Bogus-Digger — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$349

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved (90d)

145

Trades (90d)

553

1,786 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.98K

$31.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$75

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 04:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

54% 79% -$107

Politics

46% 66% -$972

Crypto

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	+40	$35	93¢	$37	+$2	10-27 21:02
will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2027	Yes	+69	$20	26¢	$18	-$2	10-01 00:15
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?	No	+20	$12	52¢	$10	-$2	11-03 08:33
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+60	$24	15¢	$9	-$15	09-29 02:36
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	Yes	+3	$5	6¢	$0	-$5	08-11 01:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$1.2K	1,130	1,130	+0	Yes	-$937	02-28 06:43
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	22	$480	240	290	-50	Yes	+$14	03-27 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 28?	17	$373	234	234	+0	Yes	+$40	09-28 02:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	12	$360	230	230	+0	Yes	+$20	04-13 21:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$352	340	340	+0	Yes	+$19	06-13 06:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	17	$342	281	281	+0	No	-$5	05-24 05:32
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	69	$326	412	412	+0	Yes	+$36	06-08 05:59
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	13	$290	326	326	+0	No	+$11	04-22 00:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	10	$285	190	190	+0	No	+$8	05-26 11:34
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	17	$283	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	09-21 11:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	33	$275	240	240	+0	Yes	+$23	06-11 17:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	10	$274	152	152	-0	No	+$25	04-21 00:41
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	16	$246	140	140	+0	Yes	+$14	03-08 03:08
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	14	$237	800	800	+0	No	+$25	06-20 01:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	7	$224	240	240	+0	Yes	-$35	09-01 02:29
will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	6	$211	140	140	+0	Yes	+$15	08-18 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 24?	10	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$8	09-23 22:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	8	$194	240	240	+0	No	+$24	08-02 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 19?	9	$185	100	100	+0	No	+$15	08-19 13:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$177	140	140	+0	No	+$5	05-24 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 26?	4	$177	95	95	+0	Yes	+$11	09-25 09:54
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	7	$174	139	139	+0	Yes	-$22	06-20 00:41
Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?	6	$172	150	150	+0	Yes	+$92	06-26 07:17
Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?	3	$163	100	100	+0	Yes	+$35	05-12 18:35
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	4	$162	100	100	+0	Yes	+$37	06-14 23:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$162	140	140	+0	No	+$1	07-10 15:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	6	$161	170	170	+0	Yes	+$8	06-05 06:41
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	9	$158	90	90	+0	Yes	+$14	05-15 15:05
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	2	$150	100	100	+0	No	+$30	06-17 23:01
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	4	$148	130	160	-30	Yes	+$13	06-13 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 04:39:03	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x358f3e…
11-12 04:36:22	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xed9596…
11-03 08:33:03	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x8a4962…
11-03 07:31:37	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xa5c92b…
10-29 11:03:53	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x850b6e…
10-27 21:02:44	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x8b62e4…
10-26 11:58:59	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xbc4620…
10-26 08:29:47	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5a09e1…
10-26 08:27:20	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x90cb15…
10-16 09:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x8e35f8…
10-16 09:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xdd8777…
10-16 09:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x679417…
10-15 22:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x5d3f5f…
10-15 06:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf6cf05…
10-15 06:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf3cdb4…
10-15 04:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x821ed2…
10-15 04:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xeb5546…
10-15 04:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x15da62…
10-15 03:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x7b81ae…
10-15 01:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x9550ff…
10-14 16:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xd71561…
10-14 15:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xe5b7e7…
10-14 07:39:59	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xd769ce…
10-13 15:24:17	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x442ff1…
10-13 13:53:02	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xced19a…
10-13 09:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd433ea…
10-13 09:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6462f7…
10-13 09:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x7e3edc…
10-13 04:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	29	82¢	$24	0x9f4a5b…
10-13 04:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcf80c2…
10-12 07:56:51	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xac5c1b…
10-12 00:30:53	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xcaa636…
10-10 14:51:06	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x347b13…
10-10 14:50:33	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe390b3…
10-09 06:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$37	0x74ee09…
10-09 03:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xd21d94…
10-08 07:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 8?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x4b8e8c…
10-08 04:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x99da4e…
10-07 07:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 7?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3b9644…
10-07 07:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xb1d596…
10-07 04:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x6985c9…
10-07 02:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xb8679c…
10-06 08:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 6?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xb4462a…
10-06 07:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x6ebf81…
10-06 05:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x696789…
10-06 04:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x103132…
10-04 08:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	No	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x08dadc…
10-04 08:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	No	SELL	97	1¢	$0	0xba95b5…
10-04 02:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0xebe71e…
10-04 02:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x1fe3d2…
10-04 02:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0xd71fb2…
10-03 06:38:29	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xa4ce9a…
10-03 06:15:35	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x250028…
10-03 06:14:42	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x4d6cbb…
10-02 23:59:06	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xf9cda4…
10-02 09:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 2?	No	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x5cf98d…
10-02 07:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x438674…
10-02 05:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 2?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0xe5ea8c…
10-02 04:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x0c2f1f…
10-02 03:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x5729bf…
10-01 00:15:57	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x81f7af…
10-01 00:06:26	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xebb5e7…
10-01 00:05:54	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x8f567b…
10-01 00:05:53	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x48a555…
09-30 08:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 30?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3a8687…
09-30 08:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf44c70…
09-30 03:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x13033d…
09-30 03:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x9f4484…
09-30 03:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xbd64a5…
09-30 03:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xf156d8…
09-30 02:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa55f35…
09-30 02:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xaa89db…
09-30 02:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x17984c…
09-30 02:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x16923a…
09-30 02:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xfd6cf6…
09-30 02:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae7c7d…
09-30 02:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x4d71b6…
09-30 01:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x4a5171…
09-30 00:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xdc3a4f…
09-29 20:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc1359f…
09-29 20:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x8e5b51…
09-29 20:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xaf7097…
09-29 20:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaa30d9…
09-29 20:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x8a7ac9…
09-29 20:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x20179b…
09-29 20:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x17599d…
09-29 15:18:50	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xcda4a2…
09-29 08:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 29?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xfbc478…
09-29 04:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x23bc0a…
09-29 03:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x6a63a8…
09-29 02:36:17	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x41f6e4…
09-29 02:20:24	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x89ff1b…
09-29 02:20:06	will putin meet with zelenskyy by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x23ff92…
09-29 02:19:51	will putin meet with zelenskyy by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe8fbfe…
09-28 07:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x4ac8dd…
09-28 07:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x283b11…
09-28 07:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6169ec…
09-28 07:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x4c5276…
09-28 05:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 28?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x808824…
09-28 03:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8acaab…