Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

789

Trades

1,139

lifetime

Volume

$4.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$100

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-14

last 10-26 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 69% +$44

Other

23% 66% -$42

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 300 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$27	86¢	$35	+$8	10-17 18:43
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$33	80¢	$32	-$1	10-19 23:21
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	+20	$18	68¢	$14	-$4	10-16 19:21
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$8	20¢	$8	+$0	10-19 23:21
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	No	+20	$3	32¢	$6	+$4	10-16 19:19
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$16	14¢	$5	-$11	10-17 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	54	$143	130	109	+21	Down	+$2	10-16 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	26	$63	65	62	+3	Up	-$5	10-16 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	30	$59	75	40	+35	Down	-$6	10-16 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	24	$52	65	37	+28	Up	-$2	10-16 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	27	$50	65	40	+25	Up	+$5	10-16 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	20	$48	60	35	+25	Down	-$10	10-16 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	24	$45	60	35	+25	Down	+$0	10-16 01:52
Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?	4	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	10-18 07:13
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	4	$43	80	0	+80	open	—	10-17 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	18	$43	60	30	+30	Up	-$4	10-16 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	19	$42	60	25	+35	Up	+$2	10-16 02:04
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	10-19 23:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%?	2	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	10-18 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	17	$40	37	28	+9	Up	-$3	10-16 01:58
paxton flips talarico for texas senate by november 2	6	$38	70	50	+20	open	—	10-16 19:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	3	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	10-17 18:08
Will "The Whisper Man" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	10-17 06:11
hamilton flips marshall for kansas senate by november 2	4	$28	40	40	+0	open	—	10-16 18:38
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?	2	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	10-20 02:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	2	$24	40	0	+40	open	—	10-18 20:59
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	2	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	10-20 01:05
Will the Nepali Congress candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	3	$22	41	1	+40	open	—	10-17 00:39
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?	2	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	10-19 09:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	3	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 00:20
target q3 comparable sales growth 5 or more	3	$22	41	1	+40	open	—	10-16 21:19
Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?	3	$21	41	1	+40	open	—	10-17 02:09
Will Troy Jackson run 3 to 6 points behind Hannah Pingree?	3	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 01:01
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 15:11
cvs health cvs q3 medical benefit ratio mbr 20261008120127000 less than 89	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 06:16
Will Timotino have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	3	$21	38	2	+36	No	-$3	10-17 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x37840d…
10-26 22:42:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc89ad6…
10-26 22:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe0426c…
10-26 21:10:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6c61c0…
10-26 21:10:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x421088…
10-26 20:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x11f2e4…
10-26 20:56:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x08fc87…
10-26 20:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x820cf2…
10-26 20:26:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x33ef9b…
10-26 20:11:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x724cfa…
10-26 19:57:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa7520e…
10-26 19:56:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xca9d69…
10-26 19:27:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x298693…
10-26 19:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xae503e…
10-26 18:25:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf162e8…
10-26 15:43:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x4df989…
10-26 14:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x677e82…
10-26 13:42:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfa8dec…
10-26 13:41:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf3e80d…
10-26 12:56:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x30a828…
10-26 12:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xece2f2…
10-26 10:56:18	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x06be70…
10-26 09:41:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x904618…
10-26 09:10:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x795ea0…
10-26 09:10:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x16a5a7…
10-26 08:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x466120…
10-26 07:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe041ff…
10-26 07:11:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1239f9…
10-26 05:56:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x8d27d5…
10-26 05:55:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xdb3a9d…
10-26 05:55:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5f455f…
10-26 05:42:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x97e012…
10-26 05:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe7fad6…
10-26 05:11:17	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb3d071…
10-26 03:41:47	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4c2895…
10-26 03:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0b7949…
10-26 03:26:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x6df9c6…
10-26 02:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x32353c…
10-26 02:56:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xd422ea…
10-26 02:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe5cae1…
10-26 00:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x0672e9…
10-26 00:26:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xae706f…
10-25 23:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3691b0…
10-25 23:43:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7d3796…
10-25 22:40:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc837d1…
10-25 20:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x3ec334…
10-25 20:57:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x4fbeeb…
10-25 20:26:03	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x60ab84…
10-25 18:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa2a1c8…
10-25 18:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x0f4835…
10-25 17:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5e131b…
10-25 17:41:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x66519e…
10-25 16:43:03	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xad5e02…
10-25 16:40:47	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1ba77f…
10-25 13:11:03	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x3cf80b…
10-25 10:40:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd51b94…
10-25 10:13:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xde0f8b…
10-25 10:11:48	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x594fe1…
10-25 09:42:48	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xfa7e5c…
10-25 09:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdee9c8…
10-25 09:26:18	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x935480…
10-25 09:25:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x181514…
10-25 09:12:03	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb96c11…
10-25 09:11:02	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb6a6b3…
10-25 08:40:48	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x59c3a4…
10-25 08:40:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x113489…
10-25 07:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x54ffbb…
10-25 06:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x02efe3…
10-25 05:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x40003b…
10-25 04:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x86dff0…
10-25 04:27:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xdafe87…
10-25 03:41:17	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xec8b0c…
10-25 03:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xf000ab…
10-25 02:56:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x214682…
10-25 02:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe264cf…
10-25 00:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe36800…
10-25 00:40:48	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x56b0ec…
10-25 00:27:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xed5584…
10-24 23:57:32	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xde5eb8…
10-24 23:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x92ecd5…
10-24 23:11:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa43be9…
10-24 23:11:03	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x23476a…
10-24 22:56:33	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x14b997…
10-24 22:26:33	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x57868d…
10-24 22:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd3962c…
10-24 21:57:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb7e947…
10-24 21:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa73a8a…
10-24 19:55:48	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x781c40…
10-24 19:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe374cd…
10-24 19:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd4908a…
10-24 10:57:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3f0e58…
10-24 10:55:12	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf08b52…
10-24 10:55:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0e486a…
10-24 10:40:36	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5e20a2…
10-24 10:27:18	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x73c203…
10-24 10:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x08ebd9…
10-24 10:25:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x87a8a8…
10-24 10:25:23	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6ff764…
10-24 10:25:20	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x050af9…
10-24 10:14:32	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcefd15…