Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

67 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$74 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 11-08 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

81% 56% -$1

Politics

16% 60% +$4

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	Yes		+1	$1	91¢	$1	+$0	11-07 13:10
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No		+5	$1	20¢	$1	$0	11-08 02:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$2	5	+5	No	$0	08-20 02:44
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-14 07:06
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:27
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 14:29
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-09 16:34
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 08:33
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-23 23:06
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-24 03:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	09-18 15:00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-08 16:13
will ng reach 3 00 by september 7 2026 from september 8	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-09 00:18
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 06:13
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-21 22:30
will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260826	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-21 16:18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-07 23:46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-14 15:39
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-10 03:02
spx up or down on august 19 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	08-19 04:37
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-20 22:08
spy up or down on august 21 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	08-20 23:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-03 15:09
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-29 17:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-23 07:26
will wti dip to 90 by august 31 2026 from september 3	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-03 23:34
will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-21 07:55
will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-23 19:17
will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-30 21:39
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-13 23:05
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-20 13:19
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-29 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:32:46	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9057e6…
11-07 13:10:46	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xaa2c4b…
11-05 01:07:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5a9e3a…
11-01 19:33:00	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x626fc4…
11-01 06:07:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe0794f…
10-22 09:00:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd240c4…
10-20 22:04:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xce5831…
10-18 00:03:35	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x569686…
10-17 15:59:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2da150…
10-14 09:02:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcc24c9…
10-14 01:02:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9864d9…
10-11 03:04:30	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe17c6e…
10-10 12:50:13	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb79e88…
10-06 18:52:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7d0d93…
10-05 22:47:37	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3d3b08…
10-05 14:41:28	will meta reach 770 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7f4e18…
10-04 23:52:04	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5df8c5…
10-02 07:34:20	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1343f7…
10-02 03:11:09	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfa2ca7…
10-01 16:56:54	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x64ffdb…
10-01 08:42:54	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x76b1e8…
09-30 23:20:20	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c1191…
09-30 12:59:35	will open reach 2 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd92cd1…
09-30 04:30:24	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x613733…
09-29 08:22:33	will trump say radical left during his remarks at the andrew w mellon auditorium september 29	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x69dae6…
09-28 22:44:21	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5f6d24…
09-28 02:39:47	will open reach 2 75 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b77ec…
09-27 18:39:33	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt25 in september	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x71c829…
09-27 05:49:42	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x72b92d…
09-27 02:49:41	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa16c95…
09-26 07:14:35	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x470050…
09-24 19:32:11	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfe522d…
09-24 11:17:53	Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb38e15…
09-24 03:17:21	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc26fcb…
09-23 19:17:01	will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x4f1dca…
09-21 22:30:21	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x58e68e…
09-21 14:29:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x7262e6…
09-21 06:13:07	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb5c08e…
09-20 22:08:04	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb1b8a3…
09-19 07:27:09	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbb2832…
09-18 15:00:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc09756…
09-14 15:39:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xec6506…
09-14 07:06:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x892134…
09-13 23:05:21	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd92e82…
09-10 03:02:43	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9caf05…
09-09 16:34:12	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xdaea52…
09-09 08:33:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7a40ae…
09-09 00:18:37	will ng reach 3 00 by september 7 2026 from september 8	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x388bd4…
09-08 16:13:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x81e9e1…
09-07 23:46:25	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x25f9ea…
09-03 23:34:40	will wti dip to 90 by august 31 2026 from september 3	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5de16f…
09-03 15:09:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb2e152…
08-30 21:39:19	will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x6e6adc…
08-30 13:21:07	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3d5585…
08-29 17:06:04	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x490b76…
08-29 09:03:24	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x6194f7…
08-24 08:32:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x373170…
08-23 23:06:07	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x70bae7…
08-23 07:26:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x9ab5e6…
08-21 16:18:39	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260826	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ba33a…
08-21 07:55:07	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3acb6e…
08-20 23:39:09	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf8d64a…
08-20 13:19:03	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xfaef75…
08-20 02:44:04	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xba9775…
08-19 17:59:19	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x8f99d5…
08-19 04:37:25	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe0dab1…
08-19 03:29:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x334e18…