Chubby-Vintner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$346

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-21 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

44% 73% +$8

Sports

25% 0% -$10

Crypto

20% 100% +$8

Politics

11% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+8,000	$16	0¢	$12	-$4	10-21 16:25
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+110	$11	4¢	$5	-$6	07-20 14:51
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$2	0¢	$2	$0	10-12 11:00
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+100	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	08-28 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$25	39	0	+39	Yes	+$14	06-18 01:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	10-12 10:52
Will the Seattle Kraken be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	3	$22	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	10-21 16:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-12 10:56
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$20	28	0	+28	No	+$8	03-24 23:44
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	02-22 04:03
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25?	1	$18	27	0	+27	Yes	-$18	09-25 18:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-13 18:34
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$16	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	10-21 16:25
Will the Nashville Predators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	2	$15	1,398	1,398	+0	open	—	10-21 16:22
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	1	$11	159	0	+159	open	—	07-20 14:49
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$11	110	0	+110	open	—	07-20 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-27 11:22
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$10	17	0	+17	Golden Knights	-$10	05-31 22:00
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-24 15:37
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-31 21:58
ethereum above 1800 on july 20 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-20 14:52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	08-28 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-20 14:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-20 14:55
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 300 319	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-24 15:37
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$9	12	0	+12	No	-$9	01-24 15:35
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	07-20 14:57
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	1	$3	25	0	+25	Yes	+$22	06-13 18:35
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-12 11:00
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	08-28 20:34
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	1	$1	56	0	+56	No	-$1	08-28 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 16:25:29	Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$16	0x27c9e1…
10-21 16:22:41	Will the Nashville Predators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,398	0¢	$7	0x05c1f0…
10-21 16:21:15	Will the Seattle Kraken be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	2,400	0¢	$10	0xd2f274…
10-12 11:06:14	Will the Nashville Predators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,398	1¢	$8	0x62285f…
10-12 11:04:17	Will the Seattle Kraken be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x69b3c7…
10-12 11:03:03	Will the Seattle Kraken be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,200	0¢	$11	0xf492eb…
10-12 11:00:36	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xcf3860…
10-12 10:56:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x039ac1…
10-12 10:52:59	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x252f1a…
09-25 18:08:27	Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0xb10ce9…
08-28 20:34:10	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6d3d48…
08-28 20:33:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdf75d0…
08-28 20:31:39	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x761476…
08-28 20:31:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb566a0…
07-20 14:57:46	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x27c1af…
07-20 14:56:36	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xf29310…
07-20 14:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1559d…
07-20 14:55:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfaad51…
07-20 14:52:40	ethereum above 1800 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b7ca9…
07-20 14:51:19	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x0959b6…
07-20 14:49:51	Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	159	7¢	$11	0x4f7638…
06-18 01:16:44	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x6807b9…
06-13 18:35:27	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x0a6a3a…
06-13 18:34:45	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x99d06c…
05-31 22:00:05	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xee0c1e…
05-31 21:58:39	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x445832…
05-31 21:58:13	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe31cf3…
04-27 11:23:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x39463a…
04-27 11:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb0fef3…
03-24 23:44:43	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x16c4db…
02-22 04:03:02	Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6e3324…
01-24 15:37:32	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ebc47…
01-24 15:37:08	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 300 319	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac2fd4…
01-24 15:35:02	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x36dce7…