Admirable-Hippopotamus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$131

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

118

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-20 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

51% 94% +$50

Crypto

24% 65% +$2

Politics

20% 83% $-170

Sports

3% 100% +$239

Tech

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	10	$4.5K	2,242	2,242	+0	No	+$0	01-22 15:12
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	8	$2.3K	1,171	1,171	+0	No	+$0	01-09 02:03
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	32	$2.3K	1,169	1,169	+0	No	+$1	01-09 12:49
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	6	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$1	01-03 06:53
trump out as president by march 31	13	$1.8K	1,052	832	+220	No	+$8	03-14 08:02
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	13	$1.2K	587	587	+0	No	+$0	01-11 13:55
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.2K	595	595	+0	Yes	+$2	01-23 13:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	$-19	03-01 03:10
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$1.2K	581	581	+0	Yes	+$1	01-02 05:47
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$1.0K	525	500	+25	No	+$0	01-04 08:48
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$858	430	430	+0	Yes	+$0	02-21 05:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	6	$838	513	343	+170	No	+$7	05-19 02:39
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	8	$727	365	365	+0	No	+$0	01-13 06:20
Trump out as President by May 31?	4	$594	301	301	+0	No	+$2	05-04 15:34
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$587	595	0	+595	No	+$8	01-23 14:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$553	290	290	+0	Yes	+$1	04-14 03:43
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	2	$520	520	0	+520	Yes	+$1	01-04 08:49
will mara corina machado attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$457	473	0	+473	No	+$17	02-25 02:52
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	2	$428	215	215	+0	No	+$0	02-13 06:04
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$427	215	214	+1	No	+$0	02-14 16:10
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$426	214	214	+0	No	+$0	02-12 15:06
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	2	$425	213	213	+0	No	+$0	02-15 09:20
khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	1	$409	410	0	+410	No	+$0	03-01 03:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$329	166	166	+0	No	+$1	04-23 16:51
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$321	163	163	+0	No	+$3	04-27 12:15
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$312	158	158	+0	No	+$0	04-16 10:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$311	157	157	+0	No	+$0	04-15 10:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	3	$311	160	160	+0	No	+$2	04-19 11:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$305	152	152	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:18
will trump say jesus this week march 8	3	$303	152	151	+1	Yes	+$0	03-11 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 15:51:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0x5c4941…
07-18 04:37:12	will spy reach 775 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfcc3a8…
07-06 09:38:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x06aafc…
06-29 10:20:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x179e2b…
06-25 05:26:49	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x6fdea0…
06-12 12:17:07	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x53e2c9…
06-10 03:52:46	will ernest ernie richter advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa5df38…
06-04 12:22:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	150	94¢	$142	0x46969e…
05-30 04:46:29	Will Ernest "Ernie" Richter advance from the CA-33 primary election?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x26153e…
05-23 15:20:40	Will BNB reach $900 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6c5fd…
05-22 16:22:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x76fceb…
05-22 11:01:08	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0x16ee11…
05-21 10:49:49	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa23fd1…
05-21 05:10:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5eded9…
05-21 05:09:41	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82852d…
05-21 05:08:54	Will BNB reach $900 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf611c…
05-19 02:39:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	177	99¢	$175	0xa6ed3c…
05-18 13:37:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	177	98¢	$174	0x665e92…
05-16 13:45:54	Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3923b8…
05-16 13:45:40	Will Trump say "Elon" or "Jensen" or "Tim" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xa6bd3a…
05-16 13:45:25	Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xbe1dfe…
05-14 09:18:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5e23f6…
05-14 04:52:00	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x378446…
05-14 04:51:27	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x11399e…
05-14 04:50:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf140ff…
05-10 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0xb089bf…
05-10 05:14:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	166	98¢	$163	0x374ab3…
05-09 02:32:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x898133…
05-09 01:31:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x66a80f…
05-04 15:34:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0xf998c6…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$163	0x7b8a01…
05-03 02:01:50	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x5b667d…
04-30 04:49:02	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$134	0x64267c…
04-30 03:36:32	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd767c6…
04-30 03:35:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1c2d6f…
04-27 12:15:44	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$162	0xa81a3a…
04-25 15:49:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	163	98¢	$159	0x9464c0…
04-23 16:51:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0x42eb4b…
04-21 11:10:14	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x6cedae…
04-19 11:37:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	160	98¢	$156	0x615edb…
04-19 03:31:38	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	117	97¢	$113	0x7e3eb0…
04-19 03:30:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0x72adff…
04-16 10:02:36	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$156	0xd51120…
04-15 21:53:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0x3b7475…
04-15 10:11:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$156	0x548173…
04-14 14:44:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x38f8fc…
04-14 03:43:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x1a1040…
04-14 03:40:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xef5718…
04-14 03:40:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0xd56dd8…
04-13 04:16:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x1ba0b4…
04-12 13:48:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x936613…
04-11 05:10:27	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2d191e…
04-10 12:44:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x142445…
04-09 21:51:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	160	94¢	$151	0xed9f75…
04-08 13:35:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x76badf…
04-08 09:16:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9d7399…
04-08 09:07:39	highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 20c	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xfe7fdf…
04-08 00:09:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	130	96¢	$125	0x744b6c…
04-07 12:26:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbd8213…
04-05 21:35:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x0333a8…
04-05 21:04:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x66e60d…
04-05 21:02:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xaaeb75…
04-05 20:31:45	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4c6c31…
04-05 02:37:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x55b20b…
03-29 06:42:50	will trump talk to nicols maduro in march 958	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xba3d9a…
03-28 13:19:29	will trump talk to nicols maduro in march 958	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4d8c4d…
03-28 13:13:09	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x9d16d7…
03-28 13:00:43	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3e1bd…
03-28 12:59:39	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa8b770…
03-26 13:32:21	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x88f362…
03-26 13:21:15	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb41f0…
03-26 13:20:51	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ce09a…
03-26 13:18:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x29dfb3…
03-26 13:18:33	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xec167d…
03-25 13:31:09	highest temperature in tokyo on march 25 2026 14c	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa4429e…
03-25 13:29:37	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x878009…
03-23 06:47:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x9f7613…
03-23 02:33:27	will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by march 31	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9348d7…
03-23 02:26:51	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x72855a…
03-23 02:25:05	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x81157a…
03-23 02:22:57	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x400e0b…
03-23 02:22:03	will trump talk to nicols maduro in march 958	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x808218…
03-23 02:20:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x23fab0…
03-23 02:20:01	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x739fe0…
03-22 12:43:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 19c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5a46f7…
03-20 08:56:05	highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x506030…
03-19 19:14:55	military action against iran ends on march 18 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf04875…
03-19 14:35:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x68cb00…
03-18 14:18:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x61b3f7…
03-16 05:11:25	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x30b023…
03-15 14:11:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xb06825…
03-15 14:10:47	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7fcc14…
03-14 15:37:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0x78eb3d…
03-14 14:17:11	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35b95a…
03-14 13:53:53	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0x039657…
03-14 13:26:15	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x57d40a…
03-14 13:25:47	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdcb8b3…
03-14 13:24:03	will the us tariff rate on china be less than 5 on march 31	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x892e95…
03-14 08:02:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0x45a507…
03-13 16:23:53	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xdac718…