Gentle-Encirclement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

112

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

90% 53% +$3

Politics

6% 100% +$2

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:30
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-10 20:38
Will "AMERICA'S SWEETHEARTS: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-23 19:28
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:34
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-22 23:46
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-12 19:22
Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-08 18:19
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-21 05:27
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-27 21:19
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-29 02:46
will hyperliquid reach 84 in july	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-28 06:11
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 03:50
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-09 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 7?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 11?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 1?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-01 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 18:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-08 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:12:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0092f8…
08-31 02:39:22	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfcf381…
07-28 06:11:58	will hyperliquid reach 84 in july	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa21197…
06-29 07:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x4ed822…
06-29 02:46:01	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xde5057…
06-29 02:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbf3521…
06-28 14:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7dcb7c…
06-28 12:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x736ad5…
06-27 22:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb099f9…
06-27 20:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9c592f…
06-27 00:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x401e26…
06-27 00:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x874b77…
06-25 13:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb6d65c…
06-25 13:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2766a4…
06-25 12:55:14	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x54c689…
06-25 12:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2b1633…
06-25 12:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x89e664…
06-24 19:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xec70ce…
06-24 19:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x33ab5e…
06-24 17:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7f42d7…
06-24 03:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x35fd11…
06-24 03:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x46be5e…
06-23 19:28:26	Will "AMERICA'S SWEETHEARTS: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x122af5…
06-22 13:51:28	Will "AMERICA'S SWEETHEARTS: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x2b8a03…
06-21 08:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf63935…
06-21 08:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xafd704…
06-21 08:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4907d1…
06-21 05:27:32	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x317055…
06-20 06:27:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8a7e99…
06-20 06:09:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb4662d…
06-20 06:04:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd4f863…
06-20 04:34:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x82eab3…
06-18 04:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe8c1e5…
06-18 04:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x773a20…
06-16 05:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x29c807…
06-16 05:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf973ab…
06-15 01:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x8552f6…
06-15 01:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x150503…
06-15 01:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2af6b8…
06-14 01:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x1d8546…
06-14 01:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0b59e3…
06-13 03:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x573bb1…
06-13 03:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x196ce0…
06-12 19:22:39	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5899f1…
06-12 04:02:33	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xcab69f…
06-11 15:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcaf5fc…
06-11 12:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x38f024…
06-10 17:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd49352…
06-10 17:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3e3dfb…
06-10 12:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x2963c7…
06-10 12:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 11?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x22e043…
06-09 04:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2d13d4…
06-09 03:50:00	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf4d6d0…
06-09 00:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb66c0c…
06-08 18:19:21	Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe71fe8…
06-08 17:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3f32c5…
06-08 05:17:54	Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xed2c47…
06-07 13:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8668be…
06-07 03:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf89dee…
06-06 19:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd4a0c0…
06-06 02:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x115cd5…
06-06 02:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1a3835…
06-06 02:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe1f1fd…
06-05 06:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x10388f…
06-05 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb72366…
06-04 11:18:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 4?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x203564…
06-04 10:57:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xad32b7…
06-03 07:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xc69715…
06-03 07:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x4d4676…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x177b44…
06-02 06:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x60a795…
06-01 21:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x93e8db…
06-01 14:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc76dc2…
06-01 14:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe82ccb…
06-01 12:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb6f88e…
06-01 03:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x888506…
06-01 03:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x935678…
06-01 03:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x176019…
05-31 22:34:51	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xed7752…
05-31 16:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x333ce0…
05-31 14:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x41a445…
05-31 08:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5a692a…
05-30 15:46:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x3d9809…
05-30 08:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa841e9…
05-30 06:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3557c1…
05-29 15:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb6aab0…
05-29 14:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf555e5…
05-29 07:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x767804…
05-29 07:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xee3266…
05-29 06:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76558c…
05-29 04:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x532b90…
05-28 17:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78d786…
05-28 10:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x82f4ed…
05-28 08:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd2d442…
05-28 03:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x99fb1b…
05-27 21:19:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xec9387…
05-27 13:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xda5167…
05-27 04:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xba15e8…
05-27 04:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xcf4e4a…