Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
7
lifetime
Volume
$27
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$23
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 20:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
44%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +47 $9 17¢ $8 $-1 05-05 20:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +36 $4 16¢ $6 +$2 05-05 17:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +16 $4 30¢ $5 +$1 05-05 17:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +27 $4 16¢ $4 +$0 05-05 17:17