Fickle-Oyster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$991

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-18 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

87% 50% -$997

Crypto

13% 77% +$13

Other

0% 33% -$16

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$8.9K	6,829	6,000	+829	Yes	-$366	06-13 17:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.6K	2,629	1,311	+1,317	No	+$306	05-31 15:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	7	$1.1K	620	620	+0	No	+$9	06-13 13:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$1.1K	558	558	+0	No	+$39	06-13 04:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$996	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	-$996	06-11 09:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$232	119	119	+0	No	+$5	05-23 02:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$219	135	135	+0	No	+$19	05-24 19:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	2	$208	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 16:00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 17?	3	$206	103	103	+0	No	+$0	05-18 03:17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 16?	3	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	05-17 03:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	05-16 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?	2	$187	94	94	+0	Yes	+$1	05-14 15:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	2	$183	93	93	+0	Yes	+$3	05-14 14:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	2	$152	77	77	+0	No	+$1	06-10 04:56
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	4	$147	75	75	+0	No	+$4	06-08 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	1	$93	98	0	+98	Down	+$5	05-15 13:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	1	$90	90	0	+90	Yes	+$0	05-13 15:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	1	$87	90	0	+90	No	+$3	05-12 13:29
will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 6	2	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$2	06-06 17:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$58	42	42	+0	Yes	-$1	05-29 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	2	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 15:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	2	$42	26	26	+0	No	+$3	05-19 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-05 15:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 21?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 15:17
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-04 05:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-19 03:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-20 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	2	$39	21	21	+0	Down	-$1	05-21 15:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 09:28:46	ethereum above 1700 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x000263…
06-13 17:25:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xeac3f0…
06-13 17:22:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	804	68¢	$546	0x180ee2…
06-13 17:19:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb914f1…
06-13 17:19:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdc885d…
06-13 16:42:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd00970…
06-13 16:28:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x828f4b…
06-13 16:28:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x1c2425…
06-13 16:28:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x4c67a8…
06-13 13:36:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	620	91¢	$564	0x76bafc…
06-13 09:04:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	258	90¢	$232	0xbe9e63…
06-13 09:03:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x52d89b…
06-13 08:40:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4b7b79…
06-13 08:38:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x01bd45…
06-13 08:36:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x05b54d…
06-13 08:35:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xd4202d…
06-13 04:24:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	554	100¢	$553	0xc94768…
06-13 04:22:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7238ed…
06-12 04:01:00	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xca00db…
06-12 03:48:22	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd8ae75…
06-11 09:42:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	83¢	$996	0x50955d…
06-10 18:11:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	475	93¢	$442	0x9d94c2…
06-10 17:55:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc1ca6c…
06-10 17:54:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,319	96¢	$1,268	0x40560c…
06-10 17:54:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbb47d1…
06-10 17:53:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x481da6…
06-10 17:53:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	154	96¢	$148	0x107103…
06-10 17:52:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x25c512…
06-10 17:49:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x839b4e…
06-10 17:49:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5e16b2…
06-10 16:54:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	83	92¢	$76	0x316c06…
06-10 04:56:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x1b5d2d…
06-09 17:21:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0xa74905…
06-08 03:06:06	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdb21fe…
06-08 02:44:49	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd93511…
06-08 02:41:57	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xeb1af9…
06-07 17:48:03	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xdc9ba6…
06-06 17:25:39	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 6	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa17292…
06-06 16:27:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xb77227…
06-06 16:22:57	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 6	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xb79af7…
06-05 02:17:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,500	87¢	$1,305	0x9ecaeb…
06-05 00:37:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,500	13¢	$195	0xde5e0b…
06-05 00:36:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,500	14¢	$210	0x9aab62…
06-03 17:39:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	862	88¢	$758	0x16c861…
06-03 17:37:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	82	88¢	$72	0xe55c2f…
06-03 17:37:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	556	88¢	$489	0xf642ca…
06-03 01:58:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	86¢	$1,290	0x2dcc0e…
06-02 16:15:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	88¢	$1,320	0xc8e21c…
06-02 09:11:57	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x2ea831…
06-01 17:32:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,275	0xc4d9de…
06-01 17:08:26	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xf444ac…
05-31 23:57:49	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4a377c…
05-31 18:37:10	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x59c943…
05-31 15:30:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,317	99¢	$1,300	0x82c12f…
05-31 05:40:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,301	98¢	$1,278	0x36588b…
05-30 19:40:56	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x33d09e…
05-30 18:09:00	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x96e536…
05-30 15:52:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x137532…
05-29 18:19:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x2c4a0c…
05-28 21:00:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x63916d…
05-28 19:30:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x74a9e5…
05-28 19:05:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x4d41cd…
05-28 04:14:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x78e4fb…
05-28 04:13:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xf1c598…
05-28 04:13:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x0b9272…
05-26 01:40:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xdebe78…
05-25 07:41:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,301	76¢	$989	0x5568db…
05-24 19:58:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1e89f2…
05-24 19:52:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x3357e6…
05-24 19:28:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x5d374a…
05-24 19:28:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x75d6a3…
05-24 19:13:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	135	88¢	$119	0x651146…
05-23 16:29:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xef8bd0…
05-23 02:52:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0x96d863…
05-22 11:09:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0x476d63…
05-21 15:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x5f28dc…
05-21 15:17:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x76b5d3…
05-21 15:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xaea45b…
05-21 14:30:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xe44067…
05-20 15:49:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1dcba1…
05-20 15:40:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x90d31a…
05-20 14:05:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x283030…
05-20 13:57:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x53cfbb…
05-19 16:02:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0xcdb406…
05-19 16:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x01046e…
05-19 15:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x16e6e6…
05-19 14:48:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x492e7e…
05-19 03:44:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf43029…
05-19 01:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc5455b…
05-18 16:00:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x45af4d…
05-18 12:45:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$102	0xe523d2…
05-18 03:17:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe520e2…
05-18 03:17:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 17?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xa54f40…
05-18 03:04:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 17?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x3c3ca0…
05-17 03:57:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x460df9…
05-17 03:57:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 16?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x149dcf…
05-17 03:02:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 16?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x36c2fc…
05-16 15:59:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2ec319…
05-16 11:01:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5f48ab…
05-15 13:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	98	95¢	$93	0x387900…