Writhing-Photo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,196

lifetime

Volume

$911.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$285

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-07 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

69% 67% +$19,037

Tech

26% 60% +$71,209

Politics

6% 50% -$462

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	57	$290.6K	300,002	300,002	+0	Yes	+$25,291	08-07 19:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	746	$140.0K	302,656	121,854	+180,803	Yes	+$62,403	07-30 19:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	100	$123.2K	400,000	90,371	+309,628	Yes	-$52,264	07-13 19:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	186	$62.3K	23,526	71,410	-47,884	No	+$58,029	07-30 19:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	98	$62.0K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	07-10 02:21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	61	$31.9K	17,684	17,684	+0	open	—	06-30 23:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	203	$28.5K	443,519	0	+443,519	Yes	-$28,538	06-05 18:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	24	$26.0K	13,885	13,885	+0	No	+$900	06-21 23:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$23.6K	41,135	41,135	+0	Yes	-$1,362	06-14 22:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	10	$21.5K	10,871	10,871	+0	No	+$71	06-25 23:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	17	$20.7K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$19,306	06-02 23:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	15	$15.4K	40,007	0	+40,007	No	+$24,641	06-12 14:33
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	5	$12.5K	6,493	6,493	-0	open	—	06-25 23:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	11	$11.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	Yes	+$2,804	06-09 19:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	16	$11.5K	40,600	10,600	+30,000	Yes	-$6,927	06-12 16:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	483	$5.6K	300,000	300,000	+0	No	-$2,255	08-07 19:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	259	$5.0K	206,481	79,435	+127,046	No	-$4,824	06-30 18:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	13	$3.6K	1,888	1,888	+0	open	—	06-26 20:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$2.7K	1,250,000	25,000	+1,225,000	No	-$2,325	06-16 11:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$2.0K	500,000	0	+500,000	No	-$2,000	06-25 23:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	17	$1.9K	12,705	0	+12,705	Yes	-$1,932	01-09 16:42
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	52	$1.3K	17,895	22,168	-4,273	No	-$1,268	06-30 22:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	5	$1.2K	901	901	+0	No	+$45	05-30 18:16
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	333	$1.2K	10,840	27,710	-16,870	No	+$924	01-16 16:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	3	$978	627	627	+0	No	+$38	05-29 19:18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	127	$956	31,522	106,006	-74,484	No	-$171	07-26 18:27
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	38	$628	19,160	0	+19,160	Yes	-$628	01-08 16:11
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	31	$543	27,076	0	+27,076	No	-$543	01-05 19:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$500	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	-$500	05-19 18:32
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	44	$275	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$275	01-18 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 19:24:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300,000	1¢	$1,697	0x0cf9fd…
08-07 19:20:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100,080	53¢	$52,869	0x51f634…
08-07 16:21:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,485	51¢	$1,267	0xe5537b…
08-07 16:21:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xb4f3c2…
08-07 16:20:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	154,813	52¢	$80,737	0xeeb164…
08-07 16:20:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42,609	54¢	$23,071	0x04daaa…
08-06 00:27:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,172	1¢	$146	0xfd40dc…
08-05 18:34:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x4c3bcc…
08-05 18:12:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3b71af…
08-05 17:21:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa82a73…
08-05 16:43:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$18	0xbdf92c…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbe6318…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa47f97…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x9ceb3a…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x983481…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x974d5f…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5805bb…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x5723a9…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$4	0x073288…
08-05 16:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x0698be…
08-05 16:21:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa3cf3d…
08-05 16:19:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$1	0x50f982…
08-05 15:45:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x1774a4…
08-05 15:21:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$120	0x216c0c…
08-05 15:14:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x28afbf…
08-05 15:12:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$18	0xdd9fa9…
08-05 15:11:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x462d07…
08-05 15:11:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x3ee503…
08-05 15:11:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xb7de08…
08-05 15:11:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x8e42ed…
08-05 15:11:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x29e748…
08-05 15:11:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x057936…
08-05 15:10:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	826	1¢	$10	0x7f424d…
08-05 15:09:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xa86eac…
08-05 15:08:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	285	1¢	$3	0xd323fb…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xea2615…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xd67857…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb147d7…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9b38d9…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x88f11d…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x5b7328…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x57e160…
08-05 15:08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x234a56…
08-05 15:08:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdd6616…
08-05 15:05:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x742257…
08-05 15:05:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$4	0xe48d39…
08-05 15:05:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xdebd7f…
08-05 15:05:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	327	1¢	$4	0xd63a36…
08-04 20:11:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xf2ed63…
08-04 20:11:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcbad75…
08-04 20:11:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x73f6f0…
08-04 20:11:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6d5594…
08-04 20:11:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x44feba…
08-04 20:07:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x667b37…
08-04 20:00:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,777	1¢	$93	0x32a3d6…
08-04 19:55:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x9f2360…
08-04 19:55:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$2	0x517669…
08-04 19:53:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,032	1¢	$24	0xe3aea7…
08-04 19:52:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x352f79…
08-04 19:52:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x177b89…
08-04 19:50:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	243	1¢	$3	0x592732…
08-04 19:49:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe7ca4c…
08-04 19:48:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0xbe83ac…
08-04 19:46:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0xfabd86…
08-04 19:41:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xef3a4c…
08-04 19:41:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	426	1¢	$5	0x277217…
08-04 19:41:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x6bf005…
08-04 19:41:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x41ebd0…
08-04 19:41:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x171230…
08-04 19:41:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xc48336…
08-04 19:41:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	392	1¢	$5	0xbed0af…
08-04 19:41:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x31221f…
08-04 19:40:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb0ed55…
08-04 19:40:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xaee3f1…
08-04 19:40:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xa15cc9…
08-04 19:40:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xa0133e…
08-04 19:40:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x146591…
08-04 19:33:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xe8cd14…
08-04 19:33:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x8f4379…
08-04 19:33:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x57591f…
08-04 19:33:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf636cf…
08-04 19:33:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xf3cdb5…
08-04 19:33:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x9bd96a…
08-04 19:33:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x090875…
08-04 19:33:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x71ddc7…
08-04 19:14:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$30	0x64467c…
08-04 18:45:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5438cf…
08-04 18:03:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb104b8…
08-04 17:49:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1e7b76…
08-04 17:44:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$24	0x3bf1b2…
08-04 17:39:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb42c5e…
08-04 17:19:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf18c95…
08-04 17:10:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x324525…
08-04 17:09:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4b08e5…
08-04 17:02:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x95f39d…
08-04 16:55:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,000	1¢	$84	0x182264…
08-04 15:37:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x02cf3c…
08-04 15:26:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xe93d5a…
08-04 15:23:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10be83…
08-04 15:09:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$7	0x45bd34…