Beautiful-Creator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$580

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

164

Trades

1,441

lifetime

Volume

$174.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

$1.08K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-27 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 49% +$7,742

Other

42% 36% +$5,441

Politics

8% 40% -$47

Tech

1% 100% +$722

Sports

0% 0% -$190

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+500	$370	73¢	$365	-$5	10-26 08:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+350	$226	68¢	$238	+$12	10-26 17:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$128	66¢	$133	+$5	10-26 17:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+200	$132	66¢	$131	-$1	10-26 17:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+100	$94	94¢	$94	+$0	10-25 22:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	+1,500	$78	3¢	$43	-$35	10-26 17:55
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	+1,024	$221	4¢	$37	-$183	10-15 16:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+200	$38	8¢	$17	-$21	08-10 20:19
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	+300	$123	4¢	$11	-$112	09-08 22:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+1,800	$246	0¢	$6	-$240	09-21 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	33	$22.0K	14,541	14,541	+0	Yes	+$3,381	06-01 12:06
nothing ever happens microstrategy	107	$20.6K	14,880	15,210	-331	No	+$5,900	03-13 18:44
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	41	$14.3K	15,546	1,065	+14,481	No	+$635	06-30 06:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	79	$14.1K	11,750	11,750	+0	open	—	09-20 21:01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	25	$11.7K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	10-20 20:19
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	18	$10.4K	11,116	0	+11,116	Yes	+$760	06-08 08:33
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	35	$7.8K	4,628	4,628	+0	No	+$982	01-19 13:05
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$6.6K	3,300	3,300	+0	Yes	+$10	10-26 00:42
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	17	$6.1K	7,247	5	+7,242	Yes	+$1,182	06-07 23:05
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	22	$6.0K	3,170	3,170	+0	No	+$294	07-13 14:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	21	$4.1K	4,378	0	+4,378	No	-$47	07-06 07:57
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	12	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$147	07-13 12:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	9	$2.4K	1,751	1,751	+0	open	—	10-19 16:53
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	32	$2.3K	4,862	1,772	+3,090	No	-$1,212	09-28 13:35
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,100	1,000	+100	Yes	+$9	10-13 16:16
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	24	$2.0K	2,921	2,921	+0	No	+$320	07-27 06:38
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	35	$1.5K	1,235	1,235	+0	Yes	+$722	09-25 19:04
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	6	$1.5K	746	746	+0	No	+$33	06-30 09:19
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	39	$1.3K	2,063	2,063	+0	No	+$586	06-01 11:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$1.3K	900	900	+0	open	—	10-19 16:49
bitcoin up or down on january 30	15	$1.2K	5,032	0	+5,032	Down	-$1,237	01-30 10:53
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	6	$1.1K	926	564	+362	Yes	+$207	10-12 13:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.1K	1,837	1,837	+0	No	+$291	06-01 17:02
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.1K	781	781	+0	open	—	09-18 06:33
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	8	$1.1K	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	+$773	08-04 19:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$32	09-25 12:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	09-04 11:00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$876	600	600	+0	Yes	+$24	09-16 09:20
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	31	$821	700	700	+0	open	—	09-04 02:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	5	$775	500	500	+0	open	—	10-19 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:42:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x63ca06…
10-27 05:01:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	134	86¢	$115	0x60a05d…
10-26 22:26:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	350	29¢	$100	0x0c6b66…
10-26 19:48:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	155	77¢	$119	0xc6d5b5…
10-26 18:35:36	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2c03e0…
10-26 18:10:32	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	160	20¢	$32	0xb5dc5c…
10-26 18:08:39	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x21c4a3…
10-26 18:05:54	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x16bdd2…
10-26 17:58:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x8bcaf0…
10-26 17:56:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	125	77¢	$96	0xa87ce2…
10-26 17:56:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$20	0x46be13…
10-26 17:55:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	284	5¢	$15	0x367b54…
10-26 17:55:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,216	5¢	$63	0x063f58…
10-26 17:54:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x91e9f5…
10-26 17:54:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x04143b…
10-26 17:54:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xffc167…
10-26 17:53:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	150	71¢	$107	0x6af628…
10-26 11:10:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x3e14ed…
10-26 08:09:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	186	74¢	$138	0x73d93f…
10-26 08:08:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	314	74¢	$232	0xf21654…
10-26 04:49:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x7daa94…
10-26 00:42:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,300	100¢	$1,297	0x58815c…
10-25 22:13:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xad4dfe…
10-25 22:11:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,981	100¢	$1,975	0xf431b9…
10-25 22:11:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x287490…
10-25 22:11:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xc55e88…
10-25 22:10:35	Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	29¢	$116	0x3205e5…
10-25 22:02:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9d05ae…
10-25 21:57:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x92f7de…
10-25 21:44:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1b7a16…
10-25 21:36:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x1eb11a…
10-25 21:07:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	593	3¢	$16	0xe5d1f1…
10-25 21:07:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0x6e58f5…
10-25 20:53:00	Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	563	13¢	$72	0xa9979a…
10-24 21:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x85e80c…
10-24 21:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x6a7e7c…
10-24 21:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x180dc2…
10-24 21:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xfb0d68…
10-24 21:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf52ec4…
10-24 21:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x19808e…
10-24 21:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x17ea8d…
10-24 21:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	272	0¢	$0	0x8f8df0…
10-23 17:01:35	Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $600k at auction?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x330ff0…
10-23 17:01:35	Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $700k at auction?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x05cf21…
10-23 07:12:24	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$22	0x3f498f…
10-23 07:11:17	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$4	0x9427a4…
10-22 09:44:56	Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	18¢	$63	0xb7b767…
10-20 20:20:21	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	400	27¢	$108	0x908f9a…
10-20 20:19:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,800	5¢	$86	0x79d1ad…
10-20 20:19:50	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$82	0x75e0b0…
10-20 20:19:39	Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	Yes	SELL	81	80¢	$65	0x17e1c9…
10-19 16:57:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0x0f23c0…
10-19 16:53:54	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$128	0x23b0d1…
10-19 16:53:35	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	68¢	$340	0x67a71d…
10-19 16:53:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,150	70¢	$806	0x948ca7…
10-19 16:52:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	601	72¢	$432	0xb9e6a8…
10-19 16:49:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	900	61¢	$551	0xbbfda4…
10-19 12:39:08	Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa56a35…
10-19 11:55:50	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0xa259af…
10-19 10:45:21	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x237c50…
10-19 08:44:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x121599…
10-19 06:53:53	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	No	BUY	90	84¢	$76	0xc4bd12…
10-19 06:53:42	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 13-19?	No	BUY	130	78¢	$101	0x619bfa…
10-19 06:41:24	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	Yes	SELL	125	98¢	$123	0xc13b86…
10-18 22:38:51	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6b87a9…
10-18 22:37:29	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x90c70f…
10-18 22:10:05	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0x040c6e…
10-18 22:09:27	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	291	38¢	$109	0xd752fa…
10-18 17:47:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	Yes	SELL	305	98¢	$300	0xb0f74f…
10-18 17:27:59	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 13-19?	Yes	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x15782f…
10-17 21:10:17	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	78¢	$272	0xccbcd8…
10-16 21:32:27	Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0xb58d23…
10-15 16:14:55	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x139d23…
10-13 16:16:30	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4ec904…
10-13 15:50:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x6c0821…
10-13 08:18:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb75459…
10-12 13:37:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	362	100¢	$362	0x810d4a…
10-12 11:56:53	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	SELL	326	99¢	$323	0x256cfe…
10-12 11:55:35	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	SELL	238	72¢	$172	0x21c5f3…
10-11 13:24:48	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x8aa8ff…
10-11 12:37:54	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	492	51¢	$251	0xa1759f…
10-11 12:37:48	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc947e9…
10-11 06:49:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0xfd29c6…
10-11 06:48:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x6862bf…
10-10 13:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9868e1…
10-10 13:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x9ec6b1…
10-10 13:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0cf669…
10-10 13:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x8594e0…
10-10 09:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x2c5b02…
10-10 07:41:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x2c6f71…
10-10 07:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x1d7a0a…
10-10 06:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xe71073…
10-10 04:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x791345…
10-10 03:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0x04cf67…
10-10 02:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa927cb…
10-10 02:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc0432c…
10-10 01:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x102996…
10-10 01:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf333c5…
10-10 01:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	47	69¢	$32	0x8d8f05…
10-09 22:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	43	64¢	$28	0x388ba2…