Realized P&L
-$69
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
221
Trades
319
lifetime
Volume
$545
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$9
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 08-21 19:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
56% 62% -$13
Crypto
34% 52% -$47
Politics
5% 0% -$4
Sports
4% 62% -$4
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +111 $10 3¢ $3 -$7 06-15 08:46
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +71 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 08-03 16:59
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 05-18 11:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 06-17 18:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-18 16:23
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-21 18:25
ebola pandemic in 2026 Yes +11 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-24 16:07