Well-Off-Crude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$87

Hit rate

35.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-02 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Sports

46% 12% -$2,199

Crypto

35% 41% +$6

Other

16% 33% -$9

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+355	$110	6¢	$23	-$87	05-04 23:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1000	2,463	0	+2,463	No	-$1,000	07-17 18:04
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$1000	3,030	0	+3,030	Seahawks	-$1,000	02-08 22:48
ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	6	$530	552	552	+0	Up	+$68	06-05 19:41
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$310	1,069	0	+1,069	Max Holloway	-$310	07-12 02:59
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$250	391	0	+391	No	+$141	07-15 19:04
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	1	$250	532	0	+532	Yes	+$282	06-12 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$218	161	161	+0	Up	+$18	05-28 20:18
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	1	$200	312	0	+312	No	-$200	06-21 20:02
cfb mia ind 2026 01 19	2	$200	769	0	+769	Indiana	-$200	01-20 00:12
ethereum up or down june 4 2026 6pm et	2	$200	387	0	+387	Up	+$187	06-04 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$127	265	0	+265	Up	+$137	05-07 18:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$110	355	0	+355	open	—	05-04 23:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 22:30 UTC	1	$110	437	0	+437	Down	-$110	06-12 22:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$106	577	577	+0	Down	-$94	05-28 21:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$100	214	0	+214	Down	-$100	05-07 20:00
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$100	196	0	+196	Ciryl Gane	-$100	06-15 01:46
ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	3	$100	477	0	+477	Mauricio Ruffy	-$100	06-15 01:58
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	1	$100	184	0	+184	Down	+$84	06-05 00:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 04:00 UTC	1	$100	293	0	+293	Down	-$100	06-24 04:04
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	1	$100	476	0	+476	Justin Gaethje	+$376	06-15 01:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$76	114	66	+48	Down	+$6	05-07 22:03
ethereum above 2000 on august 6 2026	1	$50	3,287	0	+3,287	No	-$50	08-06 05:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC	3	$49	115	91	+24	Down	+$13	06-15 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$47	56	56	+0	Up	-$3	06-15 02:02
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	3	$35	674	0	+674	Sean O'Malley	-$35	06-15 03:22
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	1	$30	143	0	+143	Josh Hokit	-$30	06-15 01:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$30	110	0	+110	Down	-$19	05-04 21:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$30	427	0	+427	Up	-$30	05-04 21:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$30	45	0	+45	Up	+$15	05-04 21:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$25	107	0	+107	Down	-$25	05-04 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 19:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9a7aa3…
08-06 05:17:03	ethereum above 2000 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	3,287	2¢	$50	0x977202…
07-17 18:04:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,463	41¢	$1,000	0x819724…
07-15 19:04:43	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	391	64¢	$250	0x1fb564…
07-12 02:59:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	1,069	29¢	$310	0x6ae1e6…
06-24 04:04:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0x7daf6d…
06-21 20:02:43	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0xdd371e…
06-15 03:22:57	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0f0cbb…
06-15 03:20:36	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x0baecb…
06-15 03:19:40	UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3faa07…
06-15 02:23:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x57254e…
06-15 02:23:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	91	21¢	$19	0x0a2fb1…
06-15 02:22:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0x130b52…
06-15 02:02:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0x93bbbc…
06-15 02:01:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x9e8ad1…
06-15 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x1c33a2…
06-15 01:58:03	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xd5889a…
06-15 01:53:24	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xa1ddb4…
06-15 01:53:12	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x0bfe69…
06-15 01:47:03	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x1cb2ae…
06-15 01:46:07	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x563b2c…
06-15 01:44:27	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x5aa155…
06-12 22:36:55	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	532	47¢	$250	0x4bd502…
06-12 22:33:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	437	25¢	$110	0x2d7f89…
06-05 19:41:04	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xf38354…
06-05 19:36:36	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	522	55¢	$286	0xfaf5dd…
06-05 19:28:27	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x0f7723…
06-05 19:21:25	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xba6f65…
06-05 19:21:25	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x12504d…
06-05 19:14:24	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3b82f1…
06-05 00:42:42	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xf58085…
06-04 22:24:48	ethereum up or down june 4 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xaa17b2…
06-04 22:24:43	ethereum up or down june 4 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xa85570…
05-28 21:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	577	1¢	$6	0x26804f…
05-28 21:47:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	577	17¢	$100	0x6d70c9…
05-28 20:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	161	73¢	$118	0x933a4e…
05-28 20:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xdb1145…
05-27 20:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x51a07b…
05-08 19:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd79528…
05-08 19:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6f4def…
05-08 19:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9e13b7…
05-07 23:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0x937145…
05-07 23:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x620ada…
05-07 23:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf41b5c…
05-07 22:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x243fe0…
05-07 22:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8f8dcd…
05-07 22:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	66	62¢	$41	0x30c4e1…
05-07 22:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xcf9b54…
05-07 20:04:32	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe16ee3…
05-07 20:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x355ff3…
05-07 19:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x083a5e…
05-07 18:49:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x82956e…
05-07 18:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9335bd…
05-07 18:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0x0e8514…
05-04 23:04:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	355	31¢	$110	0x71c631…
05-04 22:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0xf0e80a…
05-04 21:33:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	385	6¢	$25	0xe0c67d…
05-04 21:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb902a2…
05-04 21:31:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0xde55ae…
05-04 21:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7e2736…
05-04 21:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe1d2c3…
05-04 21:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd81c55…
05-04 21:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x59f081…
05-04 21:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xab37de…
05-04 21:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	223	2¢	$5	0x26ede4…
04-07 17:14:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	434	5¢	$20	0x86d0f2…
04-06 21:11:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8829eb…
02-08 22:48:57	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0xb9d47f…
01-20 00:12:06	cfb mia ind 2026 01 19	Miami	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x63f5b9…
01-20 00:11:42	cfb mia ind 2026 01 19	Miami	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xd40168…