Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$722

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$54

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-25 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$10

Other

37% 88% -$13

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+30	$29	96¢	$29	$0	10-25 17:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+26	$25	98¢	$25	+$0	10-25 08:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$1	02-01 14:26
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$107	109	0	+109	No	+$2	01-02 13:05
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$61	63	0	+63	No	+$2	04-14 08:18
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-02 10:54
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$1	03-02 10:56
will bnb dip to 200 in march	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-02 10:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$1	05-01 09:00
Will Hibachi launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	03-02 10:55
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$31	34	0	+34	No	+$3	07-08 15:57
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	07-08 16:02
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	07-08 16:08
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	1	$29	33	0	+33	Yes	+$4	05-01 09:05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	10-25 17:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	10-25 08:23
Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	10-25 08:39
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-02 10:55
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	01-02 13:02
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	-$20	04-10 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:17:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x07c000…
10-25 08:39:42	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3d8ead…
10-25 08:23:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xff64e7…
07-08 16:08:14	Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf839aa…
07-08 16:02:20	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x2c0664…
07-08 15:57:55	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xca908e…
05-01 09:05:02	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x98514f…
05-01 09:00:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xa040c7…
04-14 08:18:55	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x11e74b…
04-14 05:48:39	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xe21fcb…
04-11 04:06:29	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x07d562…
04-10 11:52:37	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x36a095…
03-02 10:56:11	Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x124932…
03-02 10:55:51	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x37d9b4…
03-02 10:55:13	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x19edf6…
03-02 10:55:03	Will Hibachi launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x843b88…
03-02 10:54:17	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xf9d3a5…
02-01 14:26:28	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xcf7ce3…
01-20 12:37:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8ee3c7…
01-02 13:05:11	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x8a82b4…
01-02 13:02:49	Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1f259c…