Realized P&L
-$10.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
75.2%
Resolved
410
Trades
2,920
lifetime
Volume
$491.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$168
Open exposure
$0
1 position
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 07:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
44%
77%
+$2,274
Crypto
27%
69%
-$1,257
Sports
14%
77%
+$1,824
Politics
14%
55%
-$13,360
Tech
0%
100%
+$209
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | -0 | $0 | 18¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 04-28 14:08 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 6 | $35.6K | 18,000 | 18,000 | +0 | Yes | +$213 | 01-28 10:54 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 9 | $25.6K | 13,000 | 13,000 | +0 | No | +$286 | 03-30 09:13 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026 | 37 | $20.3K | 11,148 | 11,263 | -114 | Yes | -$547 | 01-31 15:36 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 63 | $19.1K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | +$47 | 01-17 09:43 |
| nba cle phx 2026 01 30 | 14 | $14.9K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | Suns | +$60 | 01-31 04:05 |
| Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 9 | $13.8K | 7,000 | 7,000 | +0 | No | +$199 | 01-23 13:25 |
| Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 8 | $10.2K | 5,189 | 5,189 | +0 | No | +$137 | 02-03 13:05 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 33 | $9.8K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | Yes | +$5 | 02-02 16:24 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 3 | $9.7K | 21,000 | 21,000 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-19 13:57 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 30 | $9.4K | 4,869 | 4,869 | +0 | No | +$321 | 04-25 08:09 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 51 | $9.2K | 18,414 | 18,414 | +0 | No | -$833 | 04-28 12:55 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 15 | $8.4K | 8,580 | 8,580 | +0 | Yes | -$8,309 | 04-08 12:50 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935 | 31 | $8.2K | 5,704 | 3,600 | +2,104 | No | -$131 | 02-23 07:10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 16 | $7.6K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | -$200 | 04-17 11:13 |
| epl new ast 2026 01 25 ast | 9 | $7.6K | 7,620 | 0 | +7,620 | Yes | +$20 | 01-25 15:56 |
| Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | 3 | $7.4K | 7,620 | 0 | +7,620 | No | +$197 | 02-07 06:35 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? | 7 | $6.9K | 7,019 | 0 | +7,019 | Yes | +$70 | 05-04 15:49 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 2 | $6.7K | 7,029 | 0 | +7,029 | No | +$313 | 03-30 14:40 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 42 | $6.4K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | -$1,047 | 04-07 23:30 |
| epl wol wes 2026 01 03 wol | 7 | $6.4K | 3,270 | 3,270 | +0 | Yes | +$153 | 01-03 16:42 |
| will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026 | 15 | $6.1K | 3,220 | 3,220 | +0 | No | +$279 | 06-28 07:22 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 2 | $5.9K | 1,000 | 5,000 | -4,000 | No | +$50 | 06-27 00:28 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616 | 30 | $5.6K | 3,915 | 3,915 | +0 | Yes | -$1,309 | 02-05 15:40 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | 2 | $5.0K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | Knicks | +$50 | 05-05 02:20 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 7 | $4.9K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$109 | 03-25 03:09 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 11 | $4.9K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$114 | 03-22 06:30 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 4 | $4.7K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | Yes | -$240 | 04-06 07:37 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | 1 | $4.7K | 4,700 | 0 | +4,700 | Spurs | +$42 | 05-16 03:39 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 10 | $4.6K | 3,500 | 2,000 | +1,500 | No | -$186 | 05-19 16:48 |
| over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192 | 28 | $4.4K | 2,524 | 2,688 | -164 | No | +$475 | 01-10 15:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||