Intelligent-Overhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-27 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-1

Sports

37% 0% —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$1.3K	658	658	+0	open	—	03-29 06:04
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$972	500	500	+0	open	—	03-31 16:20
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$888	456	456	+0	open	—	03-21 10:18
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$867	448	448	+0	open	—	03-22 00:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$867	458	458	+0	Yes	$-1	03-28 07:17
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	3	$629	214	433	-219	open	—	04-24 23:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$609	318	318	+0	open	—	04-25 03:37
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$574	300	300	+0	open	—	04-09 03:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$520	272	272	+0	open	—	04-10 07:16
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	7	$514	268	268	+0	open	—	04-28 02:34
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$460	238	238	+0	open	—	03-15 18:00
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$457	235	235	+0	open	—	03-12 16:39
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$452	234	234	-0	open	—	03-21 23:29
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$444	227	227	+0	open	—	03-16 07:37
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$440	232	232	+0	open	—	03-28 14:27
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$435	226	226	+0	open	—	03-13 05:00
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$434	223	223	+0	open	—	03-20 13:05
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$433	226	226	+0	open	—	03-17 04:23
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$429	222	222	+0	No	+$0	03-23 00:37
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$426	222	222	+0	open	—	03-27 22:48
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$421	215	215	+0	open	—	03-27 10:13
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	8	$293	151	151	+0	open	—	03-29 12:03
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$239	129	129	+0	open	—	06-20 13:10
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$233	120	120	+0	open	—	04-13 13:49
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$221	116	116	+0	open	—	04-20 11:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$159	114	56	+58	open	—	06-15 18:23
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	04-12 07:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	06-03 22:50
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	04-21 09:00
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	04-01 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 22:46:22	mlb mil sf 2026 07 27 extra innings	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x3de489…
07-24 04:52:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x9d32d8…
07-24 00:48:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xd181a9…
06-20 18:48:19	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x78ab96…
06-20 13:43:26	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$45	0x8c292b…
06-20 13:10:04	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	66	92¢	$61	0x9cadb5…
06-20 09:05:31	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$62	0x19284a…
06-19 21:42:37	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0xb7c6f7…
06-19 16:38:49	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$58	0x422dad…
06-19 15:59:53	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xe9fd20…
06-19 11:55:44	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x96a566…
06-18 01:00:05	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0xff5972…
06-17 20:53:53	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x196045…
06-15 18:23:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0x9a8e4d…
06-11 20:32:31	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x4fb82b…
06-11 12:48:00	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x722487…
06-11 12:29:15	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd54cf8…
06-11 07:20:28	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xdd08dc…
06-11 02:14:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc2a4e8…
06-06 06:39:42	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0xfe38f7…
06-06 01:38:25	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$52	0xe5e299…
06-05 19:24:31	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x16172c…
06-05 14:18:13	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x957ded…
06-05 00:28:25	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0xe1747a…
06-04 19:21:12	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x00ff81…
06-04 19:21:10	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x7a553d…
06-04 18:48:10	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x488ca0…
06-04 10:43:36	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x3b7b55…
06-03 22:50:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x2125ce…
06-03 14:47:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x525aff…
06-02 21:09:06	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x135778…
06-02 17:02:09	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x834af0…
06-02 16:30:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	56	92¢	$51	0xa1a6ce…
06-02 10:27:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x6f8e09…
05-15 20:22:56	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$51	0xea31c3…
05-15 14:22:00	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xdc2a3d…
04-28 02:34:36	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x14bf9d…
04-27 21:12:44	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0xb26a93…
04-27 21:07:10	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x008e9f…
04-25 03:37:26	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	215	95¢	$205	0x6271fd…
04-24 23:30:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	215	96¢	$206	0x83df4a…
04-24 23:19:10	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0xc6108e…
04-24 18:08:00	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0xd51fad…
04-21 09:00:18	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0x6ca3c3…
04-21 03:42:20	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x38a4b6…
04-20 11:05:16	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x34e914…
04-20 04:29:18	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x08cbfc…
04-18 23:24:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x45ecd5…
04-18 16:52:38	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x36c3c5…
04-15 13:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xd0ba47…
04-15 06:54:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x63a5ee…
04-15 01:48:02	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x1b246f…
04-14 05:36:09	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xa10c4c…
04-13 13:49:17	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x40fb41…
04-13 05:39:23	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xc8faa4…
04-12 07:06:27	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xc7326d…
04-12 01:14:51	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x8ad7c1…
04-12 01:14:29	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x91760f…
04-11 19:33:13	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x175d6e…
04-11 18:39:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x6296c5…
04-10 07:16:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x0c75e6…
04-09 23:01:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x9280f0…
04-09 12:50:15	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0xb40da5…
04-09 05:01:31	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0xb3d067…
04-09 03:57:29	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$61	0xc9622a…
04-08 19:08:01	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x37cb02…
04-01 00:59:29	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x19caf7…
03-31 18:57:05	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x69693d…
03-31 16:20:43	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x494317…
03-31 07:11:47	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x8cbf72…
03-31 05:57:53	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$51	0x10e1e3…
03-30 22:26:19	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x4fd87b…
03-29 12:03:24	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	151	98¢	$147	0x7a8ea6…
03-29 08:48:36	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xcc1bc6…
03-29 08:48:32	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xa6d522…
03-29 08:48:30	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbc3573…
03-29 08:42:12	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x2bcdeb…
03-29 08:32:42	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x4c7ded…
03-29 07:49:38	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x1b20c2…
03-29 07:14:28	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd84d80…
03-29 06:04:50	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	210	98¢	$205	0x9ce569…
03-28 23:36:52	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x829466…
03-28 23:06:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	215	96¢	$208	0x6d2c1d…
03-28 16:01:05	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2679d6…
03-28 15:53:25	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x533322…
03-28 15:22:47	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x07f03e…
03-28 15:21:49	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xbdf58f…
03-28 14:27:01	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	232	95¢	$220	0x2ed598…
03-28 08:23:11	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	232	95¢	$220	0x833982…
03-28 07:17:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	227	95¢	$216	0xad956f…
03-28 00:26:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	227	95¢	$216	0x925df1…
03-27 22:48:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	222	96¢	$212	0x7b82ee…
03-27 18:33:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	222	97¢	$214	0x786988…
03-27 10:13:23	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	215	98¢	$211	0x4c7ebf…
03-27 05:07:17	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	215	98¢	$211	0x63ee96…
03-25 07:56:27	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	227	97¢	$220	0xcf922c…
03-24 23:53:07	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	227	97¢	$221	0x9c3bf8…
03-24 22:25:07	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	219	97¢	$214	0x824f95…
03-24 13:31:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	227	95¢	$216	0x2ff7bc…
03-24 08:29:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	227	95¢	$216	0x03f5b8…