Esteemed-Songbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$141

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

358

500 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.65K

$5.65K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-19 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

65% 46% -$164

Politics

35% 100% +$155

Crypto

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+12	$10	82¢	$10	$0	10-18 04:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$1.3K	718	718	+0	No	+$102	04-22 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	3	$242	301	291	+10	Yes	+$41	04-26 05:08
highest temperature in chengdu on april 24 2026 29c	22	$241	329	318	+11	No	+$41	04-24 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$202	120	120	+0	No	+$14	05-13 11:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 18c	12	$200	239	232	+7	Yes	+$7	04-23 17:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$5	05-11 11:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$146	100	100	+0	Yes	+$20	06-06 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?	19	$139	148	148	+0	Yes	+$60	05-04 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?	13	$135	228	228	+0	No	-$10	05-04 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 27?	4	$134	198	190	+7	No	+$34	04-27 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 28?	1	$108	400	0	+400	No	-$108	04-27 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 27?	2	$100	408	0	+408	No	-$100	04-25 07:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	No	+$11	04-23 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?	11	$96	100	63	+37	Yes	+$29	05-15 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 8?	4	$91	447	328	+119	No	+$27	05-08 03:23
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 26c	2	$84	111	108	+3	No	-$5	04-24 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	8	$81	80	80	+0	No	-$3	10-15 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	3	$72	100	100	+0	No	+$12	04-25 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 16?	6	$64	106	106	+0	Yes	+$13	05-16 05:35
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 25c	2	$61	48	46	+2	Yes	+$27	04-23 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	13	$58	105	0	+105	No	-$6	10-12 08:36
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 25c	2	$56	98	95	+3	No	-$4	04-24 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?	8	$53	80	0	+80	Yes	-$13	10-12 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 26?	4	$51	120	64	+56	No	-$9	04-25 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	6	$50	80	0	+80	No	-$10	10-13 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 13?	5	$47	80	0	+80	Yes	-$7	10-13 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	8	$45	93	0	+93	No	+$8	10-12 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	11	$45	80	0	+80	Yes	-$5	10-14 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	10	$43	79	0	+79	Yes	-$3	10-14 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 13?	5	$42	80	0	+80	No	-$2	10-13 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 01:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x8ae127…
10-19 01:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x9f3124…
10-19 01:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x75ff78…
10-18 13:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb289d5…
10-18 13:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7e52f0…
10-18 04:44:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xcee86d…
10-18 04:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xca7935…
10-18 04:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbea781…
10-18 04:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xe6f15e…
10-18 04:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0098e3…
10-18 04:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x92ccf4…
10-17 09:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	126	0¢	$0	0x71c899…
10-17 07:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3f1730…
10-17 07:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	224	0¢	$0	0xeb11fb…
10-17 07:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x520b43…
10-17 05:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x266e94…
10-17 05:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7a3d27…
10-17 05:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0c2178…
10-16 10:46:48	highest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6fb825…
10-16 10:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x47f616…
10-16 10:43:58	highest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc245c7…
10-16 10:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$4	0x7c2ae5…
10-16 10:38:58	highest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x1b1e4a…
10-16 10:38:25	highest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2d0cbb…
10-16 10:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xdd0131…
10-15 09:21:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x9f1bee…
10-15 09:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x5ab0e2…
10-15 09:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa98331…
10-15 09:20:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xd55c35…
10-15 09:20:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2a249b…
10-15 09:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xa5e726…
10-15 09:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x690da8…
10-15 09:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x48e5d2…
10-15 08:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x568c37…
10-15 08:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x8ae637…
10-15 08:12:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc28842…
10-15 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x46836a…
10-15 08:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xfb8d51…
10-15 07:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x188a10…
10-15 07:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xa4b382…
10-15 07:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa2b3cb…
10-15 07:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x822ffb…
10-15 07:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x61697f…
10-15 07:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4a5542…
10-15 07:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x79e213…
10-15 07:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x3fb9d7…
10-15 07:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x2a7174…
10-15 02:44:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xefba1b…
10-15 01:30:02	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x76a0f6…
10-14 21:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x9dcb8c…
10-14 21:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbd0d02…
10-14 21:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x1d2abe…
10-14 19:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xfca2d0…
10-14 19:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0e5b04…
10-14 19:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x767785…
10-14 19:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xdaf812…
10-14 19:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x956752…
10-14 19:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x1d991d…
10-14 19:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x142d02…
10-14 19:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe93d0b…
10-14 19:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xdb80e7…
10-14 19:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xee8782…
10-14 19:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xc7f617…
10-14 19:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xb67db8…
10-14 19:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x8c8790…
10-14 19:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x602bb6…
10-14 19:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1bad0f…
10-14 13:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x9c4d63…
10-14 07:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x6b181d…
10-14 07:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x95895d…
10-14 07:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xc19766…
10-14 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x745d95…
10-14 07:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xd59003…
10-14 07:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x6b648f…
10-14 01:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x55593e…
10-14 01:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x23a36b…
10-14 01:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x8ccbcd…
10-14 01:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0xf86549…
10-14 01:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x119577…
10-14 01:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd3a44c…
10-14 01:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x23b163…
10-14 01:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2ee1cf…
10-14 01:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0cb647…
10-14 01:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfbaa12…
10-14 01:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8ae6c3…
10-13 20:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3ced06…
10-13 20:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x574199…
10-13 20:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9aae8b…
10-13 20:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x4f58d8…
10-13 19:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xacbfdd…
10-13 19:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6ec820…
10-13 19:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9b0206…
10-13 19:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x310114…
10-13 19:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x2a5af9…
10-13 19:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb4d96f…
10-13 19:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x47c3e9…
10-13 19:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xe172ee…
10-13 19:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x446f20…
10-13 19:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf97800…
10-13 13:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x38c188…