Unkempt-Parchment 0x6ca0cf…07e59d
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$614
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved
817
Trades
4,551
lifetime
Volume
$147.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$752
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
43% 64% +$1,572
Politics
34% 59% -$1,492
Crypto
11% 58% -$445
Tech
7% 68% +$161
Sports
4% 33% -$406
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +162 $106 86¢ $140 +$34 07-04 09:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +176 $111 70¢ $124 +$13 10-21 09:58
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +111 $88 87¢ $97 +$9 10-06 07:11
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +111 $83 82¢ $92 +$8 10-07 03:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +111 $71 72¢ $79 +$8 10-06 17:15
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +70 $65 94¢ $65 $0 10-27 16:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +88 $60 58¢ $51 -$8 10-27 19:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +41 $21 65¢ $27 +$6 10-29 09:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +63 $31 34¢ $22 -$9 10-29 09:35
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +21 $18 99¢ $21 +$3 10-13 13:53
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +131 $29 12¢ $16 -$12 10-20 10:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +88 $11 12¢ $10 $0 10-20 19:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +21 $8 26¢ $5 -$2 10-08 05:02
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +18 $3 8¢ $1 -$1 07-26 16:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 -$1 34¢ $1 +$1 10-28 09:48
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +80 $87 0¢ $0 -$87 09-29 12:08