23:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9cbb4c…
03-03 23:20:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0xb28ab7…
03-03 23:19:21	btc updown 5m 1772579700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc626d6…
03-03 23:17:33	btc updown 5m 1772579700	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5837f9…
03-03 23:06:55	btc updown 15m 1772578800	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x81774c…
03-03 23:03:13	btc updown 15m 1772578800	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xa6d3ef…
03-03 23:03:11	btc updown 15m 1772578800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe38069…
03-03 23:03:11	btc updown 15m 1772578800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7913ae…
03-03 23:02:59	btc updown 15m 1772578800	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x29d9f5…
03-03 22:59:55	btc updown 5m 1772578500	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x49c98b…
03-03 21:11:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x70d95e…
03-02 21:35:01	btc updown 5m 1772487000	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x01b780…
03-02 21:30:01	btc updown 5m 1772486700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb4ea2a…
03-02 21:28:15	btc updown 15m 1772486100	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x74cdd1…
03-02 21:21:51	btc updown 15m 1772486100	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x45997b…
03-02 21:19:43	btc updown 5m 1772486100	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x150503…
03-02 21:11:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xaec357…
03-02 21:10:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xa357ac…
03-02 13:15:07	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x4d2026…
02-28 20:19:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xd3eb91…
02-28 14:53:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x3915c6…
02-26 11:10:32	btc updown 15m 1772103600	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x6ea9d7…
02-26 11:08:28	btc updown 15m 1772103600	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x003670…
02-24 19:46:38	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x57b904…
02-24 19:46:02	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x8cd7b6…
02-23 23:58:16	btc updown 15m 1771890300	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xcdebb6…
02-23 23:58:16	btc updown 15m 1771890300	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x20120e…
02-23 23:54:50	btc updown 5m 1771890600	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x47dbd4…
02-23 23:49:16	btc updown 15m 1771890300	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x184d41…