Full-Church — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-14 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 50% $-5

Politics

24% — —

Other

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 10:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-05 08:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$3	5	2	+2	open	—	04-29 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 09:59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	2	$3	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 15:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	4	3	+2	open	—	04-27 08:10
S&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-15 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-28 14:31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	2	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$2	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-27 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 10:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8dc69c…
05-14 11:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x13633f…
05-14 11:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x970ac9…
05-14 11:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd6ce77…
05-14 11:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x064acc…
05-14 11:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x729cd5…
05-14 10:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa89f7e…
05-14 10:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeabd17…
05-14 09:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0811fc…
05-13 14:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcc5dc…
05-13 13:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x75a048…
05-13 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x026563…
05-11 08:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9a103c…
05-08 08:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcc27c0…
05-05 08:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6f7fd6…
05-05 08:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7c2598…
05-05 08:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x985e40…
05-04 11:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4c31bd…
05-04 09:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x60d4d0…
05-04 09:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf782e1…
05-04 09:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbd1eb8…
04-30 13:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x253789…
04-30 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe4a0e2…
04-30 12:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x983e66…
04-30 12:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xde9dba…
04-30 12:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xdf7fa3…
04-30 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0484de…
04-30 12:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x084a7c…
04-30 11:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x03dffd…
04-30 11:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x991ae1…
04-30 11:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd9558a…
04-30 11:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa57bc2…
04-30 10:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6e6bb5…
04-30 10:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x80dce6…
04-30 10:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe88fb9…
04-30 10:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcb34e9…
04-30 10:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbf95c5…
04-30 10:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb9a4e0…
04-30 10:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc32c50…
04-30 10:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe06f9f…
04-30 09:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe52fc4…
04-30 08:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x612207…
04-30 08:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd86bb1…
04-30 08:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x925b9e…
04-30 08:41:06	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x26e1e9…
04-30 08:35:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x08eb44…
04-29 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xec9242…
04-29 15:06:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x275608…
04-29 15:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3bf1b…
04-29 15:03:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x11c55d…
04-29 08:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8f2eba…
04-29 08:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x234537…
04-29 08:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x091737…
04-29 08:51:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3fc28b…
04-29 07:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbd3a8b…
04-29 07:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xae78f7…
04-29 06:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdfc03b…
04-29 06:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa02d46…
04-29 06:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8c5f57…
04-29 06:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc40503…
04-29 06:42:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x72435d…
04-28 14:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9c3f12…
04-28 14:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8aa8dc…
04-28 14:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x206be3…
04-28 14:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x80ea6d…
04-28 10:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1794a5…
04-28 10:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb577d3…
04-28 10:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xce60b6…
04-28 10:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb0d1a0…
04-28 09:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xef71d2…
04-28 09:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7baffb…
04-27 12:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3e2689…
04-27 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1f413c…
04-27 12:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcbb3c8…
04-27 12:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa335b2…
04-27 12:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcd94c6…
04-27 12:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf43872…
04-27 12:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd13454…
04-27 11:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4bdbf5…
04-27 11:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x300da2…
04-27 11:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfda934…
04-27 11:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb93a15…
04-27 10:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xde260b…
04-27 08:26:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xbeb0f3…
04-27 08:24:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8d803e…
04-27 08:23:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc19462…
04-27 08:23:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xabfeb2…
04-27 08:22:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x98dc94…
04-27 08:17:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x5f926c…
04-27 08:12:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc44b1a…
04-27 08:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x7f94c9…
04-27 08:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf41fdd…
04-27 08:06:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71d2fa…
04-15 09:23:44	S&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x27b848…
04-15 09:22:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x00cee9…
04-15 09:13:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 15 2026	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd21fd4…
04-15 08:50:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3dad39…