Shimmering-Flavor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

451

lifetime

Volume

$25.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$619

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-02 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$18

Politics

29% 100% +$55

Crypto

27% 100% +$24

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+240	$173	94¢	$224	+$52	05-31 00:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+260	$192	84¢	$220	+$27	06-01 18:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	+220	$169	80¢	$175	+$6	06-02 21:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	14	$1.0K	572	572	+0	open	—	03-31 02:41
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$519	325	325	+0	open	—	03-27 02:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	5	$506	371	371	+0	open	—	05-26 23:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$457	301	301	+0	open	—	03-19 00:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	11	$453	300	294	+6	open	—	04-15 10:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$392	220	220	+0	open	—	05-26 23:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$354	213	213	+0	open	—	05-17 19:44
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	3	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	05-13 20:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$295	188	188	+0	open	—	04-24 02:17
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	2	$282	149	149	+0	open	—	03-21 13:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$279	437	290	+148	open	—	04-25 15:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$279	160	160	+0	open	—	04-21 22:35
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$273	155	155	+0	open	—	05-02 04:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$270	150	148	+2	open	—	04-27 01:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$269	141	141	+0	open	—	04-27 17:29
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$262	952	952	+0	open	—	03-31 04:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$260	150	150	+0	open	—	04-01 17:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	2	$260	149	146	+2	open	—	04-24 11:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	2	$252	127	127	+0	open	—	04-25 15:33
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	4	$250	150	150	+0	open	—	03-20 03:35
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	2	$250	132	132	+0	open	—	03-22 06:44
will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 8	2	$250	130	130	+1	open	—	04-09 05:11
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	2	$250	134	134	+0	open	—	03-27 13:10
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	2	$249	130	130	+0	open	—	03-26 21:31
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	2	$247	127	127	+0	open	—	03-21 13:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$246	140	140	+0	open	—	04-13 02:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$246	143	142	+1	open	—	04-26 17:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$242	134	134	+0	open	—	03-18 23:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$241	139	139	+0	open	—	04-08 00:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$236	138	138	+0	No	+$16	04-08 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 22:00:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?	No	BUY	245	65¢	$159	0x6eedde…
06-02 21:57:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x3c71fd…
06-02 21:56:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcda7b7…
06-02 21:56:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	220	77¢	$169	0xb6fc3b…
06-01 18:16:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	168	87¢	$147	0x2b222b…
06-01 18:02:28	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x519e41…
06-01 18:01:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$16	0x5eb8ee…
06-01 18:01:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x276e53…
06-01 18:00:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	260	74¢	$192	0x07e1a0…
05-31 00:59:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	240	72¢	$173	0x1eaf33…
05-31 00:56:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x3494c7…
05-31 00:55:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x50e40a…
05-31 00:55:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x500772…
05-29 16:34:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa289e7…
05-26 23:13:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x45317f…
05-26 23:12:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	180	92¢	$166	0x8dea43…
05-26 23:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xe8f256…
05-26 23:05:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0x72028b…
05-24 23:49:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	140	81¢	$113	0x52b7db…
05-24 23:39:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	210	82¢	$172	0x1910d6…
05-22 13:51:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xaea930…
05-20 17:50:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	160	77¢	$123	0x665c64…
05-20 17:49:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	190	87¢	$165	0x95d9e7…
05-20 17:48:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	220	79¢	$174	0x1a7afc…
05-20 17:48:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0xb558b6…
05-17 19:44:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x2f31c8…
05-17 19:38:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0xadfd90…
05-17 19:32:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x8bc68f…
05-17 18:52:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$44	0x6c813f…
05-17 18:16:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xb1e1b6…
05-17 18:12:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xa9c617…
05-16 23:53:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0x540955…
05-14 08:00:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	BUY	78	63¢	$49	0xc6d3df…
05-13 22:53:00	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	80	76¢	$61	0x811aa3…
05-13 21:34:36	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9231b7…
05-13 21:33:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0x71f97a…
05-13 20:20:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x737e62…
05-13 20:12:45	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x795cb4…
05-12 10:12:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	194	86¢	$167	0x314241…
05-12 08:10:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7b1159…
05-12 07:48:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xf45771…
05-12 07:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xadf6ef…
05-12 07:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x088692…
05-12 07:48:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe64079…
05-12 04:45:25	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x51ab78…
05-12 04:20:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xca9a0e…
05-12 04:14:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb5a500…
05-12 04:11:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x70ea65…
05-12 04:00:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xdbf21b…
05-12 03:56:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc18d63…
05-12 03:54:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2f0f15…
05-12 03:52:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x7cf72e…
05-12 03:51:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcc383e…
05-12 03:33:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xe679e9…
05-12 03:27:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe5a4ea…
05-12 03:23:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xc92174…
05-12 03:19:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x9ec90d…
05-12 03:17:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x011deb…
05-12 02:53:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xae325f…
05-12 02:48:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	310	61¢	$189	0xcf5dbf…
05-12 02:44:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c5829…
05-07 22:48:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x45cf84…
05-05 22:55:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	195	67¢	$131	0x6e789d…
05-05 22:55:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	86	67¢	$57	0x05c241…
05-05 18:39:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	120	78¢	$94	0x4ec95f…
05-05 00:41:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x3d7fc8…
05-05 00:40:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	179	90¢	$160	0xc5417b…
05-03 21:45:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	180	88¢	$158	0xcbaf7f…
05-02 04:52:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	220	73¢	$160	0x45f77e…
05-02 04:51:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	205	78¢	$160	0xd0943f…
05-02 04:50:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0x2f9c9c…
05-02 04:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	281	57¢	$160	0x5bc6ca…
05-02 04:45:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x54bc54…
05-02 04:44:46	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x26265f…
05-01 20:13:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	213	75¢	$160	0xe39fa8…
04-29 17:33:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xb678b5…
04-29 05:26:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0xc680a5…
04-29 05:24:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x779dc6…
04-29 05:21:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x6a71fd…
04-29 05:21:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x2fb96a…
04-29 05:17:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x69dc34…
04-27 17:40:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x3d8d0c…
04-27 17:40:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x80557d…
04-27 17:34:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd9828d…
04-27 17:33:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x982298…
04-27 17:29:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0xf87fa3…
04-27 01:37:46	Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0xf41592…
04-27 01:37:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x63bbfc…
04-27 01:36:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0xca263c…
04-27 01:35:28	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0x5e5bfd…
04-27 01:35:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	148	96¢	$143	0x432111…
04-26 17:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	142	96¢	$136	0xce1406…
04-25 15:35:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	85	75¢	$64	0xf881fc…
04-25 15:34:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x7c34e8…
04-25 15:33:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x0252e9…
04-24 18:48:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0x731c57…
04-24 18:47:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	149	84¢	$125	0xba3f59…
04-24 18:38:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x79e7b2…
04-24 11:28:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0x334856…
04-24 02:22:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	111	72¢	$80	0xa665f5…