Suburban-Bellows — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

4,778 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$268

$17.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-12 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 50% -$866

Other

6% 20% -$148

Politics

3% 17% -$6

Sports

1% 31% -$9

Tech

0% 17% -$26

Pop-Culture

0% 12% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	2	$192	183	183	+0	No	+$13	06-04 10:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:10 UTC	4	$123	251	249	+2	Down	+$8	03-16 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 15:55 UTC	2	$109	145	143	+2	Down	+$21	03-15 15:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 05:45 UTC	3	$94	249	197	+51	Up	+$5	03-16 05:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:05 UTC	2	$91	139	138	+2	Down	+$9	03-16 11:07
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:25 UTC	2	$90	175	165	+10	Down	+$36	04-03 15:26
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	3	$90	88	88	+0	No	+$86	04-30 19:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	4	$86	123	111	+11	Up	+$26	03-14 19:23
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:00 UTC	2	$86	79	78	+1	Down	+$20	03-10 19:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 07:45 UTC	8	$85	73	72	+1	Down	+$6	02-26 07:51
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:10 UTC	2	$85	78	77	+1	Up	+$5	03-15 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 15:45 UTC	11	$82	149	73	+76	Down	-$3	03-01 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 08:15 UTC	8	$82	74	73	+1	Down	+$2	02-26 08:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 12:15 UTC	2	$81	190	189	+1	Down	+$6	03-13 12:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$80	250	250	+0	Yes	$0	06-09 03:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	2	$80	171	170	+1	Down	+$18	03-26 19:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:55 UTC	3	$78	118	108	+10	Up	+$22	03-14 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:55 UTC	4	$76	48	47	+1	Down	+$12	03-01 11:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:05 UTC	2	$75	90	88	+1	Down	+$1	03-16 12:05
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:45 UTC	4	$74	118	117	+1	Down	+$15	03-16 15:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 13:15 UTC	3	$74	133	84	+49	Up	+$24	03-13 13:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 12:10 UTC	2	$70	94	92	+1	Up	+$7	03-13 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:15 UTC	2	$69	90	85	+5	Down	+$32	04-03 08:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	2	$68	188	187	+1	Up	+$7	03-16 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$68	62	62	+0	Down	+$54	10-09 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 21:45 UTC	4	$67	74	73	+1	Down	+$8	02-28 21:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 08:30 UTC	6	$65	58	57	+1	Down	+$6	02-26 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 10:15 UTC	6	$63	48	48	+1	Down	+$4	02-26 10:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:25 UTC	2	$62	70	69	+1	Up	+$2	03-11 12:26
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:50 UTC	2	$61	77	76	+1	Down	+$7	03-10 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 10:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	98	47¢	$46	0x9ec43b…
10-10 19:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x0b5923…
10-10 19:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x521d53…
10-10 18:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xc8560e…
10-10 08:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc00b0d…
10-10 06:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc3b4af…
10-10 06:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb3b65c…
10-10 06:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd5a41e…
10-10 06:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c04fb…
10-10 06:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4e21d8…
10-10 06:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xe678d5…
10-10 06:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd727d6…
10-10 06:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0x3d5c2e…
10-10 06:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0xa2e93d…
10-10 05:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x243310…
10-10 05:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6346ce…
10-10 05:51:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xace8e9…
10-10 05:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	59	63¢	$37	0xacb71e…
10-10 05:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x0da8c7…
10-10 05:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x8f1901…
10-10 05:38:03	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x92b6b6…
10-10 05:37:10	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x9b6355…
10-10 05:34:24	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x677207…
10-10 05:31:25	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd1f8bd…
10-10 05:28:13	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x114da1…
10-10 05:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaaf229…
10-10 05:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa0b3d8…
10-10 05:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd20d62…
10-10 05:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x40e39f…
10-10 05:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdaf858…
10-09 22:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5b9794…
10-09 22:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x596bd7…
10-09 22:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x940973…
10-09 22:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x819f61…
10-09 22:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc6dce6…
10-09 22:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x31b46a…
06-27 13:23:31	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	5¢	$7	0x153376…
06-26 13:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb4f794…
06-26 13:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xac0b45…
06-26 13:10:06	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x478893…
06-11 15:58:31	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	178	11¢	$20	0xc67008…
06-09 04:39:48	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?	No	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0x48a6b3…
06-09 04:38:48	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xae107c…
06-09 04:38:07	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xf565d1…
06-09 04:37:36	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4d0ef6…
06-09 04:37:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	157	3¢	$5	0x63b800…
06-09 03:43:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	16¢	$40	0x1b60cd…
06-07 16:04:55	will anyone say jerry during rick and morty e3 s9	No	BUY	220	3¢	$6	0xf750ca…
06-07 15:57:37	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$3	0x142ee7…
06-07 13:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xb9fe64…
06-07 13:19:27	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?	No	BUY	665	2¢	$10	0x03cdb2…
06-07 13:10:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe66ae9…
06-07 13:09:28	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 22 be between 85 and 90?	No	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0xca88cf…
06-06 06:27:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 63.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$2	0x1e775c…
06-05 21:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 69°F or below on June 5?	No	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x23f0de…
06-05 21:20:45	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	BUY	216	4¢	$10	0xf8576e…
06-05 21:16:57	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x4e9c7b…
06-05 21:13:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	342	1¢	$5	0x54be84…
06-05 21:08:37	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x52002e…
06-04 17:13:27	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xacbeda…
06-04 12:08:48	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30?	Yes	BUY	155	2¢	$4	0x78a855…
06-04 11:02:22	will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	444	4¢	$20	0xe6cbcd…
06-04 10:43:27	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	183	56¢	$103	0x577e52…
06-04 10:40:45	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	183	49¢	$90	0x9aa380…
06-04 09:26:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x535497…
06-04 09:06:43	tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	287	3¢	$10	0xf0e3f1…
06-03 15:34:49	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xfe87b5…
05-31 17:37:43	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xd1a355…
05-29 05:30:34	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xae8447…
05-29 05:26:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x965fc8…
05-29 05:26:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x82dea0…
05-26 17:54:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b4c3d…
05-26 17:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x3c4573…
05-26 17:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x2730cd…
05-26 17:48:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x02ac9a…
05-26 17:46:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xc16e56…
05-26 17:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf57353…
05-26 17:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x372616…
05-25 15:54:55	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xda42f5…
05-25 15:54:36	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc790ed…
05-24 06:07:27	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x0e2982…
05-23 19:24:02	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6a8376…
05-23 19:23:27	Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x4d8fd0…
05-23 19:23:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x73f31c…
05-23 06:05:39	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x479b3a…
05-22 21:15:07	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x68d26b…
05-22 20:49:02	Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x77c03f…
05-22 20:34:55	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xaf6085…
05-22 20:34:33	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xb001a5…
05-22 20:32:39	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x5b8d0b…
05-22 20:32:07	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x006f2b…
05-22 20:05:49	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x02c626…
05-22 20:03:59	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xd14801…
05-22 19:35:36	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xf488a8…
05-22 18:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x8f0a02…
05-22 16:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xfc0097…
05-22 09:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x82543d…
05-22 07:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x07a20a…
05-22 07:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc937c4…
05-22 04:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0bb21a…