Capital-Hydrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$4.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-05 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Sports

74% 50% -$3

Crypto

15% 100% +$5

Other

10% 74% -$37

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$2.4K	6,412	6,412	+0	No	$0	06-17 03:05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.2K	4,380	4,370	+10	Yes	+$4	06-19 02:23
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	1	$68	228	0	+228	No	-$68	07-12 06:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 7?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-05 08:06
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	2	$46	24	22	+2	No	+$0	06-17 02:33
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	2	$44	23	21	+2	No	+$0	06-23 07:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	09-08 03:08
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$37	19	18	+1	No	+$0	08-25 03:11
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$30	21	21	+0	No	+$0	02-10 02:15
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	$0	02-10 02:15
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	02-10 02:15
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-09 06:06
will mistral have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$23	12	11	+2	No	$0	03-05 01:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-09 06:05
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-06 03:36
Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	08-02 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$20	48	0	+48	No	+$28	05-15 03:10
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-02 08:02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	08-25 03:13
tim walz charged by march 31	1	$17	0	18	-18	No	-$1	01-05 10:23
dota2 pari cb3 2026 01 05	1	$17	18	0	+18	PARIVISION	+$1	01-05 10:26
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$17	0	17	-17	No	$0	01-16 02:22
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-31 01:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-19 06:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-23 07:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$16	19	0	+19	No	+$3	05-23 07:04
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$16	10	9	+1	No	+$1	03-10 02:36
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-08 01:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-19 06:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 22?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-19 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 08:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8aeb22…
09-08 03:08:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbebe2c…
08-25 03:13:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdac9e1…
08-25 03:11:42	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x83d542…
08-02 08:03:14	Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb2f5a4…
08-02 08:02:42	Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc7ea78…
08-02 08:02:06	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfc085b…
07-18 06:33:57	bitcoin above 54k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x48635c…
07-18 06:33:46	bitcoin above 56k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbd5658…
07-18 06:33:36	bitcoin above 56k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x810dc6…
07-18 06:33:24	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1e8c39…
07-12 06:03:58	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	228	30¢	$68	0x12c5aa…
06-23 07:32:11	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7751e3…
06-23 07:32:05	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcc4485…
06-23 07:31:58	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdcb452…
06-23 07:31:50	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x975d51…
06-23 07:31:43	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x611136…
06-23 07:31:37	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xac6aad…
06-23 07:31:31	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbdbbcf…
06-23 07:31:22	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9129d0…
06-23 07:31:16	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x458583…
06-23 07:31:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf26555…
06-23 07:30:46	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc2527e…
06-19 02:23:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,370	14¢	$594	0x6b8af8…
06-19 02:06:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,380	14¢	$600	0xb1fabe…
06-17 03:05:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	431	18¢	$80	0x0e9316…
06-17 03:05:39	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xe16e70…
06-17 03:05:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	361	19¢	$67	0xea1129…
06-17 03:05:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	206	18¢	$38	0x78d8ee…
06-17 03:05:21	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x0bad89…
06-17 03:05:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf00c52…
06-17 03:05:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,703	18¢	$500	0x9c1ea8…
06-17 03:04:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,685	18¢	$497	0x272c0f…
06-17 02:45:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,412	18¢	$1,186	0x032552…
06-17 02:33:12	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x500b08…
06-09 06:06:48	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5c14c3…
06-09 06:06:25	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xff19ef…
06-09 06:06:04	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3611ea…
06-09 06:05:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb725d6…
05-23 07:04:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xc289e9…
05-23 07:04:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xba6df0…
05-23 07:04:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdfb396…
05-23 07:04:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa26545…
05-23 07:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf1e5e1…
05-19 06:59:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf9b35c…
05-19 06:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9e1a18…
05-19 06:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x89e227…
05-19 06:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x481814…
05-15 03:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x47c4e5…
05-15 03:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7926ac…
05-15 03:10:45	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xf52c7a…
05-06 03:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x661323…
05-06 03:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xed9b16…
05-06 03:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4d6e60…
05-06 03:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x190797…
04-13 02:45:55	bitcoin above 60k on april 14	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x32f558…
04-13 02:45:49	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5fcd39…
04-08 01:13:41	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb04c07…
04-08 01:13:25	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9bfa3e…
04-08 01:12:51	bitcoin above 56k on april 10	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe8bdf2…
04-08 01:11:45	bitcoin above 56k on april 9	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf0e014…
04-08 01:11:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc8a662…
04-01 03:06:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ad581…
04-01 03:05:59	bitcoin above 56k on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb23b1…
04-01 03:05:49	bitcoin above 80k on april 2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30ebbd…
04-01 03:05:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa98f77…
03-29 02:21:44	bitcoin above 80k on march 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5decee…
03-29 02:21:32	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcfe256…
03-29 02:21:20	bitcoin above 72k on march 29	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x19f3ba…
03-20 07:16:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb7d11d…
03-20 07:16:07	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7add34…
03-20 07:15:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9efffc…
03-10 02:38:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a0bed…
03-10 02:38:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b69de…
03-10 02:37:49	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 9	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9a0fe1…
03-10 02:37:39	ethereum above 1800 on march 10	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53a3a7…
03-10 02:37:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e9ee9…
03-10 02:36:47	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xe69e85…
03-05 01:46:03	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb20d24…
03-05 01:45:25	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x507584…
03-05 01:45:03	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb71c4…
03-05 01:44:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfbfcec…
03-05 01:44:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1a367…
03-05 01:36:43	will mistral have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf73353…
02-10 02:22:47	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba0aab…
02-10 02:22:37	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xec1d29…
02-10 02:22:23	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbaf765…
02-10 02:22:05	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01e099…
02-10 02:15:41	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x20d5e5…
02-10 02:15:37	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa45a4c…
02-10 02:15:33	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0xb63355…
02-08 07:39:53	will mistral have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1b7c43…
02-08 07:39:35	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x00ab76…
02-08 07:39:25	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcf02c6…
01-31 01:19:52	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xcbe0ec…
01-31 01:19:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dd165…
01-31 01:19:10	bitcoin above 92k on january 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdb570e…
01-30 07:19:16	Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x29b33d…
01-25 02:01:56	nba cle orl 2026 01 24	Cavaliers	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x005d1b…
01-25 02:01:34	nba lal dal 2026 01 24	Lakers	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x333912…