Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

241

Trades

1,283

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$391

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-11

last 09-29 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

96% 94% -$209

Sports

4% 80% -$68

Politics

1% 93% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	-100	-$37	70¢	$-70	-$32	07-16 09:38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$29	22¢	$-36	-$7	07-17 04:19
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	-100	-$12	24¢	$-23	-$11	07-15 22:16
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$42	15¢	$-23	+$18	07-16 19:30
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$12	13¢	$-21	-$9	07-17 07:50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	-100	-$14	18¢	$-18	-$4	07-16 09:49
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	-50	-$11	34¢	$-17	-$6	07-15 07:33
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	-100	-$11	15¢	$-15	-$4	07-17 04:19
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	-100	-$10	15¢	$-15	-$5	07-16 09:49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	-100	-$13	12¢	$-12	+$0	07-16 09:49
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	-50	-$1	25¢	$-12	-$11	07-14 16:26
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	-100	-$27	11¢	$-11	+$16	07-15 23:09
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$6	6¢	$-10	-$4	07-17 07:50
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$11	6¢	$-10	+$1	07-17 04:19
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$3	6¢	$-10	-$7	07-17 08:01
Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	-50	-$4	18¢	$-9	-$6	07-17 07:50
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$6	6¢	$-9	-$3	07-17 08:01
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$4	5¢	$-7	-$3	07-17 07:55
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	-100	$0	7¢	$-7	-$7	07-16 09:39
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	-50	-$9	12¢	$-6	+$3	07-14 22:09
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	-100	-$12	6¢	$-6	+$6	07-16 09:39
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$6	4¢	$-6	+$1	07-17 07:50
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	-49	-$3	12¢	$-6	-$3	07-16 09:43
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	-100	-$12	6¢	$-6	+$6	07-16 09:49
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$4	3¢	$-5	-$2	07-17 08:29
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	-49	-$4	10¢	$-5	$0	07-16 09:43
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$6	3¢	$-4	+$2	07-17 04:19
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$2	3¢	$-4	-$2	07-17 06:55
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	-161	-$4	2¢	$-4	+$0	07-16 18:53
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	-100	-$8	4¢	$-4	+$4	07-16 09:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	47	$3.0K	0	8,285	-8,285	No	+$3,021	07-17 07:50
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	67	$2.6K	0	8,285	-8,285	No	+$2,618	07-17 07:46
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	168	$1.2K	0	8,285	-8,285	No	+$1,231	07-17 07:50
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	156	$968	0	8,285	-8,285	Yes	-$7,317	07-17 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 12?	9	$485	244	244	+0	No	+$2	07-12 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 12?	2	$397	202	202	+0	No	+$5	07-12 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 12?	20	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$3	07-12 17:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?	12	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$3	07-12 16:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 12?	2	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$3	07-12 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 12?	4	$394	199	199	+0	No	+$2	07-12 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 12?	13	$394	199	199	+0	No	+$2	07-12 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 12?	3	$394	198	198	+0	No	+$2	07-12 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 12?	2	$393	198	198	+0	No	+$1	07-12 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on July 12?	8	$393	198	198	+0	No	+$1	07-12 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?	17	$393	198	198	+0	No	+$1	07-12 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	8	$393	199	199	+0	Yes	+$1	07-12 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?	4	$371	187	187	+0	No	+$1	07-12 10:26
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 12?	3	$298	175	125	+50	No	+$1	07-12 20:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 13?	3	$283	148	148	+0	No	-$8	07-13 02:42
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	32	$240	0	8,285	-8,285	No	+$240	07-17 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 12?	7	$236	119	119	+0	No	+$1	07-12 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 12?	2	$233	117	117	+0	No	+$1	07-12 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 12?	9	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	07-12 19:27
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 12?	6	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$1	07-12 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 12?	1	$196	198	0	+198	No	-$196	07-12 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 12?	1	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	-$196	07-12 18:01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 12?	3	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$1	07-12 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	4	$151	76	76	+0	No	+$1	07-12 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 12?	5	$147	74	74	+0	No	+$0	07-12 18:20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 73°F or below on July 13?	2	$136	71	71	+0	No	-$2	07-12 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 01:48:54	Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x1caa87…
09-13 14:28:01	Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x197ecf…
09-10 23:26:49	Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x7ca7ee…
09-05 18:12:37	Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xeb3ed2…
09-05 16:25:45	Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x4b9f48…
09-02 09:38:36	Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x36a123…
08-12 08:29:07	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1190af…
08-12 08:28:42	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9b4e06…
07-26 14:06:12	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8a8404…
07-26 14:04:46	Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	655	0¢	$1	0xee3db2…
07-24 17:45:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5337b2…
07-24 13:43:16	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcb326d…
07-23 21:59:57	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2127b4…
07-23 19:40:36	Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xc59366…
07-23 19:40:31	Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9a734e…
07-23 19:40:28	Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x572a7b…
07-23 19:40:22	Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x516e04…
07-23 19:40:16	Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3d1ff2…
07-23 19:40:09	Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe8f3c4…
07-23 19:40:03	Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xbb99bf…
07-23 19:39:58	Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x95a189…
07-23 19:39:54	Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x0c92fd…
07-23 08:45:49	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xfebe70…
07-23 08:45:46	Will Nate Ament win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xea0835…
07-23 08:45:43	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x66ee7e…
07-23 08:45:39	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x620e9f…
07-23 08:45:36	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xb725d0…
07-22 17:29:31	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,060	0¢	$1	0x39c93d…
07-22 17:28:28	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,100	0¢	$1	0xf71092…
07-22 17:26:54	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,220	0¢	$1	0x2c9e89…
07-22 17:25:27	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5115c6…
07-21 19:12:42	Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,092	0¢	$2	0x0caecd…
07-21 12:15:34	Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	8,240	0¢	$8	0xff0ec9…
07-21 05:48:04	Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xdd7f01…
07-21 05:44:58	Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xfe8cdf…
07-20 21:11:55	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x4f78e9…
07-20 20:58:43	Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	8,240	0¢	$8	0x8122e7…
07-20 16:38:22	Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x8e8991…
07-20 16:37:54	Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7,000	0¢	$7	0xe7899e…
07-20 15:09:09	Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,100	0¢	$1	0x697b4d…
07-20 15:08:55	Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5,267	0¢	$5	0x683955…
07-20 14:00:37	Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,644	0¢	$2	0x91a6be…
07-20 13:56:06	Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,973	0¢	$3	0x8401b0…
07-20 13:55:51	Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	6,596	0¢	$7	0x87f345…
07-20 10:05:51	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7,221	0¢	$7	0x14b6d4…
07-20 00:45:18	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,019	0¢	$1	0xb6ba43…
07-19 17:10:27	Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	6,815	0¢	$7	0xbe6f03…
07-19 16:30:54	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5,607	0¢	$6	0x805e72…
07-19 08:11:31	Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7,087	0¢	$7	0xa7a922…
07-19 07:25:39	Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	338	0¢	$0	0x876d44…
07-19 07:25:10	Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2c2e18…
07-19 04:58:27	Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	425	0¢	$0	0x5190d7…
07-19 03:36:21	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xc8c02a…
07-18 15:49:12	Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	8,240	0¢	$8	0x2eb386…
07-18 11:02:00	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc18ce0…
07-17 20:20:48	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	863	0¢	$1	0x1f9a62…
07-17 20:14:01	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5,821	0¢	$6	0x70bd3b…
07-17 17:06:49	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,419	0¢	$2	0xcbff4b…
07-17 10:16:27	Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x36b891…
07-17 10:16:19	Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4e50a4…
07-17 10:13:27	Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	364	0¢	$0	0xaadf8c…
07-17 10:12:51	Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4,366	0¢	$4	0xc0b364…
07-17 09:53:25	Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x41ca64…
07-17 09:53:15	Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2dbe2a…
07-17 09:53:06	Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xef42a4…
07-17 09:52:57	Will Alex Karaban win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2702bb…
07-17 09:52:52	Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe9dc35…
07-17 09:52:45	Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe02d2e…
07-17 09:52:39	Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x79a07d…
07-17 09:52:31	Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6d14bb…
07-17 09:52:25	Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc54782…
07-17 09:52:09	Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x1484c9…
07-17 09:50:48	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf7646f…
07-17 09:50:39	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0a5e32…
07-17 09:50:27	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf9fcea…
07-17 08:34:57	Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0x971ae7…
07-17 08:34:46	Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0xba8d8a…
07-17 08:34:42	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0x0b41f7…
07-17 08:34:36	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0xa1a3f7…
07-17 08:34:31	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$1	0x4c60c5…
07-17 08:34:27	Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x25f8b0…
07-17 08:34:19	Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xff13c4…
07-17 08:34:10	Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$1	0xda2ac1…
07-17 08:30:19	Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x98e24b…
07-17 08:30:13	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$1	0xf27a18…
07-17 08:30:06	Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$1	0x56ddf6…
07-17 08:30:00	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$2	0xb09fcd…
07-17 08:29:52	Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$3	0xc6f103…
07-17 08:29:40	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$3	0x726511…
07-17 08:28:39	Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$0	0x3cd95e…
07-17 08:28:34	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$2	0x6cf272…
07-17 08:23:24	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	409	1¢	$3	0x87e1f0…
07-17 08:02:48	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4bc44a…
07-17 08:01:55	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0xb55963…
07-17 08:01:46	Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0x6a0cd7…
07-17 08:01:37	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x4fef49…
07-17 08:01:28	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x7691f4…
07-17 08:01:22	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$1	0x47e5cc…
07-17 07:58:28	Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x5f64fe…
07-17 07:58:12	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0xa25b47…