Serious-Picnic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$313

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

1,625

Trades

1,651

lifetime

Volume

$39.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 07-27 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% +$313

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?	1	$388	412	0	+412	Yes	+$24	05-06 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?	2	$379	278	278	+0	Yes	+$172	05-01 07:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 25c	3	$316	195	191	+3	Yes	+$69	04-24 23:16
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 16?	1	$279	492	0	+492	Yes	+$213	05-16 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	2	$242	186	181	+5	No	+$69	04-25 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24?	3	$200	243	78	+164	Yes	-$83	05-24 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 16?	1	$180	206	0	+206	Yes	+$25	05-16 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?	1	$180	197	0	+197	Yes	+$16	05-06 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 27?	2	$143	132	132	+0	Yes	+$111	05-27 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 23?	2	$140	177	0	+177	Yes	+$38	05-23 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 24?	2	$137	232	0	+232	Yes	-$57	05-24 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 15?	1	$126	132	0	+132	Yes	+$6	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 24?	2	$122	195	0	+195	Yes	-$122	05-24 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 1?	1	$112	132	0	+132	Yes	+$19	05-01 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 13?	1	$108	110	0	+110	Yes	+$2	05-13 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?	2	$107	436	0	+436	Yes	-$107	06-02 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	1	$102	122	0	+122	No	-$102	05-01 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 12?	1	$99	138	0	+138	Yes	+$38	05-12 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 3?	1	$98	122	0	+122	No	+$23	06-03 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 29?	1	$98	182	0	+182	Yes	+$84	04-29 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 29?	1	$98	102	0	+102	No	+$5	05-29 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 25?	1	$97	113	0	+113	Yes	-$97	05-25 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 22?	1	$94	99	0	+99	Yes	+$5	05-22 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 24?	1	$94	103	0	+103	No	+$9	05-24 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?	1	$94	97	0	+97	No	+$4	05-25 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$93	160	0	+160	Yes	+$66	05-04 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 25?	1	$91	110	0	+110	No	+$19	05-25 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 29?	1	$91	111	0	+111	No	+$20	05-29 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	1	$91	131	0	+131	No	+$40	06-04 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 6?	1	$90	94	0	+94	Yes	+$4	05-06 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 18:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb40c7d…
07-27 16:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1c0fd3…
07-27 13:56:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x638ada…
07-27 12:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x4279a2…
07-27 12:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x39c439…
07-27 12:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 27?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2c6bac…
07-27 11:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 27?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x5cbd21…
07-27 09:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	115	21¢	$24	0x4219d6…
07-27 08:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 27?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0xad3f1f…
07-27 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x33b17c…
07-27 06:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xeacd01…
07-27 06:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 27?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf0a3e2…
07-27 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 27?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x208a25…
07-27 05:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	77	24¢	$19	0xc5fb02…
07-27 05:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x563e4d…
07-27 04:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?	No	BUY	101	18¢	$18	0x16c64c…
07-27 04:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcc535f…
07-27 04:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	55	32¢	$18	0x18094f…
07-27 04:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0ed132…
07-27 03:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc51279…
07-27 03:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0fcc24…
07-27 03:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x793dd2…
07-27 02:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x4a1bde…
07-27 02:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x1f48dc…
07-27 02:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x53857d…
07-27 02:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	43	62¢	$26	0xc8c0b7…
07-27 02:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x03bb3b…
07-27 01:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0db6c5…
07-27 00:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xbb7c65…
07-27 00:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x907a20…
07-27 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xba25ca…
07-26 23:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x533d33…
07-26 21:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xea8fd2…
07-26 17:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 26?	No	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0x4ed9bc…
07-26 16:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x566b0b…
07-26 16:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 26?	No	BUY	51	54¢	$27	0xeaf306…
07-26 15:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 26?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x14aaca…
07-26 14:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	39	79¢	$31	0x718b32…
07-26 11:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?	No	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xbe0968…
07-26 11:54:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb2657c…
07-26 10:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5b8af6…
07-26 10:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x973c25…
07-26 08:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xec1fbb…
07-26 08:54:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x83a208…
07-26 08:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 26?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x7cc51f…
07-26 07:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0488c1…
07-26 07:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xddbdb9…
07-26 06:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa53c87…
07-26 05:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0x06107a…
07-26 05:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x6ffcde…
07-26 04:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x131fae…
07-26 03:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x37dc68…
07-26 03:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x30680d…
07-26 03:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xd8c241…
07-26 03:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	68	40¢	$27	0xf14d48…
07-26 03:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?	No	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0xed65c0…
07-26 02:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0f1f9d…
07-26 01:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x1842f9…
07-26 01:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xfd61a3…
07-26 00:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xff523d…
07-26 00:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x367a62…
07-25 16:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x322219…
07-25 16:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 25?	No	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x112deb…
07-25 15:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 25?	No	BUY	53	64¢	$34	0x3ef8e7…
07-25 14:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf88051…
07-25 14:24:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x61eea1…
07-25 14:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3ed18f…
07-25 10:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	185	20¢	$37	0x8461c8…
07-25 08:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0b0318…
07-25 08:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdef770…
07-25 08:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25?	No	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0x1f05c9…
07-25 07:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 25?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x99dd0c…
07-25 05:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x0de784…
07-25 04:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$28	0x9b352e…
07-25 04:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0x2d2849…
07-25 04:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2f5c5e…
07-25 03:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb2977e…
07-25 03:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0xd6f653…
07-25 02:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xeffc03…
07-25 02:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x1b8ed0…
07-25 02:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x359cce…
07-25 02:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x7c5b5b…
07-25 02:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xba5e6f…
07-25 01:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x8ef2db…
07-25 01:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x0ae407…
07-25 01:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	33	68¢	$22	0xfb68ca…
07-25 00:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x24bdda…
07-25 00:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf311e8…
07-25 00:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0xdecd37…
07-24 23:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x07a490…
07-24 17:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x5b9fbf…
07-24 16:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 24?	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xd92080…
07-24 13:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0xcd9afc…
07-24 13:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x309fed…
07-24 13:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 24?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x41be79…
07-24 12:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 24?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2a8345…
07-24 12:54:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb7fa9a…
07-24 12:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 24?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfbedc9…
07-24 12:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x2c124d…
07-24 11:25:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb4233b…