Unkempt-Parchment 0x6ca0cf…07e59d Create alert
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$42
Unrealized P&L
-$232
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
16
4,820 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$485
$154.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$549
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-11 17:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Other
43% 65% +$1,676
Politics
34% 59% -$1,181
Crypto
11% 60% -$432
Tech
7% 65% +$69
Sports
4% 35% -$393
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +111 $88 84¢ $93 +$5 10-06 07:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +88 $78 89¢ $78 +$0 11-11 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +88 $57 64¢ $56 -$1 11-07 14:17
Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale? Yes +88 $62 62¢ $54 -$7 11-11 16:44
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +42 $28 68¢ $28 +$0 11-11 08:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +173 $67 14¢ $23 -$43 11-10 19:36
Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? Yes +21 $10 93¢ $20 +$10 08-27 10:57
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +21 $18 88¢ $19 +$1 11-11 08:50
Will Gemini Krypton debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +21 $18 85¢ $18 $0 11-11 09:49
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? Yes +21 $15 81¢ $17 +$2 09-09 05:20
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 11-11 21:29
perim island no longer under houthi control by december 31 20260916 Yes +131 $28 11¢ $14 -$13 11-05 19:46
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? Yes +77 $32 17¢ $13 -$19 08-27 08:12
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +21 $13 59¢ $12 $0 11-10 11:41
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +21 $12 55¢ $11 $0 11-10 11:24
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +21 $10 53¢ $11 +$1 11-10 09:49
Will Gemini Krypton debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +21 $12 49¢ $10 -$2 11-11 10:35
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? Yes +222 $145 4¢ $9 -$136 10-10 19:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +88 $11 8¢ $7 -$3 10-20 19:54
Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? No +21 $10 35¢ $7 -$3 10-26 07:54
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +12 $6 55¢ $6 +$0 11-08 08:40
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? Yes +21 $15 29¢ $6 -$9 09-02 17:55
Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini? Yes +111 $8 5¢ $5 -$3 08-30 17:22
Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting? No +21 $4 22¢ $5 +$0 10-31 12:38
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? No +21 $6 19¢ $4 -$2 09-09 09:58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +21 $8 10¢ $2 -$5 10-08 05:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 -$1 65¢ $1 +$2 10-28 09:48
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +18 $3 5¢ $1 -$2 07-26 16:43
Will Ben Ferguson be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +2 $0 22¢ $1 +$0 11-11 10:59
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? No +1 $4 26¢ $0 -$4 11-09 22:18