Realized P&L
+$2.43K
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
32.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
590
lifetime
Volume
$429.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$727
Open exposure
$54
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-02 04:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Sports
55% 33% -$8,696
Politics
36% 36% -$7,511
Other
9% 50% +$18,640
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +32 $24 94¢ $30 +$6 10-02 04:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 05-05 17:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 10-02 04:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +64 $17 6¢ $4 -$13 10-02 04:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 05-03 16:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +16 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 10-02 04:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 05-05 17:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 $0 04-28 20:32