Unconscious-Mozzarella — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$326

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

315

Trades

1,940

lifetime

Volume

$7.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 11-02 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

80% 31% -$325

Crypto

7% 43% -$31

Politics

5% 57% +$47

Tech

4% 54% -$20

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+5	$4	86¢	$4	+$0	09-26 04:37
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+15	$5	17¢	$3	-$2	09-22 12:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+9	-$1	12¢	$1	+$2	10-30 02:22
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+51	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	09-24 13:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+7	$1	15¢	$1	$0	09-25 14:07
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	11¢	$1	+$0	10-05 23:07
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Yes	+2	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	10-01 20:40
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	+8	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-08 05:38
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-02 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?	133	$474	420	420	+0	Up	+$2	09-21 06:21
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	62	$302	176	176	+0	Yes	-$14	09-21 10:51
Gorka Guruzeta: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$179	100	100	+0	No	-$5	09-19 13:20
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	2	$144	109	109	+0	No	-$21	09-28 05:54
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	2	$133	442	442	+0	open	—	09-26 02:08
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$117	68	68	+0	open	—	09-22 22:34
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	3	$112	60	60	+0	No	+$5	09-27 11:53
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	4	$105	68	68	+0	No	-$14	10-02 03:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	23	$91	417	417	+0	No	+$31	05-16 18:55
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	13	$82	49	49	+0	open	—	10-03 06:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$73	1,247	1,247	+0	No	+$13	05-21 00:38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	8	$73	71	71	+0	Yes	-$6	09-22 15:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	10	$71	41	41	+0	open	—	09-26 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	32	$70	120	120	+0	No	+$14	09-26 16:46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	10	$70	399	399	+0	No	+$10	05-23 22:33
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?	7	$67	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	09-22 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	21	$64	4,750	4,750	+0	No	+$4	05-17 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	10	$64	316	316	+0	No	+$4	05-21 00:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	7	$64	347	347	+0	Yes	+$3	04-12 20:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	7	$62	358	324	+34	No	+$2	05-18 00:39
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	3	$61	35	35	+0	No	+$2	09-26 20:13
will xagusd dip to 65 by september 14 2026	2	$59	82	0	+82	No	-$59	09-17 19:35
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	8	$58	68	68	+0	No	-$11	09-21 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	6	$57	1,347	1,347	+0	No	-$4	05-24 06:36
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	2	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	09-26 20:19
metas watermelon released by october 31 2026	3	$55	44	44	+0	Yes	-$2	09-27 09:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$55	215	215	+0	No	+$15	05-21 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	12	$55	409	409	+0	Yes	-$5	05-13 17:38
Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	2	$54	32	32	+0	No	+$9	09-25 11:40
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$2	09-26 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:06:19	Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x25c360…
10-31 03:14:51	Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x953cfc…
10-30 02:22:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x5e54a8…
10-29 02:49:19	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xb9b242…
10-22 01:04:54	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$1	0x253d65…
10-18 16:08:17	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	1¢	$2	0x567bf9…
10-18 15:28:53	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf5f3bc…
10-15 14:01:25	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x3f9f1d…
10-10 04:50:46	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xef7272…
10-09 13:28:42	Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x345ec6…
10-08 07:17:56	Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x333e14…
10-08 05:38:20	Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x668530…
10-08 02:46:02	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x26c040…
10-07 21:25:27	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x7e8555…
10-07 20:37:14	Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x6547d6…
10-07 20:01:23	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xda207f…
10-07 20:01:23	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0xbd6992…
10-07 14:35:50	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x24592b…
10-07 14:34:14	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf41b07…
10-07 14:32:29	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa71575…
10-07 14:31:14	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x349c1c…
10-06 21:26:45	Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1aa87a…
10-06 07:48:33	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xaa0463…
10-06 07:23:40	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x845987…
10-06 03:39:33	Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x014465…
10-06 01:32:55	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 70-74%?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1e4acb…
10-06 01:28:08	Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x9c560a…
10-06 00:36:22	Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x0f6af2…
10-05 23:56:37	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 70-74%?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1f0fed…
10-05 23:07:28	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x328af0…
10-05 22:15:29	Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd77925…
10-05 22:15:25	Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x70df6e…
10-05 22:15:22	Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x9a7a54…
10-05 14:32:50	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x388652…
10-05 13:07:08	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xde60c4…
10-04 23:59:34	Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x393112…
10-04 23:59:26	Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x857ed1…
10-04 23:01:05	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x76774d…
10-04 23:00:41	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d52d2…
10-04 22:12:32	Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x8e2fe1…
10-04 22:12:10	Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x85dc5e…
10-04 22:09:55	Will Jacqueline Belleau win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xa4b443…
10-04 19:03:59	Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x948b8e…
10-04 15:38:08	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xdf34b7…
10-04 13:44:14	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$22	0xb4d01d…
10-04 13:44:14	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x310c29…
10-04 13:12:29	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x1f0546…
10-03 22:47:26	Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9a274e…
10-03 17:49:51	Will Jacqueline Belleau win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe8dfae…
10-03 17:32:26	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x54e47f…
10-03 17:32:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xe95be3…
10-03 17:32:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xb911d2…
10-03 15:11:02	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	0¢	$1	0xc8f0df…
10-03 06:09:15	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x078a6a…
10-03 04:35:33	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?	No	SELL	35	61¢	$22	0x4980ea…
10-03 04:34:15	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x8d9dee…
10-03 04:34:14	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xf7df03…
10-02 17:11:05	Will Bayern Munich qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x0e0dd1…
10-02 16:47:02	Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7445fe…
10-02 03:55:06	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	No	SELL	68	67¢	$45	0xc8711f…
10-02 02:39:20	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6dd555…
10-01 20:40:59	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xcd4a71…
10-01 18:17:11	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5c95a6…
10-01 13:15:06	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xbe4167…
10-01 12:24:14	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$8	0xc6f7eb…
10-01 12:17:39	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbe9796…
10-01 11:44:36	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4c565c…
10-01 05:38:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x505fdb…
10-01 02:49:05	Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb0ffbc…
10-01 00:46:23	Will Marc-Antoine Bernier win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2c7143…
10-01 00:43:14	Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xaabffc…
10-01 00:04:45	Will the Seattle Kraken be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x706d71…
09-30 23:32:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6f7ea0…
09-30 21:39:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x382316…
09-30 20:25:21	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xd784a8…
09-30 19:31:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc7e17a…
09-30 19:31:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x9271fc…
09-30 16:34:23	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb34f04…
09-30 12:27:47	Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc62928…
09-30 08:11:35	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	No	SELL	28	81¢	$22	0x73e624…
09-30 06:05:21	will hyperliquid hit 100 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x69f162…
09-30 05:03:36	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x31cfa4…
09-30 04:22:12	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xe34b4f…
09-30 01:30:11	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x205dd7…
09-29 22:09:26	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xbbe610…
09-29 21:30:00	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x4d698a…
09-29 19:15:11	Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x9e53d5…
09-29 18:08:50	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x823a4d…
09-29 12:33:36	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x316bd0…
09-29 11:12:36	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x925c40…
09-29 08:34:18	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xd28cff…
09-29 04:01:26	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xc7cf7b…
09-29 03:42:42	will hyperliquid hit 100 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xcecc02…
09-29 00:20:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x081eb2…
09-28 23:23:29	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x0c96a7…
09-28 21:55:50	Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xc5a3e3…
09-28 21:35:23	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5770fc…
09-28 18:10:08	Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xfd8733…
09-28 14:02:03	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd1d797…
09-28 13:54:47	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x06f421…