Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 12?
Yes won
Total volume
$415
Trades
36
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 21:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $120 | $6 | +$114 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $178 | $5 | +$173 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $20 | $3 | +$17 |
| Median | 7 | $147 | $6 | +$142 |
| Below median | 10 | $42 | $2 | +$40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $80 | — | +$80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | +138 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 05-12 16:27 |
| Innocent-Lord 0x9c4e…1f10 | Yes | +90 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-12 13:23 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-12 15:03 |
| Known-Swordfish 0x6ebb…405a | Yes | +40 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 09:22 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 15:18 |
| Equal-Sun 0xbddc…5d4f | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:02 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xdef9…0cb6 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 13:12 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:08 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:58 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 23:24 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +5 | $3 | $8 | 3 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:08 |
| Violent-Volcano 0x16d9…fab9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 04:00 |
| Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:08 |
| Guilty-Speaker 0x87f7…5666 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:07 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 04:14 |
| Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 03:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 21:07:59 | Aromatic-Activity 0xa511…010b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xe61a2e… |
| 05-12 19:01:39 | Edible-Spume 0x89e3…5d22 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x472566… |
| 05-12 18:06:34 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xbf1181… |
| 05-12 16:32:14 | Pleasant-Squid 0xa73a…27d9 | No | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68579c… |
| 05-12 16:27:08 | Playful-Appliance 0x1a63…e745 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x833aa5… |
| 05-12 16:27:04 | Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | BUY | 138 | 100¢ | $138 | 0x3a81fb… |
| 05-12 15:18:09 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf93892… |
| 05-12 15:03:11 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf1eaa3… |
| 05-12 15:03:03 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x6636af… |
| 05-12 14:02:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8b2441… |
| 05-12 13:27:59 | Lined-Toreador 0xda58…6009 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x435cf1… |
| 05-12 13:23:04 | Innocent-Lord 0x9c4e…1f10 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 89¢ | $80 | 0x8e18c9… |
| 05-12 13:22:55 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x54f883… |
| 05-12 13:12:55 | Insidious-Loggia 0xadb0…1c8c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x33b231… |
| 05-12 13:12:44 | Insidious-Loggia 0xadb0…1c8c | Yes | SELL | 35 | 81¢ | $28 | 0xe5b6a0… |
| 05-12 13:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xdef9…0cb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x34b2bf… |
| 05-12 13:12:42 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xae5b77… |
| 05-12 09:22:37 | Known-Swordfish 0x6ebb…405a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x19c25f… |
| 05-12 09:17:27 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x66ec6b… |
| 05-12 07:55:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x173b77… |
| 05-12 05:39:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xc69bbd… |
| 05-12 04:59:35 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x932365… |
| 05-12 04:14:28 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xcdd3d8… |
| 05-12 04:00:52 | Violent-Volcano 0x16d9…fab9 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xe3657c… |
| 05-12 03:22:59 | Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x3dabee… |
| 05-12 01:58:47 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xd251d7… |
| 05-12 01:53:11 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xd43e72… |
| 05-12 01:43:58 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x6a1e03… |
| 05-12 00:52:55 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xee6087… |
| 05-12 00:47:53 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x817c79… |
| 05-12 00:02:21 | Equal-Sun 0xbddc…5d4f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x08e530… |
| 05-11 23:24:03 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x37c720… |
| 05-11 21:07:33 | Guilty-Speaker 0x87f7…5666 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x28e437… |
| 05-11 14:08:54 | Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x6176a8… |
| 05-11 14:08:47 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xbfe210… |
| 05-11 14:08:47 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x31743c… |