Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$668

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

1,380

Trades

3,916

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$160

11 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 10-30 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

65% 52% -$173

Crypto

21% 56% -$176

Sports

9% 48% -$300

Politics

3% 56% -$20

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+133	$60	70¢	$94	+$34	08-01 21:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+73	$17	16¢	$12	-$5	07-03 09:35
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+28	$10	32¢	$9	-$1	08-01 20:43
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	+8	$6	99¢	$8	+$2	09-18 21:53
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+9	$7	89¢	$8	+$1	09-02 14:14
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	+26	$11	30¢	$8	-$3	10-22 08:22
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$6	97¢	$6	+$0	06-29 18:47
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+21	$10	28¢	$6	-$5	08-01 21:09
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+71	$18	6¢	$5	-$13	06-30 00:33
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+11	$7	42¢	$5	-$2	10-17 08:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	06-13 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	13	$388	416	0	+416	Yes	+$28	07-07 23:00
cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	2	$242	133	133	+0	Spirit	+$24	08-01 14:45
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	29	$224	295	164	+130	Yes	+$10	06-24 23:46
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	18	$202	236	204	+32	Morocco	+$6	06-24 23:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$179	213	0	+213	Yes	-$179	07-06 22:45
wta swiatek navarro 2026 06 24	27	$172	365	0	+365	Emma Navarro	+$6	06-24 15:40
cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24	17	$155	164	148	+17	Betclic Apogee Esports	+$61	06-24 22:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$154	82	82	+0	open	—	06-29 21:24
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	13	$150	177	73	+104	open	—	10-29 07:02
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	2	$136	171	0	+171	MOUZ	-$136	08-02 08:09
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	18	$105	209	0	+209	No	+$9	06-25 02:27
wta sawangk chwalin 2026 06 29	20	$104	191	0	+191	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	-$43	06-29 12:43
atp diallo etcheve 2026 06 24	18	$96	172	7	+165	Gabriel Diallo	-$16	06-24 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 23:45 UTC	21	$95	532	0	+532	Up	-$35	06-29 23:49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	14	$93	120	52	+67	No	+$2	06-25 21:41
atp carabel aguilar 2026 06 29	16	$91	271	21	+250	Daniel Merida Aguilar	-$45	06-29 13:58
wta wan ribera 2026 06 24	16	$90	140	0	+140	Marina Bassols Ribera	-$52	06-24 18:57
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	11	$88	79	63	+16	Yes	+$3	06-24 20:28
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	15	$87	103	88	+15	No	-$2	06-26 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 21:40 UTC	15	$86	993	0	+993	Down	-$24	06-29 21:45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	24	$84	265	0	+265	Yes	+$3	06-28 20:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$80	133	133	+0	open	—	10-03 20:01
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	9	$80	75	62	+14	Yes	+$4	06-27 01:56
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	14	$77	78	69	+9	No	+$3	06-24 23:39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	8	$77	94	75	+19	Yes	-$10	06-24 23:13
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	9	$75	56	37	+19	No	+$3	06-24 23:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$73	42	42	+0	open	—	06-29 21:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$72	46	46	+0	open	—	08-02 19:56
mlb cle cws 2026 06 24	14	$72	67	62	+5	Cleveland Guardians	+$10	06-25 00:12
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	7	$69	2,641	0	+2,641	Over	-$40	06-25 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 08:04:52	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x13eac1…
10-30 20:04:45	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x3f9950…
10-30 09:46:24	Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf9933d…
10-29 14:45:10	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x98a729…
10-29 07:02:20	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x415844…
10-28 19:27:34	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0x886802…
10-22 08:22:38	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaa51a3…
10-22 08:21:38	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6eb4d5…
10-17 08:23:59	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x031fb5…
10-17 08:23:24	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x84dd21…
10-17 06:46:15	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xc49a8e…
10-17 06:45:47	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xde9459…
10-17 06:44:02	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x2d9c43…
10-14 06:34:13	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x913870…
10-13 05:19:59	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xda75a4…
10-13 05:10:00	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x14e529…
10-12 17:54:15	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x5814fe…
10-11 17:11:10	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7047f7…
10-11 16:53:30	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xd41e62…
10-11 10:51:39	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0x80a9ee…
10-11 10:51:18	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x19079b…
10-11 10:50:44	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc5e588…
10-11 10:50:11	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x2034c5…
10-11 10:49:36	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x65afc3…
10-11 10:48:26	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x5c4a6f…
10-11 10:47:56	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xd2e31b…
10-11 10:47:26	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xbf4fd7…
10-11 08:26:28	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8f4754…
10-10 18:39:09	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x77da3e…
10-10 16:06:45	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf13bb7…
10-10 10:28:24	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0xf483a0…
10-10 10:23:45	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc638ca…
10-10 10:18:00	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x21f138…
10-10 10:17:43	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xb521e7…
10-10 10:17:27	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x01be16…
10-10 10:17:10	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xdca6b8…
10-10 10:16:54	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x3a9c0f…
10-10 10:16:36	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xf52e54…
10-10 10:16:19	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x6a0b0f…
10-10 10:16:03	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x388263…
10-06 22:01:03	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x7d9a4c…
10-05 20:20:55	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x9b66a9…
10-05 20:17:25	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xfdc73d…
10-05 18:34:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x614500…
10-03 20:01:01	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	31¢	$41	0xd69c5f…
10-03 18:40:18	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xac7bf9…
10-03 17:38:47	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x922249…
09-22 20:01:10	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe11d2f…
09-22 20:00:37	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x06ed6f…
09-22 19:19:30	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xbebe42…
09-21 20:08:49	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0xa4cf97…
09-21 20:07:21	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xddfafb…
09-21 05:18:40	Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x93d0e4…
09-18 21:53:19	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x4caf40…
09-15 18:46:22	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xe2f918…
09-07 10:19:37	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd08490…
09-07 06:09:18	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0f217b…
09-06 18:48:06	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x45057f…
09-04 14:55:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xa358f5…
09-03 15:38:28	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xc4a0d1…
09-03 14:38:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8437dd…
09-02 18:38:21	Will VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb3c5a1…
09-02 18:36:51	Will VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x238c51…
09-02 18:35:57	Will VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b9d65…
09-02 17:20:55	Will VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0ade87…
09-02 17:19:27	Will VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5fee85…
09-02 14:14:03	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x341c68…
09-01 19:58:39	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x5a2a1d…
08-28 15:11:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xab1595…
08-28 14:48:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x400c2f…
08-28 14:47:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x12b275…
08-28 14:44:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xab764d…
08-28 14:42:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa31654…
08-28 14:28:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x2ac0b9…
08-28 14:27:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x9f5246…
08-28 14:26:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x3d32b7…
08-27 19:35:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xdceeb6…
08-27 19:35:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x22124d…
08-27 18:26:10	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5a7959…
08-27 03:43:55	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x197a10…
08-27 03:43:03	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x281760…
08-25 15:44:28	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe757a2…
08-24 22:27:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x1b9be1…
08-24 22:26:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x13253e…
08-23 05:43:40	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xd9f85e…
08-23 04:56:07	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x3bedce…
08-23 04:27:16	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe918b8…
08-23 04:24:39	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x1c5932…
08-23 04:22:06	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x8c01ac…
08-22 04:13:48	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xa4de53…
08-21 16:28:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x002597…
08-20 21:35:52	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x178a01…
08-13 14:49:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf0ef8a…
08-09 13:41:31	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb45db4…
08-07 14:11:12	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xe37bda…
08-07 02:10:01	Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x15cb2e…
08-07 02:08:54	Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x7768a4…
08-07 00:42:57	Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xc25762…
08-07 00:39:26	Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xdabc32…
08-07 00:38:09	Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x84fc95…