Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$128

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-18 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

64% 40% -$5

Tech

25% 36% -$7

Politics

7% 80% $0

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+8	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	10-01 10:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	10-01 21:16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$8	9	9	+0	No	+$6	07-28 16:56
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	2	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	08-08 12:59
will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	08-08 13:01
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	1	$5	56	0	+56	Yes	-$5	09-06 16:07
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	10-01 21:15
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$3	07-06 19:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-01 08:57
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	10-13 19:49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-01 05:06
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?	1	$3	17	0	+17	open	—	09-18 15:42
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	10-01 10:39
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	08-08 12:59
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-14 19:20
next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-29 10:08
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	10-02 20:24
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	10-01 21:18
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 10 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	10-04 06:41
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	10-11 19:05
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	10-18 01:08
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	10-10 21:22
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	2	$2	12	0	+12	Yes	-$2	06-11 20:50
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-29 09:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$1	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	07-29 10:08
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	2	$1	3	3	+0	No	-$1	08-28 21:07
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	08-28 21:07
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	09-20 08:52
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-11 19:05
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 15, 2026?	1	$1	9	0	+9	Yes	-$1	10-01 21:21
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	07-07 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 18:20:39	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x568fc2…
10-18 18:20:08	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x159cef…
10-18 18:18:23	Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf43a88…
10-18 18:16:27	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x981bb2…
10-18 01:09:11	Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4c7a8d…
10-18 01:08:27	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x41fca2…
10-18 01:06:08	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf8ec95…
10-13 19:49:25	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x4adf02…
10-11 19:05:52	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ad1fd…
10-11 19:05:04	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4b8d63…
10-10 21:23:15	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x396c32…
10-10 21:22:12	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb8af7f…
10-04 06:41:22	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x253e48…
10-04 06:41:14	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 10 2026	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xba8c67…
10-02 20:24:44	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x875b15…
10-01 21:25:59	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9627cf…
10-01 21:23:56	Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x621abe…
10-01 21:21:26	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x07fe9b…
10-01 21:18:45	SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xaa417b…
10-01 21:16:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x9a107a…
10-01 21:15:42	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x8075ea…
10-01 10:40:57	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x40bd00…
10-01 10:39:38	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c322c…
09-20 08:52:43	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2332c6…
09-18 15:42:16	Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x695848…
09-18 15:40:40	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x34dda7…
09-06 16:13:25	SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x42f075…
09-06 16:12:45	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe83f5c…
09-06 16:10:43	Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xacef0d…
09-06 16:09:43	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3c51cd…
09-06 16:08:34	Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd6055c…
09-06 16:07:33	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xcde282…
09-06 16:06:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc476fe…
09-06 16:05:31	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd5c80b…
09-06 16:04:19	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x059cf1…
08-28 21:07:52	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xfa0228…
08-28 21:07:49	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x0656e2…
08-15 07:06:06	will the next claude haiku model be released by august 31 2026 20260701205353327	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd72fb0…
08-08 13:02:22	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfe3a4e…
08-08 13:01:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2378c0…
08-08 13:01:18	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe59948…
08-08 12:59:40	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6d5101…
08-08 12:59:04	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xff5809…
08-01 15:28:51	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc9276f…
08-01 15:26:23	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3b1df5…
08-01 15:25:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa66d67…
07-29 10:08:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x61e975…
07-29 10:08:23	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c0e84…
07-28 17:01:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x254d8c…
07-28 16:56:01	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xda280d…
07-14 19:20:02	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2d6366…
07-14 12:26:47	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x53a9ce…
07-14 12:25:20	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9284bf…
07-14 12:23:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x01a48a…
07-07 15:43:16	grok 4pt4 released by july 17	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc76e2a…
07-07 14:16:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f4b1f…
07-06 19:42:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x39931e…
07-03 12:34:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf431c6…
07-03 12:33:07	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x96d0a3…
07-03 12:31:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9e81cf…
07-01 05:06:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x25641c…
06-14 18:55:09	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc28460…
06-11 20:50:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc81796…
06-11 20:50:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbac281…
06-11 20:50:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x472456…
06-11 20:50:36	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x58d11a…
06-03 19:20:10	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09829a…
06-03 19:19:01	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8c2eb6…
06-03 19:16:18	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x33ee68…
06-03 19:14:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x87fe5a…
06-03 19:13:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x88e629…
06-01 08:57:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x280b39…
05-29 09:25:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8355c7…
05-29 09:24:18	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa9bbb2…
05-29 09:19:47	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7147e2…
05-29 09:18:11	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa7712b…
05-29 09:18:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa47e78…
05-29 09:16:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x87ac4c…