Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
56
Trades
119
lifetime
Volume
$142
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$8
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-28 14:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
50% 68% -$3
Politics
45% 61% +$0
Tech
4% 67% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 06-02 01:05
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-19 06:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 09-03 04:09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 +$0 10-06 19:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-28 02:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 41¢ $1 $0 10-28 14:18
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +3 $2 28¢ $1 -$2 10-02 15:54