Watery-Nightmare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$337

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-09 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

73% 28% $-47

Crypto

27% 60% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	2	$31	30	30	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-08 03:31
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$25	32	0	+32	Thunder	+$7	05-08 03:20
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	05-19 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$16	25	25	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 21:58
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	2	$15	10	10	+0	Knicks	+$5	05-11 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	40	0	+40	Up	+$30	05-09 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	33	0	+33	Down	$-10	05-08 22:31
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	1	$10	24	0	+24	Thunder	$-10	05-10 00:58
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$10	22	0	+22	Milwaukee Brewers	$-10	05-10 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-08 22:35
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	06-09 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$5	05-09 22:21
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$11	05-10 22:15
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	1	$5	10	0	+10	Over	$-5	05-10 17:19
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	1	$5	9	0	+9	Timberwolves	$-5	05-10 17:19
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-25 01:22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-22 00:33
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	1	$5	11	0	+11	Over	$-5	05-10 17:18
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$5	11	0	+11	Milwaukee Brewers	$-5	05-13 00:41
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	1	$5	10	0	+10	Pistons	$-5	05-07 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Down	$-5	05-09 01:23
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	1	$5	11	0	+11	Spurs	$-5	05-09 02:46
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	1	$5	11	0	+11	New York Mets	+$6	05-09 02:45
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$5	12	0	+12	Knicks	$-5	05-09 01:02
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$5	12	0	+12	Minnesota Twins	$-5	05-10 00:59
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-08 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:40:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x266160…
05-25 01:22:48	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd84e98…
05-22 00:35:14	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xaa5da1…
05-22 00:34:36	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3d48ae…
05-22 00:33:57	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0a097d…
05-20 02:44:35	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xda2c17…
05-19 03:11:58	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4b19d4…
05-19 02:38:51	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6e396f…
05-19 02:38:37	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xac64ff…
05-19 02:37:19	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Spurs	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xb220ba…
05-19 00:22:30	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6b96f9…
05-19 00:22:04	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd979bc…
05-19 00:21:18	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdc22d4…
05-19 00:20:35	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x92654c…
05-15 02:20:56	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x8021b6…
05-13 00:43:59	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdc08af…
05-13 00:41:25	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf8bfb5…
05-13 00:40:54	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x23860c…
05-13 00:40:01	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x9f24e8…
05-11 02:57:13	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbe071e…
05-10 22:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x60a514…
05-10 19:57:15	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x23a163…
05-10 19:56:50	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x2f9155…
05-10 17:20:23	Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins	Washington Nationals	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x686072…
05-10 17:19:55	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x98b3e9…
05-10 17:19:45	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x81f819…
05-10 17:18:22	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x995b7e…
05-10 17:17:12	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x25cdb9…
05-10 00:59:41	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x568341…
05-10 00:58:29	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Lakers	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x80dade…
05-09 22:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xeb1d13…
05-09 02:47:42	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf59300…
05-09 02:46:23	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc674b2…
05-09 02:45:57	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc65715…
05-09 01:36:43	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa1c023…
05-09 01:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd0fcb4…
05-09 01:05:25	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe72be5…
05-09 01:04:53	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0d377a…
05-09 01:04:39	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x43387f…
05-09 01:04:03	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x167f1a…
05-09 01:02:32	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb41cbe…
05-09 00:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf2c503…
05-08 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xecbb52…
05-08 22:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x98a954…
05-08 22:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3b8e21…
05-08 03:31:15	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x7cc9f0…
05-08 03:20:29	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x787999…
05-08 01:41:08	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x562160…
05-07 22:25:22	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0dda8b…
05-07 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xe9f7ac…
05-07 22:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfe26a9…
05-07 22:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x77ca21…
05-07 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdf70b8…
05-07 21:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x1c80b6…
05-07 21:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0f55df…