Realized P&L (24h)
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
10.1%
Resolved (24h)
9
Trades (24h)
19
746 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$134
$9.65K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$240
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-09 02:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
46% 55% +$89
Politics
41% 47% +$46
Tech
8% 50% +$30
Sports
3% 50% -$3
Pop-Culture
1% 57% -$11
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +47 $28 70¢ $33 +$4 10-16 22:25
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? Yes +25 $5 94¢ $23 +$19 11-06 16:54
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +26 $10 74¢ $19 +$9 11-04 06:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +428 $30 4¢ $18 -$11 11-09 00:14
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +23 $19 79¢ $18 -$1 11-04 16:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +19 $13 80¢ $15 +$2 10-27 23:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +21 $11 70¢ $15 +$3 11-08 05:25
Government shutdown by December 12? Yes +32 $11 34¢ $11 $0 11-08 15:36
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $5 72¢ $11 +$5 11-09 00:11
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14? Yes +9 $6 98¢ $9 +$3 11-06 23:12
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? Yes +9 $5 96¢ $9 +$4 11-05 23:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +37 $10 21¢ $8 -$2 07-27 21:48
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +9 $5 88¢ $7 +$2 11-06 16:45
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-06 09:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +9 $5 65¢ $6 +$1 11-07 19:36
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +68 $7 8¢ $6 -$2 11-03 20:42
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-06 11:00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 11-04 13:46
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-06 10:48
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? No +71 $5 7¢ $5 +$0 11-09 02:32
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? Yes +15 $5 20¢ $3 -$2 10-26 13:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +8 $5 34¢ $3 -$2 10-25 21:55
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? Yes +42 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 10-23 20:40
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? Yes +3 $5 5¢ $0 -$5 10-28 12:37
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? Yes +19 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 11-02 22:43
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 10-22 00:13
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +0 $32 8¢ $0 -$32 10-14 22:25
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? Yes +0 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 11-03 20:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 09-04 04:00