Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$560

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

242

Trades

588

lifetime

Volume

$61.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$31

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Politics

77% 76% -$478

Crypto

18% 17% +$199

Other

4% 35% -$23

Sports

1% 22% -$259

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+13	$5	80¢	$10	+$5	09-18 04:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$5	90¢	$9	+$3	07-19 01:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$5	94¢	$7	+$2	07-19 01:16
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+7	$5	54¢	$4	-$1	10-02 09:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+6	$4	16¢	$1	-$3	10-08 14:19
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	+0	$3	3¢	$0	-$3	10-01 18:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	38	$16.4K	9,422	9,422	+0	No	-$11	03-31 18:56
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	13	$5.8K	2,946	2,946	+0	No	+$119	03-24 08:52
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$4.2K	3,433	1,408	+2,025	No	+$327	02-07 05:15
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$2.9K	3,224	0	+3,224	No	+$330	03-10 00:37
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$2.5K	1,392	1,392	+0	No	+$2	02-06 17:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$2.5K	2,601	2,601	+0	Yes	-$1,847	02-28 06:37
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$2.4K	2,582	0	+2,582	No	+$181	02-23 06:25
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$2.1K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$104	02-01 02:27
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$2.1K	2,159	0	+2,159	No	+$94	02-17 07:34
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$2.0K	2,065	0	+2,065	No	+$39	02-14 08:47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.9K	1,004	1,004	+0	Yes	+$64	01-30 11:57
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$1.9K	1,098	1,098	+0	Yes	+$11	01-30 03:13
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	2	$1.7K	935	935	+0	No	+$109	01-26 00:33
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$1.6K	820	820	+0	No	+$67	01-24 01:44
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$60	01-18 01:40
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$1.4K	739	739	+0	No	+$56	01-16 00:50
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$1.3K	681	681	+0	No	+$40	01-15 05:00
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$1.2K	641	641	+0	No	+$43	01-14 05:11
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$1.2K	595	595	+0	No	+$14	02-07 05:14
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$1.2K	592	592	+0	No	+$18	01-12 06:38
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	2	$1.1K	574	574	+0	No	+$30	01-11 07:42
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$50	302	0	+302	No	-$50	01-18 01:43
ethereum above 1800 on july 11 2026	2	$33	24	24	+0	Yes	+$13	07-11 14:46
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-04?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	09-05 06:49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner	2	$32	22	22	+0	MIBR	+$12	09-17 18:04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$31	43	43	+0	No	+$1	07-10 15:48
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-05?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	09-05 15:23
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	2	$28	18	18	+0	Yes	+$8	07-10 19:43
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-04?	2	$27	18	18	+0	Yes	+$7	09-04 20:13
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-04?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	09-04 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:32:05	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x82bc39…
10-29 02:29:43	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x0ffe15…
10-29 01:47:23	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x693d06…
10-28 01:52:17	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x692723…
10-27 03:28:08	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	317	3¢	$10	0x88886e…
10-27 01:58:53	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x37a053…
10-27 01:58:53	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0x27dbac…
10-27 01:58:30	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x14965e…
10-27 01:58:27	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x968f9d…
10-25 03:49:48	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x42292e…
10-25 02:35:33	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x63a5f1…
10-25 02:21:11	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Nets	BUY	357	2¢	$9	0x61d73d…
10-25 00:28:44	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x839c09…
10-24 04:48:51	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	345	3¢	$9	0xab097e…
10-24 01:43:29	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x7044a6…
10-23 22:38:53	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x520f5f…
10-17 02:30:45	Wizards vs. Pelicans	Wizards	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x9681d8…
10-17 01:40:48	Raptors vs. Pistons	Raptors	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x5c2784…
10-17 01:40:48	Raptors vs. Pistons	Raptors	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x2b936b…
10-17 01:40:33	Raptors vs. Pistons	Raptors	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf63be7…
10-16 02:10:51	Raptors vs. Knicks	Raptors	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xf199dc…
10-14 05:59:11	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xdb3a01…
10-11 01:32:45	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf5992f…
10-11 01:32:45	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x8977ee…
10-11 01:32:45	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5cd9b1…
10-11 01:32:45	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x5b90ac…
10-11 01:32:44	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x4106cc…
10-11 01:32:39	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xaefedb…
10-11 01:32:39	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4112e2…
10-11 01:32:33	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x7b7fca…
10-11 01:32:32	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x568f1d…
10-11 01:32:32	Hawks vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1517e3…
10-10 10:57:58	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	217	1¢	$2	0xa247a7…
10-08 14:19:50	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x5809ac…
10-08 12:14:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x8b5bba…
10-08 11:20:24	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xc35d68…
10-08 10:22:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x33f23a…
10-08 06:47:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xd5d02a…
10-08 02:22:32	Magic vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb2873d…
10-07 09:31:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x373f4d…
10-07 09:20:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xd3daa3…
10-07 09:15:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x239ab5…
10-07 02:51:45	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0xeadd3f…
10-07 02:51:42	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb29556…
10-07 02:51:42	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x88b2c3…
10-06 01:41:25	Suns vs. Pistons	Suns	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5df7d0…
10-05 19:40:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x690773…
10-05 16:28:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x2148c7…
10-05 16:22:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x434d9b…
10-05 16:17:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x152a28…
10-05 15:50:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x153758…
10-05 01:33:44	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xf6ac2a…
10-05 01:33:23	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x3bcee1…
10-05 01:33:19	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc04945…
10-05 01:33:19	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x154739…
10-05 01:32:46	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	96	6¢	$6	0xcbe7b7…
10-05 01:32:43	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa16e23…
10-05 01:32:41	Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3f3dd6…
10-02 14:58:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x24ef6c…
10-02 14:53:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x5e58d6…
10-02 14:05:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xdc5df7…
10-02 13:59:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x928e38…
10-02 13:54:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x63a256…
10-02 13:06:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x7055ee…
10-02 13:01:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x1a1436…
10-02 12:51:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xcd52e1…
10-02 12:45:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x899db6…
10-02 12:40:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x5cb928…
10-02 12:23:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xe7b4d7…
10-02 09:28:20	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x1f4444…
10-01 18:41:18	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x81852f…
10-01 18:10:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x7e2cf7…
10-01 18:05:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x2f1d88…
10-01 17:59:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x859d08…
10-01 16:08:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xbf9083…
10-01 15:47:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xbed7fb…
09-30 15:36:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf40230…
09-30 14:32:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x26c98b…
09-30 13:22:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x103e4b…
09-30 13:11:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xc1ce47…
09-30 12:45:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xc7f679…
09-30 12:40:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x7c9146…
09-29 19:22:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x659acc…
09-29 18:53:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0xe6f95a…
09-29 18:48:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x845aef…
09-29 18:31:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xc4783a…
09-29 18:20:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x303529…
09-28 16:36:23	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xb71e92…
09-26 18:37:21	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$2	0x2859e7…
09-26 02:59:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x9ca630…
09-25 21:36:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x01c077…
09-24 14:13:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x01cf2a…
09-21 11:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xc11e20…
09-21 09:14:24	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x1af3d0…
09-21 08:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xce55f9…
09-21 05:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x20eacd…
09-21 04:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc7246b…
09-21 04:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcd5088…
09-21 03:00:50	Spread: KC (-5.5)	KC	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x7b9145…
09-21 01:29:56	Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x6a891d…