Joint-Welcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

136

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$321

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-14 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

68% 35% -$41

Crypto

28% 18% -$18

Politics

3% 25% -$5

Tech

1% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$8	01-31 14:30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	06-27 09:22
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	1	$8	0	50	-50	Yes	-$42	03-01 17:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$8	31	31	+0	No	+$6	05-16 11:29
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	1	$8	0	28	-28	No	+$8	03-01 17:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	2	$8	250	250	+0	Yes	+$6	02-09 18:03
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	2	$8	100	100	+0	No	+$6	02-09 15:29
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	3	$7	38	38	+0	No	+$3	02-25 13:11
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	2	$6	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	01-31 14:54
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	1	$6	0	24	-24	No	+$6	03-01 17:42
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	2	$6	11	11	+1	Yes	+$5	04-16 16:22
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	2	$6	12	12	+0	No	+$4	02-07 12:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$6	102	102	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$6	12	12	+0	No	+$4	05-20 12:41
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	2	$5	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	02-17 18:28
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	2	$5	29	29	+0	No	+$3	02-15 17:19
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	-$5	07-14 18:51
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	06-14 09:13
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 180 199	3	$5	134	100	+34	No	+$1	02-16 15:04
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	2	$5	48	48	+0	No	+$3	02-13 20:39
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	2	$4	48	48	+0	Yes	+$2	02-13 08:49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$4	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-25 07:47
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	01-31 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 11:00 UTC	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$0	02-07 11:14
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	2	$4	19	19	+0	No	+$2	02-16 11:59
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	2	$4	26	26	+0	No	+$2	02-13 14:03
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	1	$4	0	29	-29	No	+$4	03-01 17:42
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	2	$4	17	17	+0	No	+$2	03-29 13:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	506	506	+0	Yes	-$2	02-03 13:22
ethereum up or down on february 4	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	02-04 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 18:51:07	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf9877f…
06-27 09:22:13	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0dde3e…
06-14 09:13:22	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa50ac1…
05-25 07:48:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca6367…
05-25 07:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x76a0ad…
05-25 07:47:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x8b9320…
05-20 18:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x675602…
05-20 12:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0xda6029…
05-16 11:42:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x03edac…
05-16 11:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc029a4…
05-16 11:34:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xab532c…
05-16 11:29:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	24¢	$7	0x594801…
05-14 13:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3ff2d9…
05-14 13:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf8a954…
05-14 13:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x876a69…
05-14 13:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf3b92d…
05-14 13:13:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xff21af…
04-16 16:52:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdd4dcd…
04-16 16:22:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x22c74b…
04-10 11:16:15	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xaa12ac…
03-31 09:24:23	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x288461…
03-31 09:24:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x82239d…
03-29 13:02:06	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x11d4b1…
03-28 19:12:42	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xd85bcf…
03-27 14:38:55	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x70e5d4…
03-26 07:16:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xdba249…
03-25 13:08:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x336a24…
03-25 10:45:55	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0ece8f…
03-25 10:45:47	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x767318…
03-25 10:45:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x028809…
03-25 10:43:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa631f4…
03-25 10:43:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x6501e5…
03-25 10:43:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x38d514…
03-25 10:41:33	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x73c2c5…
03-25 10:41:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xeb3114…
03-19 13:29:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd6e5ee…
03-19 13:29:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd1c0fc…
03-19 13:29:07	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4a29a5…
03-19 13:28:27	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x4a6bc1…
03-13 06:28:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x075bee…
03-13 06:28:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe099bc…
03-13 06:28:05	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0768a8…
03-13 06:27:53	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf29453…
03-13 06:27:11	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0b6eec…
03-13 06:27:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe67211…
03-13 06:26:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xd8063b…
03-13 06:26:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xbf0dac…
03-09 10:25:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1e79a1…
03-09 10:25:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 200 219	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf28068…
03-03 07:25:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe6ffe6…
03-03 07:25:47	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc23ffe…
03-03 07:25:37	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 220 239	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x24838e…
03-03 07:25:31	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 200 219	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2279ef…
03-01 17:45:47	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfc3ad7…
03-01 17:45:39	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb08b41…
03-01 17:45:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbb7f1a…
03-01 17:45:25	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xca01d8…
03-01 17:42:31	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x7b6ff3…
03-01 17:42:13	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0xfb700f…
03-01 17:42:07	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0xa5ca4e…
03-01 17:42:05	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x353aaa…
02-25 13:11:46	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x3c3b6f…
02-24 05:55:08	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x27d78b…
02-20 14:31:24	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 440 459	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x2882cb…
02-20 14:31:16	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x001e82…
02-20 14:30:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xba3fd3…
02-18 08:28:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x76ee78…
02-18 08:28:12	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb65199…
02-18 08:27:54	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x66fe57…
02-18 08:27:46	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcb2aac…
02-17 22:41:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x38e0f4…
02-17 20:35:43	donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 160 179	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xe880b9…
02-17 18:28:29	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xafca26…
02-17 13:56:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x8c8f08…
02-17 12:41:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 17 23	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x51c9af…
02-17 07:39:37	donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2f1ce…
02-17 07:37:19	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 200 219	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3c498b…
02-16 15:35:17	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 17 23	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xe095da…
02-16 15:04:13	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 180 199	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x8462ef…
02-16 11:59:29	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xea23a2…
02-15 17:21:45	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x295fd5…
02-15 17:19:33	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x167334…
02-14 13:38:11	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 160 179	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x99cf9b…
02-14 12:30:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd57019…
02-14 12:26:57	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe923b7…
02-14 12:26:11	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x544112…
02-14 12:19:25	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x7b8a5f…
02-14 09:10:35	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe9567f…
02-14 09:10:23	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe077e2…
02-14 09:10:15	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xcef83c…
02-14 07:48:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x15b35e…
02-14 07:48:15	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 200 219	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x59bc71…
02-13 22:50:29	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 180 199	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x68f88a…
02-13 20:39:37	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	Yes	SELL	48	8¢	$4	0x199116…
02-13 14:17:59	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 200 219	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x220204…
02-13 14:03:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x04c837…
02-13 08:49:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa16cb1…
02-13 08:49:01	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0x6313b0…
02-13 08:36:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 180 199	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x01888b…
02-11 17:26:07	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x4d7d57…