Melodic-Shot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,029

lifetime

Volume

$314.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-27 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 50% $-1,354

Crypto

24% — —

Other

15% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	53	$15.2K	14,600	4,619	+9,981	open	—	04-12 13:01
trump out as president by march 31	5	$10.7K	5,457	5,457	+0	open	—	03-07 20:52
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	6	$9.3K	9,989	9,989	+0	open	—	01-15 13:13
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	65	$8.1K	8,340	8,340	+0	open	—	03-11 17:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$8.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-03 15:04
will uae strike iran by march 31	45	$7.7K	9,576	5,009	+4,568	open	—	03-27 18:26
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$7.6K	7,166	7,166	+0	open	—	02-28 06:50
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	21	$6.8K	3,617	3,617	+0	open	—	03-07 20:55
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$6.6K	3,847	3,847	+0	open	—	02-14 07:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	31	$6.1K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	02-28 21:38
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	51	$5.9K	5,031	5,031	+0	open	—	03-11 17:40
spx up or down on january 9 2026	2	$5.7K	2,905	2,905	+0	open	—	01-09 20:05
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	4	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-22 11:17
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	17	$4.9K	2,788	2,788	+0	open	—	05-03 20:43
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$4.9K	7,709	7,709	+0	open	—	01-09 06:46
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	4	$4.8K	2,570	2,570	+0	open	—	01-31 12:44
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	11	$4.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	04-03 16:02
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$4.2K	2,247	2,247	+0	open	—	02-12 10:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.0K	3,600	2,000	+1,600	Yes	$-1,395	05-08 18:56
Nothing Ever Happens: May	27	$4.0K	4,508	942	+3,566	open	—	05-27 15:35
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	11	$3.8K	3,888	0	+3,888	No	+$137	05-08 06:23
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$3.7K	3,811	0	+3,811	open	—	02-28 06:20
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	46	$3.6K	9,038	1,760	+7,278	open	—	05-20 13:33
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	2	$3.4K	1,718	1,718	+0	open	—	02-16 12:23
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	4	$3.1K	1,590	1,590	+0	open	—	01-31 12:44
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$3.1K	3,230	0	+3,230	open	—	02-22 07:42
btc updown 15m 1770235200	4	$3.1K	3,324	0	+3,324	open	—	02-04 20:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$3.0K	4,844	0	+4,844	open	—	06-18 04:22
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$2.9K	3,478	3,478	+0	open	—	02-27 09:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$2.8K	3,571	3,571	+0	Yes	$-179	02-21 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 10:03:48	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0xef5ac6…
07-27 09:12:16	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	259	2¢	$5	0x49db84…
07-26 17:20:16	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	212	2¢	$4	0xeea1ea…
07-26 15:54:52	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	700	2¢	$14	0xa66f5c…
07-26 15:03:42	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd16076…
07-26 15:03:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	745	2¢	$15	0x68bd11…
07-26 15:02:52	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	757	2¢	$14	0xbaa3bb…
07-26 08:03:54	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	2,273	2¢	$43	0xa57bf3…
07-26 07:14:52	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	240	2¢	$5	0x8f5f02…
07-26 06:36:33	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	305	2¢	$6	0x24778a…
07-26 06:00:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x017dd9…
07-25 18:18:49	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$4	0x676520…
07-24 20:12:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xe1e15d…
07-24 20:02:34	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x6fe8fe…
07-24 17:23:30	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x66928f…
07-24 14:39:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	581	83¢	$482	0xd8cc34…
07-24 11:57:58	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0xed7ece…
07-24 08:32:22	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x99cc08…
07-24 08:32:01	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xd3674c…
07-24 08:31:55	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe5011d…
07-24 08:31:49	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x9feb41…
07-24 08:31:40	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x868477…
07-24 08:30:34	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x887779…
07-24 08:30:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xea07dd…
07-24 08:30:04	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x9299b9…
07-24 06:27:10	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0x1a96b6…
07-24 06:17:37	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	370	2¢	$6	0xaded7f…
07-24 06:17:15	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	623	1¢	$8	0xfbb8b8…
07-24 06:16:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x23b7fe…
07-24 06:16:24	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	1,020	1¢	$8	0x158dc4…
07-22 05:36:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x3388fe…
07-21 04:04:42	mlb stl laa 2026 07 20	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xd33c65…
07-20 20:49:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x0e2a8c…
07-18 19:05:52	cs2 hero k271 2026 07 18	Heroic	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc7ab14…
07-18 09:03:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x0b1532…
07-17 22:38:25	val nv2 eg2 2026 07 17	Evil Geniuses	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0cd0a4…
07-17 18:35:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xef35f6…
07-17 18:34:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x5cad3f…
07-17 18:34:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x41c37e…
07-17 18:34:03	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x4f8273…
07-16 14:42:34	atp rublev pellegr 2026 07 15	Andrey Rublev	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x105f04…
07-15 11:43:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xf6851c…
07-15 01:01:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	184	88¢	$162	0xffde01…
07-15 00:22:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x97759f…
07-15 00:22:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa2d1da…
07-15 00:22:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x91ee91…
07-15 00:22:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x54a973…
07-15 00:22:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa19ae8…
07-15 00:22:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x9caf60…
07-14 23:25:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdabd33…
07-14 23:10:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	47	82¢	$38	0xd189bf…
07-14 23:10:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x9449b7…
07-12 18:42:05	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x1399bb…
07-07 05:55:26	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	142	63¢	$90	0xc5e791…
07-01 06:09:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x502673…
06-28 19:47:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xd67451…
06-27 14:12:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0xcf3793…
06-26 23:16:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x0c8be8…
06-26 20:32:31	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xfadffd…
06-22 07:17:34	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x0abee5…
06-22 05:28:11	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	259	92¢	$238	0x98ec1c…
06-22 05:27:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xdb257c…
06-22 05:25:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x497a5f…
06-20 18:15:20	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x2559af…
06-20 18:14:32	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	734	100¢	$730	0xa95b40…
06-20 07:21:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	80¢	$320	0x1df56d…
06-20 07:09:59	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x2bda2a…
06-18 04:22:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0xe7a6f0…
06-16 16:54:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0x51737a…
06-16 04:21:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x1ff50a…
06-15 18:25:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x367390…
06-14 23:16:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	44	65¢	$29	0xb89043…
06-14 14:49:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	688	86¢	$591	0xdbdfe0…
06-14 14:42:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	257	86¢	$221	0xff4bd7…
06-14 10:34:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xf414a2…
06-13 06:25:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	61¢	$244	0x51240b…
06-13 05:21:03	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0xbf945a…
06-12 18:14:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x5da7d9…
06-11 13:45:00	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	174	89¢	$154	0xbcac5b…
06-11 13:45:00	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4db242…
06-11 13:43:48	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x015d7c…
06-11 10:17:34	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	721	92¢	$667	0x3817b1…
06-11 09:19:57	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0x4b81e1…
06-11 09:17:52	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	222	92¢	$206	0x25be91…
06-10 20:22:58	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	737	93¢	$683	0xad42df…
06-10 20:20:48	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	63	92¢	$58	0xca0e21…
06-10 18:53:58	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xaa540d…
06-10 18:53:49	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x1ead28…
06-10 18:53:36	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	413	95¢	$392	0x7433e0…
06-10 05:56:13	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	580	97¢	$563	0x618ce4…
06-10 05:56:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xa36933…
06-10 05:56:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x807d03…
06-10 05:55:55	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ed1f7…
06-10 05:55:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2fd7e0…
06-10 05:55:48	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x0282be…
06-10 05:55:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xe3873a…
06-10 05:55:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xda494a…
06-10 05:55:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x8335c7…
06-10 05:55:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x8105b1…
06-10 05:55:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x757805…