Unruly-Gallon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

507

lifetime

Volume

$51.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% 0% $-71

Crypto

32% — —

Other

12% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	83	$12.6K	17,331	17,244	+87	open	—	01-30 18:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	25	$11.5K	10,759	10,740	+19	open	—	04-07 22:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$6.4K	14,011	6,511	+7,500	open	—	04-09 11:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	15	$5.2K	4,435	4,425	+10	open	—	04-07 22:57
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	23	$4.5K	21,567	26,599	-5,033	open	—	01-08 21:53
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	20	$1.9K	1,688	1,688	+0	open	—	04-07 06:36
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	41	$1.3K	25,959	18,032	+7,927	open	—	01-29 08:48
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	51	$1.1K	12,126	12,126	+0	open	—	01-14 16:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$970	2,464	2,464	+0	open	—	04-08 00:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	6	$949	2,140	1,030	+1,110	open	—	05-01 04:00
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	10	$813	1,249	1,249	+0	open	—	05-01 07:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$657	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	04-07 23:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$291	1,384	520	+865	open	—	05-31 11:47
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	10	$254	13,542	24,542	-11,000	open	—	01-08 17:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	10	$245	3,100	2,142	+958	open	—	05-29 11:23
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	11	$243	2,528	800	+1,728	open	—	03-25 23:25
bitcoin above 92k on january 4	2	$238	789	853	-63	open	—	01-04 08:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	9	$233	10,641	0	+10,641	open	—	05-27 07:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	12	$230	4,354	2,340	+2,014	open	—	05-15 01:39
bitcoin above 90k on january 5	3	$215	412	412	+0	open	—	01-04 17:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$200	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 06:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$175	3,112	0	+3,112	open	—	05-12 05:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$164	66,926	0	+66,926	open	—	04-30 19:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$156	1,840	1,840	+0	Yes	$-24	04-28 13:51
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	11	$132	14,520	24,520	-10,000	open	—	01-08 17:38
bitcoin above 88k on january 5	3	$129	1,390	0	+1,390	open	—	01-04 15:54
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	7	$122	1,482	280	+1,202	open	—	03-25 23:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	6	$104	11,332	0	+11,332	open	—	05-18 02:28
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$87	1,482	282	+1,200	open	—	04-30 19:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	6	$74	6,069	6,069	+0	open	—	05-06 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:06:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,208	1¢	$12	0xe0dd53…
06-07 01:52:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2,100	1¢	$13	0xb887d1…
06-06 00:48:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	469	1¢	$7	0xc4422c…
06-02 04:23:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,327	0¢	$4	0xa026ec…
06-02 03:13:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xec2596…
05-31 11:47:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	865	2¢	$15	0xb5a179…
05-29 11:23:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x95f2d8…
05-27 18:16:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x6cc54d…
05-27 18:14:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa5017e…
05-27 18:14:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x7b2f4e…
05-27 18:14:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	720	1¢	$7	0xe12b7c…
05-27 07:46:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xc836be…
05-25 02:34:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,002	1¢	$6	0x5226f6…
05-21 00:57:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1e056d…
05-20 01:01:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x454d6f…
05-18 02:28:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	337	1¢	$2	0x080598…
05-15 01:39:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$38	0xe2994a…
05-12 05:24:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	1¢	$3	0x71cf89…
05-11 16:31:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,870	0¢	$2	0xd2909f…
05-11 02:56:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xeefe7a…
05-10 14:17:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	14¢	$19	0x767529…
05-10 14:15:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	14¢	$50	0x298e53…
05-10 14:15:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,467	5¢	$73	0x3167d7…
05-10 13:03:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	5¢	$10	0x1a833b…
05-10 12:42:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x3052d0…
05-10 12:40:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xe0daff…
05-10 12:40:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	440	5¢	$22	0xff1dd2…
05-10 12:31:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	4¢	$11	0x770b39…
05-10 12:30:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	235	5¢	$12	0x085a18…
05-10 07:55:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	4¢	$9	0xd6aa68…
05-10 07:54:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	340	3¢	$10	0x36ff3e…
05-10 02:58:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	4¢	$4	0xe9b5c7…
05-09 04:20:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	193	3¢	$5	0xe45928…
05-08 06:35:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xd9661f…
05-06 16:12:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,765	1¢	$31	0xb812ee…
05-06 16:11:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6,069	1¢	$36	0x46968b…
05-06 13:37:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe5a5de…
05-06 09:42:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,626	6¢	$98	0x92a92c…
05-06 09:28:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	516	6¢	$31	0x87434e…
05-06 09:15:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	520	27¢	$140	0x3766f6…
05-06 09:12:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x66e409…
05-06 09:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	27¢	$65	0x97b0f7…
05-06 09:11:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	27¢	$16	0x1d06ee…
05-06 09:08:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	25¢	$54	0x54ecc8…
05-06 05:13:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,070	1¢	$10	0xe91f08…
05-06 05:11:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	5¢	$20	0x88f7f6…
05-06 05:10:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	838	4¢	$35	0x8aba84…
05-06 02:02:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x91c65c…
05-06 01:51:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	325	4¢	$14	0x2846ba…
05-06 01:23:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	407	5¢	$21	0x5cd35e…
05-06 01:22:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,579	2¢	$30	0xf98049…
05-05 11:45:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	275	4¢	$12	0xe7d816…
05-05 11:36:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	155	4¢	$7	0x1c0bb3…
05-05 09:26:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	179	5¢	$9	0x0b9d4e…
05-05 08:09:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xd9c85d…
05-05 07:46:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,622	4¢	$60	0xeea4ce…
05-04 10:22:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	303	4¢	$13	0x5b1450…
05-04 10:21:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x3f4f50…
05-04 10:20:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,985	2¢	$49	0x61bf02…
05-04 08:23:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	794	1¢	$6	0x1655fa…
05-04 08:22:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x9a6a45…
05-04 08:17:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,136	2¢	$25	0xa52a6e…
05-04 08:14:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	467	5¢	$24	0x7c018c…
05-04 03:43:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,592	4¢	$62	0xa532b9…
05-03 15:23:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x551746…
05-03 15:00:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	870	2¢	$20	0xfe1400…
05-03 14:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,129	2¢	$49	0x75059c…
05-03 11:14:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,560	1¢	$9	0x790a44…
05-03 10:36:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8d5d92…
05-03 10:18:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x68dadb…
05-03 06:04:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,215	1¢	$19	0xeb721f…
05-03 03:59:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,074	2¢	$48	0xac912b…
05-03 03:58:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,122	1¢	$50	0xacbde1…
05-01 07:36:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	260	45¢	$117	0x03b9f5…
05-01 06:48:52	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x628c6b…
05-01 06:47:50	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xbc6238…
05-01 06:45:40	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	234	41¢	$96	0xf18ac0…
05-01 06:29:08	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	255	39¢	$99	0x909c74…
05-01 04:52:08	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x107aea…
05-01 04:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	515	83¢	$430	0x75986e…
05-01 04:00:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	515	87¢	$450	0x7e9048…
05-01 03:48:46	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	168	33¢	$55	0x07863d…
05-01 03:40:32	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	287	33¢	$95	0xeabebe…
05-01 01:51:44	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	534	23¢	$123	0x3d6244…
04-30 19:46:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,905	0¢	$4	0x247430…
04-30 19:45:30	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x49e47c…
04-30 19:40:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,475	0¢	$7	0x4bfc4c…
04-30 19:39:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	182	4¢	$7	0xb176ba…
04-30 19:36:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	25,475	0¢	$51	0xed2af1…
04-30 19:19:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,935	0¢	$12	0x533db9…
04-30 15:39:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,535	0¢	$9	0xe46a6e…
04-30 15:38:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10,050	0¢	$20	0x7fd973…
04-30 13:39:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8,240	0¢	$16	0xc943fa…
04-30 10:46:14	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	534	26¢	$139	0xd47325…
04-30 10:41:40	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x82a0c0…
04-30 10:30:28	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$45	0x1ea119…
04-30 10:19:08	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	397	7¢	$27	0xa7a49a…
04-30 09:41:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	570	0¢	$1	0x0a74e8…
04-30 09:35:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	411	2¢	$8	0xde475e…
04-30 01:44:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,233	0¢	$10	0x88585b…