Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

127 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$17

$135 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-06 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

80% 60% +$18

Politics

18% 58% +$4

Tech

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-30 06:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	11-03 03:12
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+1	$1	66¢	$1	$0	11-06 08:12
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	72¢	$1	$0	11-05 23:54
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	28¢	$0	-$1	10-25 14:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	2	$10	15	+15	Yes	+$5	09-08 04:20
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	3	$3	6	+6	Down	$0	11-05 13:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	2	$2	4	+4	Up	$0	10-28 09:23
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	2	$2	4	+4	Down	$0	10-19 15:51
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	2	$2	5	+5	Up	-$1	10-21 03:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	11-02 10:07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 12:58
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 19:38
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:47
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-28 19:39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-11 22:52
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$4	10-08 15:44
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-18 23:37
will coin reach 202 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-24 02:08
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-13 15:26
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-16 23:23
will spy dip to 775 by october 5 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-06 21:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 15:58
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 05:08
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-18 00:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	11-05 02:53
will abnb dip to 158 by october 5 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-05 09:42
spy up or down on october 15 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 04:35
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 11:13
will ng reach 3 30 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-28 00:56
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:16
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-21 05:57
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-18 23:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-08 03:59
Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $900?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	11-02 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 17:57:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe72568…
11-06 08:12:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb7b168…
11-05 23:54:09	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5181d4…
11-05 13:31:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4a76d0…
11-05 13:21:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0728f3…
11-05 13:12:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2a44d9…
11-05 02:53:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf411b2…
11-04 05:32:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe13724…
11-03 19:22:31	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x660287…
11-03 11:13:55	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x53318e…
11-03 03:12:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9f4d8f…
11-02 19:12:24	Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $900?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb08913…
11-02 10:07:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd8f0b8…
11-02 10:06:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5e406d…
11-02 02:05:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb1e128…
11-01 20:06:36	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3807b9…
10-31 21:55:13	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x09785e…
10-30 06:26:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9920cf…
10-29 22:25:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xce6e96…
10-29 13:57:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe6179a…
10-29 03:22:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x31e034…
10-28 17:34:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb2c494…
10-28 09:23:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x457f31…
10-28 08:25:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x08cc38…
10-28 00:04:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6c8cd5…
10-27 15:55:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x663aa6…
10-27 07:51:38	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcf5628…
10-26 23:51:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x98878e…
10-26 15:12:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8005ce…
10-26 07:10:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2d5027…
10-25 23:08:41	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x06ed0f…
10-25 14:48:05	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa8be55…
10-25 06:01:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3da1ea…
10-23 22:10:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe40396…
10-23 12:55:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x167b72…
10-23 04:52:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf7169e…
10-22 20:27:06	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6cdafd…
10-22 12:14:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x48587f…
10-21 19:36:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa93ff6…
10-21 11:13:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcaa185…
10-21 03:08:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe0381b…
10-21 03:08:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x60c7eb…
10-20 16:16:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb714fb…
10-20 08:03:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x709a11…
10-19 23:57:39	will amzn dip to 260 by october 19 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1e25fb…
10-19 15:51:21	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x95fe28…
10-19 15:48:57	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbaa860…
10-19 07:37:59	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3a4a12…
10-18 23:37:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0d0bdb…
10-18 23:34:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b1646…
10-18 23:16:15	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0865f1…
10-18 12:06:12	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8d26e0…
10-18 00:04:59	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f65ce…
10-17 15:58:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8245c9…
10-16 13:08:54	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0e7451…
10-16 05:08:45	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1f40f5…
10-15 20:39:57	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfac999…
10-15 12:36:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x811606…
10-15 04:35:46	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf1cda6…
10-14 20:35:36	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf4e3ff…
10-14 11:48:28	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1a14ca…
10-14 02:35:32	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe2d2f6…
10-13 15:26:31	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x62a824…
10-13 07:04:55	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa9fe92…
10-12 23:03:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2c2031…
10-12 15:02:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x09db91…
10-12 06:52:49	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4028b8…
10-11 22:52:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x355b54…
10-11 14:18:49	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7a09a8…
10-11 04:31:45	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc79faf…
10-10 19:38:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5f9e85…
10-09 09:42:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x97a947…
10-09 01:00:18	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcd6215…
10-08 15:44:44	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5959f3…
10-08 03:59:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd8e796…
10-07 17:18:32	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9844fa…
10-07 05:13:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3a28e1…
10-06 21:13:11	will spy dip to 775 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x682c45…
10-06 12:58:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x43e26e…
10-06 04:57:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x27c167…
10-05 17:57:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9c6190…
10-05 09:42:34	will abnb dip to 158 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x020888…
10-05 00:27:40	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x236b33…
10-03 05:06:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x323e96…
10-02 12:53:56	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x946b26…
10-02 03:02:15	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1391f4…
10-01 11:58:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xed79a7…
10-01 03:56:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf294b4…
09-30 12:10:48	wti closes above 92 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf31e7e…
09-30 04:00:14	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3732bc…
09-29 19:56:00	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x79fb31…
09-29 11:40:30	spx up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1eef50…
09-29 03:40:24	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5a748c…
09-28 19:39:27	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x899c49…
09-28 10:49:26	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x938b9a…
09-28 00:56:18	will ng reach 3 30 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x164356…
09-27 16:46:11	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x68f621…
09-27 06:20:12	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f9c37…
09-26 22:13:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0f81bf…
09-26 07:16:24	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6501e1…