Scientific-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$120

Unrealized P&L

-$96

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$30.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$561

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 17% $-124

Politics

21% 100% +$4

Crypto

20% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+852	$508	46¢	$396	$-112	07-22 20:07
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		-241	$-181	69¢	$-165	+$15	06-12 20:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	17	$2.5K	7,628	1,054	+6,574	open	—	04-28 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$2.5K	1,434	1,434	+0	open	—	04-27 19:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$1.5K	0	3,002	-3,002	open	—	04-15 20:54
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$820	415	415	+0	open	—	01-20 20:12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	11	$804	653	340	+313	Up	+$2	05-04 19:51
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$784	800	800	+0	open	—	01-20 21:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	2	$733	369	369	+0	open	—	06-10 23:17
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$714	359	359	+0	open	—	02-01 06:21
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	8	$673	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	01-20 21:25
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	3	$642	322	322	+0	open	—	04-01 07:20
si hit 150 high jan 2026	2	$636	320	320	+0	open	—	01-29 15:29
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	11	$624	0	1,302	-1,302	open	—	04-16 21:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$621	625	0	+625	No	+$4	05-10 21:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$616	342	342	+0	open	—	07-01 05:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$550	0	1,101	-1,101	open	—	04-20 19:35
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	2	$513	265	265	+0	open	—	02-28 16:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$508	852	0	+852	open	—	07-22 20:07
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 5 11	2	$501	251	251	+0	open	—	01-10 04:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	07-02 20:49
wta fernand sonmez 2026 04 16	5	$478	533	365	+169	open	—	04-16 19:47
cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	5	$476	350	350	+0	open	—	01-04 15:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$411	214	213	+1	open	—	04-21 00:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	4	$401	416	416	+0	open	—	04-28 13:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$400	263	263	+0	open	—	05-23 07:31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	9	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 22:20
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	6	$391	1,692	192	+1,500	Down	$-13	05-04 19:59
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$367	268	268	+0	open	—	04-30 07:10
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$359	359	0	+359	open	—	02-03 20:34
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$346	193	192	+1	open	—	04-20 19:18
will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	2	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	07-16 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 13:16:57	bitcoin above 66k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	91	95¢	$86	0xf52538…
07-22 20:07:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xafec51…
07-22 19:28:39	bitcoin above 66k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xaf2a83…
07-22 19:27:24	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	130	39¢	$50	0xbd4426…
07-19 19:12:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	358	1¢	$5	0x8f337b…
07-16 20:18:22	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x5ec241…
07-16 20:16:14	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x213279…
07-16 12:48:28	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	SELL	125	52¢	$65	0xdf0ae0…
07-15 19:56:19	bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	367	1¢	$2	0x4deb03…
07-15 19:55:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x9630c1…
07-15 19:54:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x36448d…
07-14 07:24:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0xdf86a9…
07-14 06:22:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xfbe259…
07-14 05:13:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x02bf98…
07-14 03:59:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x93b846…
07-14 02:02:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	60¢	$58	0x954743…
07-13 20:52:08	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x5799e1…
07-13 20:51:47	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc947fe…
07-13 20:51:17	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xf8bf6d…
07-13 20:21:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x0f0dc3…
07-13 20:20:53	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	57	78¢	$44	0x597925…
07-07 20:05:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x05347f…
07-07 20:05:14	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xafcc99…
07-07 20:02:04	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x9ee0b1…
07-07 19:52:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe6f33d…
07-02 20:49:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x34b8cc…
07-02 20:44:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	71¢	$250	0x6a6bbb…
07-01 05:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	342	99¢	$339	0xfdff65…
06-30 20:49:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x5996c5…
06-30 20:46:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x6fb4f9…
06-12 20:24:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	219	81¢	$177	0x68d588…
06-12 20:23:12	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	241	75¢	$181	0x99dd08…
06-11 21:16:09	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	283	95¢	$268	0xe6759c…
06-11 21:13:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x525d0e…
06-10 23:17:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	SELL	369	100¢	$368	0xcb5cea…
06-10 19:28:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	369	99¢	$365	0xc43154…
06-07 21:06:18	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xd93f56…
06-05 06:20:04	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x9e6fa6…
06-04 08:43:37	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf97f5a…
06-04 08:43:37	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xeeddf0…
06-04 08:43:37	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe36b7c…
06-04 08:43:37	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xbc04e4…
06-04 08:43:37	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x6abf28…
06-04 08:43:37	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x050ce7…
06-04 08:30:24	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf5ec8c…
06-04 08:30:24	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xc9a5ad…
06-04 08:30:24	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Down	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0xc06594…
06-04 08:30:24	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x84747c…
06-04 08:30:24	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x53d892…
06-04 08:22:06	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x4755fa…
06-04 08:16:57	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x81ca91…
06-04 08:16:57	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5ca2f8…
06-04 08:16:57	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x3a7ebf…
06-04 08:16:57	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Down	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x00cf8f…
06-04 08:15:57	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc42723…
06-04 08:15:57	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb0ca6a…
06-04 08:15:54	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xeb0eeb…
06-04 08:15:52	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xf35479…
06-04 08:15:52	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1f275c…
06-04 08:02:28	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb28df8…
06-04 08:02:28	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x403e4e…
06-04 08:02:28	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Down	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x376be0…
06-04 08:01:16	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xd4c525…
06-04 08:01:15	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xeb8700…
06-04 08:01:15	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc4061a…
06-04 08:01:15	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7c977d…
06-04 08:01:15	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x675d0e…
06-04 08:01:15	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4561c8…
06-04 08:01:13	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x0e448d…
06-04 07:46:18	btc updown 15m 1780559100	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xf551fd…
06-04 07:46:18	btc updown 15m 1780559100	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x76b229…
06-04 07:46:18	btc updown 15m 1780559100	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x60ed48…
06-04 07:46:18	btc updown 15m 1780559100	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x5f0498…
06-04 07:46:18	btc updown 15m 1780559100	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x189b44…
06-04 07:30:49	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x94ddec…
06-04 07:30:49	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x4985ae…
06-04 07:30:49	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x289beb…
06-04 07:30:49	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x1196f4…
06-04 07:30:22	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x9baaf4…
06-04 07:30:22	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x52b985…
06-04 07:30:21	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe39d42…
06-04 07:30:21	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa84a74…
06-04 07:16:19	btc updown 15m 1780557300	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc36980…
06-04 07:16:19	btc updown 15m 1780557300	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x69bc31…
06-04 07:16:19	btc updown 15m 1780557300	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x5738cc…
06-04 07:16:19	btc updown 15m 1780557300	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x26ee66…
06-04 07:16:16	btc updown 15m 1780557300	Up	BUY	38	38¢	$15	0x1fbdbe…
06-04 07:15:00	btc updown 15m 1780557300	Down	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x19ac85…
06-04 07:02:15	btc updown 15m 1780556400	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x806449…
06-04 06:45:39	btc updown 15m 1780555500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xceb006…
06-04 06:45:37	btc updown 15m 1780555500	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x973626…
06-04 06:45:37	btc updown 15m 1780555500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x956507…
06-04 06:45:37	btc updown 15m 1780555500	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x854624…
06-04 06:45:37	btc updown 15m 1780555500	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x23da0f…
06-04 06:36:04	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xfbeee6…
06-04 06:36:04	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xcb61ab…
06-04 06:36:04	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa68934…
06-04 06:36:04	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7db2e8…
06-04 06:36:04	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x6b237f…
06-04 06:36:04	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x606bf6…