Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$256

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

9.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-17

last 10-26 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% 17% -$247

Tech

19% 0% -$9

Crypto

12% — —

Pop-Culture

5% 100% +$0

Politics

4% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No		+50	$40	83¢	$42	+$1	10-24 11:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+50	$10	17¢	$8	-$1	10-26 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	2	$211	500	15	+485	Under	-$199	10-26 09:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	9	$201	180	180	+0	open	—	10-22 01:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	6	$107	176	76	+100	open	—	10-26 13:40
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	3	$85	200	200	+0	No	-$43	10-23 10:53
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	2	$71	89	89	+0	open	—	10-23 10:52
Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$66	60	60	+0	open	—	10-22 08:59
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	2	$63	76	76	+0	open	—	10-23 10:10
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	3	$62	51	51	+0	Under	$0	10-26 18:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	5	$49	120	120	+0	Yes	-$9	09-17 02:18
GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-22 11:14
Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	5	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	10-22 11:50
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	10-22 14:29
GenLayer FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 04:38
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	5	$31	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 07:52
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	09-18 15:28
Glider FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 07:25
Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	2	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	10-22 11:45
Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?	2	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	10-23 00:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 03:59
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 04:48
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-18 01:19
Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	-$4	10-22 16:19
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 05:51
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 05:18
Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 05:46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 30%-35%?	3	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	09-18 21:58
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 16:18
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	2	$8	15	15	+0	open	—	09-18 18:55
Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	3	$1	10	10	+0	open	—	10-22 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:45:50	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	19	60¢	$12	0x13b91c…
10-26 18:44:59	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	32	61¢	$19	0xc780d2…
10-26 18:43:35	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x193e72…
10-26 13:40:35	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x19f6da…
10-26 12:28:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xbee4fc…
10-26 09:59:32	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xf08153…
10-26 09:44:11	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x4ee022…
10-24 11:46:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0xdd30d9…
10-24 10:53:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x5b4091…
10-24 04:55:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd5392f…
10-24 04:54:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc23001…
10-23 10:53:03	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	195	11¢	$20	0x9ba5e1…
10-23 10:52:41	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	89	35¢	$31	0x9b5adf…
10-23 10:52:26	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0x721f0b…
10-23 10:10:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	SELL	76	36¢	$27	0x75f173…
10-23 10:10:33	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x9e5876…
10-23 10:05:00	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	BUY	76	47¢	$36	0x05ecc5…
10-23 07:42:30	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x3cd02a…
10-23 05:46:03	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xf1e0ad…
10-23 04:04:56	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc6600e…
10-23 03:59:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x08df2f…
10-23 03:43:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb69587…
10-23 00:44:03	Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x1fbe63…
10-23 00:43:47	Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0b0926…
10-22 16:19:11	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x1d8865…
10-22 16:18:47	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x2f3b62…
10-22 15:56:00	nato x russia military clash by november 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb02781…
10-22 14:29:53	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3e7f45…
10-22 13:26:48	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x262696…
10-22 11:50:23	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xc6e031…
10-22 11:45:53	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x142a6b…
10-22 11:27:20	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8a4299…
10-22 11:14:51	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x6f19c8…
10-22 10:02:42	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x39cf9c…
10-22 09:55:30	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd8eba8…
10-22 08:59:02	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x8a64b0…
10-22 08:50:21	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x614a62…
10-22 08:27:06	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x602bdb…
10-22 07:52:11	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xf91ba7…
10-22 07:25:47	Glider FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x5db528…
10-22 06:59:14	Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x447902…
10-22 06:59:02	Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1bc668…
10-22 06:58:42	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x657182…
10-22 06:58:42	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x657182…
10-22 06:45:27	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5c6328…
10-22 06:35:53	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd462a1…
10-22 06:34:54	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xec5b26…
10-22 06:18:29	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x9b3f2a…
10-22 05:51:28	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x606cd1…
10-22 05:48:40	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x184b2b…
10-22 05:20:06	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x603f28…
10-22 05:18:41	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x23e30b…
10-22 04:58:59	Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd845c2…
10-22 04:51:33	Glider FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xaf1648…
10-22 04:49:26	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x8f3d31…
10-22 04:48:35	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x4d18df…
10-22 04:44:20	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x74836c…
10-22 04:44:20	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x70bd24…
10-22 04:44:14	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x5fab58…
10-22 04:42:57	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x0ffbff…
10-22 04:38:42	GenLayer FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x7bd972…
10-22 04:15:20	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xb9d0dc…
10-22 04:15:20	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x37d9c8…
10-22 03:17:20	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x941299…
10-22 03:08:53	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe5ac4e…
10-22 02:48:20	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6159bc…
10-22 02:39:56	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4037ce…
10-22 02:38:30	genlayer fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x283c3e…
10-22 02:37:42	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc5ce71…
10-22 02:37:15	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3abb06…
10-22 01:14:45	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x6708ca…
10-22 01:14:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xe22e8b…
10-22 00:40:24	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$33	0x2f941d…
10-22 00:40:12	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x0341bf…
10-22 00:35:50	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xdfed50…
10-22 00:35:38	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5dc96e…
10-22 00:10:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x5096e3…
10-22 00:10:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xde8783…
10-22 00:10:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x6b86ff…
09-18 21:58:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x24798c…
09-18 21:58:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x89e496…
09-18 21:58:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x5206c1…
09-18 18:55:19	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xe01474…
09-18 18:34:57	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xa8b76c…
09-18 15:28:12	Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xa68042…
09-18 15:27:55	Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd46ad6…
09-18 15:27:55	Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xbb8f8c…
09-18 01:19:21	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x2473b9…
09-18 01:09:04	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3f8772…
09-17 02:18:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	120	16¢	$20	0x43aa1b…
09-17 01:02:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa766cf…
09-17 01:02:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x72e13e…
09-17 01:02:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x9a94dd…
09-17 01:02:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xbc259e…